{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,21]],"date-time":"2026-07-21T05:47:49Z","timestamp":1784612869498,"version":"3.55.0"},"reference-count":23,"publisher":"SAGE Publications","issue":"1","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2008,1,1]],"date-time":"2008-01-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1199145600000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/page\/policies\/text-and-data-mining-license"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Public Health Rep"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2008,1]]},"abstract":"<jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Objectives.<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>This article aims to quantify the relationship between weather variations and bacillary dysentery in Jinan, a city in northern China with a temperate climate, to reach a better understanding of the effect of weather variations on enteric infections.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Methods.<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>The weather variables and number of cases of bacillary dysentery during the period 1987\u20132000 has been studied on a monthly basis. The Spearman correlation between each weather variable and dysentery cases was conducted. Seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) models were used to perform the regression analyses.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Results.<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Maximum temperature (one-month lag), minimum temperature (one-month lag), rainfall (one-month lag), relative humidity (without lag), and air pressure (one-month lag) were all significantly correlated with the number of dysentery cases in Jinan. After controlling for the seasonality, lag time, and long-term trend, the SARIMA model suggested that a 1\u00b0C rise in maximum temperature might relate to more than 10% (95% confidence interval 10.19, 12.69) increase in the cases of bacillary dysentery in this city.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Conclusions.<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Weather variations have already affected the transmission of bacillary dysentery in China. Temperatures could be used as a predictor of the number of dysentery cases in a temperate city in northern China. Public health interventions should be undertaken at this stage to adapt and mitigate the possible consequences of climate change in the future.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1177\/003335490812300109","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2017,1,28]],"date-time":"2017-01-28T07:14:47Z","timestamp":1485587687000},"page":"61-66","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":67,"title":["Weather and the Transmission of Bacillary Dysentery in Jinan, Northern China: A Time-Series Analysis"],"prefix":"10.1177","volume":"123","author":[{"given":"Ying","family":"Zhang","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Discipline of Public Health, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Peng","family":"Bi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Discipline of Public Health, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Janet E.","family":"Hiller","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Discipline of Public Health, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"179","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2008,1,1]]},"reference":[{"key":"bibr1-003335490812300109","unstructured":"World Health Organization. Food safety and foodborne illness [cited 2005 Aug 31]. Available from: URL: http:\/\/www.who.int\/mediacentre\/factsheets\/fs237\/en."},{"key":"bibr2-003335490812300109","first-page":"197","volume":"81","author":"Kosek M","year":"2003","journal-title":"Bull World Health Organ"},{"key":"bibr3-003335490812300109","unstructured":"Ministry of Health China. MOH news [cited 2005 Sep 1]. Available from: URL: http:\/\/www.moh.gov.cn\/public."},{"key":"bibr4-003335490812300109","first-page":"133","volume":"43","author":"Niyogi SK","year":"2005","journal-title":"J Microbiol"},{"key":"bibr5-003335490812300109","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/nature03820"},{"key":"bibr6-003335490812300109","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0950268804001992"},{"key":"bibr7-003335490812300109","unstructured":"Jinan Statistical Bureau. Report of the 4th population census in Jinan [cited 2007 Jun 17]. 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Surveillance data for national notified infectious diseases. 2001."},{"key":"bibr23-003335490812300109","unstructured":"China Climate Change Info-Net [cited 2007 Jul 30]. 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