{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,15]],"date-time":"2026-10-15T22:32:46Z","timestamp":1792103566422,"version":"4.4.0"},"reference-count":46,"publisher":"SAGE Publications","issue":"10","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2023,9,14]],"date-time":"2023-09-14T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1694649600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":365,"URL":"http:\/\/www.sagepub.com\/licence-information-for-chorus"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000001","name":"National Science Foundation","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["BCS-1125553"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["BCS-1125553"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000001","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000049","name":"National Institute on Aging","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["R01-AG018436"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["R01-AG018436"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000049","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000049","name":"National Institute on Aging","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["R01-AG067622"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["R01-AG067622"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000049","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000049","name":"National Institute on Aging","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["T32 AG00030-3"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["T32 AG00030-3"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000049","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["journals.sagepub.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Psychol Sci"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2022,10]]},"abstract":"<jats:p>A longstanding goal of psychology is to predict the things that people do and feel, but tools to accurately predict future behaviors and experiences remain elusive. In the present study, we used intensive longitudinal data ( N = 104 college-age adults at a midwestern university; total assessments = 5,971) and three machine-learning approaches to investigate the degree to which three future behaviors and experiences\u2014loneliness, procrastination, and studying\u2014could be predicted from past psychological (i.e., personality and affective states), situational (i.e., objective situations and psychological situation cues), and time (i.e., trends, diurnal cycles, time of day, and day of the week) phenomena from an idiographic, person-specific perspective. Rather than pitting persons against situations, such an approach allows psychological phenomena, situations, and time to jointly predict future behaviors and experiences. We found (a) a striking degree of prediction accuracy across participants, (b) that a majority of participants\u2019 future behaviors are predicted by both person and situation features, and (c) that the most important features vary greatly across people.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1177\/09567976221093307","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2022,9,14]],"date-time":"2022-09-14T18:12:15Z","timestamp":1663179135000},"page":"1767-1782","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/sage-journals-update-policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":46,"title":["Personalized Prediction of Behaviors and Experiences: An Idiographic Person\u2013Situation Test"],"prefix":"10.1177","volume":"33","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-8152-3510","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Emorie D.","family":"Beck","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Medical Social Sciences, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University"},{"name":"Department of Psychology, University of California, Davis"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Joshua J.","family":"Jackson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Psychological and Brain Sciences, Washington University in St. Louis"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"179","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2022,9,14]]},"reference":[{"key":"bibr1-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/0022-3514.56.3.398"},{"key":"bibr2-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1207\/s15327043hup1804_3"},{"key":"bibr3-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/pspp0000249"},{"key":"bibr4-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1177\/0963721420915860"},{"key":"bibr5-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/pspp0000386"},{"key":"bibr6-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1177\/08902070211017746"},{"key":"bibr7-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1006\/jrpe.1997.2206"},{"key":"bibr8-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/0033-295X.110.2.203"},{"key":"bibr9-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.31234\/osf.io\/5hj3x"},{"key":"bibr10-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1027\/1015-5759\/a000590"},{"key":"bibr11-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/0022-3514.37.7.1097"},{"key":"bibr12-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/0033-2909.98.3.513"},{"key":"bibr13-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1711978115"},{"key":"bibr14-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.31234\/osf.io\/e24v6"},{"key":"bibr15-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2024316"},{"key":"bibr16-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.18637\/jss.v033.i01"},{"key":"bibr17-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jrp.2005.08.003"},{"key":"bibr18-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jrp.2008.12.041"},{"key":"bibr19-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/0278-6133.26.1.121"},{"key":"bibr20-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/jopy.12634"},{"key":"bibr21-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/a0014156"},{"key":"bibr22-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1917036117"},{"key":"bibr23-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/0003-066X.43.1.23"},{"key":"bibr24-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2196\/14149"},{"key":"bibr25-09567976221093307","unstructured":"Kuhn M., Wickham H. (2020). Tidymodels: A collection of packages for modeling and machine learning using tidyverse principles. https:\/\/www.tidymodels.org"},{"key":"bibr26-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/0191-8869(85)90054-6"},{"key":"bibr27-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/per.2410020405"},{"key":"bibr28-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/11281-000"},{"key":"bibr29-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1146\/annurev.psych.55.042902.130709"},{"key":"bibr30-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/0033-295X.102.2.246"},{"issue":"4","key":"bibr31-09567976221093307","first-page":"201","volume":"2","author":"Molenaar P. C.","year":"2004","journal-title":"Measurement"},{"key":"bibr32-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/pspp0000111"},{"key":"bibr33-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1918455117"},{"key":"bibr34-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/a0037250"},{"key":"bibr35-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1027\/1015-5759\/a000245"},{"key":"bibr36-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/per.2303"},{"key":"bibr37-09567976221093307","unstructured":"Revelle W. (2020). psych: Procedures for personality and psychological research (Version 2.1.3). https:\/\/CRAN.R-project.org\/package=psych"},{"key":"bibr38-09567976221093307","first-page":"578","volume-title":"The SAGE handbook of online research methods","author":"Revelle W.","year":"2016","edition":"2"},{"key":"bibr39-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jrp.2008.12.015"},{"key":"bibr40-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/pspp0000036"},{"issue":"3","key":"bibr41-09567976221093307","first-page":"883","volume":"2","author":"Snyder M.","year":"1985","journal-title":"Handbook of Social Psychology"},{"key":"bibr42-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/pspp0000096"},{"key":"bibr43-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/adb0000666"},{"key":"bibr44-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2177110"},{"key":"bibr45-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.17077\/48vt-m4t2"},{"key":"bibr46-09567976221093307","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.18637\/jss.v077.i01"}],"container-title":["Psychological Science"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1177\/09567976221093307","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/full-xml\/10.1177\/09567976221093307","content-type":"application\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1177\/09567976221093307","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"syndication"},{"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1177\/09567976221093307","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,1]],"date-time":"2026-05-01T21:36:50Z","timestamp":1777671410000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/10.1177\/09567976221093307"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2022,9,14]]},"references-count":46,"journal-issue":{"issue":"10","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2022,10]]}},"alternative-id":["10.1177\/09567976221093307"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/09567976221093307","relation":{},"ISSN":["0956-7976","1467-9280"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0956-7976","type":"print"},{"value":"1467-9280","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2022,9,14]]}}}