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Using follow-up diagnoses from neurologists, they were grouped as \u201cMCI-Stable\u201d (i.e., MCI at baseline and follow-up, n\u2009=\u2009131) or \u201cMCI-Progressors\u201d (i.e., MCI at baseline but dementia at follow-up, n\u2009=\u2009112). Stepwise logistic regression examined follow-up group status predicted from demographics, baseline cognitive scores, and self-reported depressive symptoms.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Results<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Neither baseline demographic variables nor depressive symptoms significantly predicted group status at follow-up. Conversely, worse baseline performance on tests of visuospatial construction and semantic fluency were significant predictors of progression from MCI to dementia. Longer follow-up interval also significantly predicted conversion.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Conclusions<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Although many individuals progress from MCI to dementia, there is considerable variability in the timing and cognitive performance among those who convert to dementia versus those who remain stable over time. The current findings identified multiple baseline neuropsychological test scores that predicted that progression over approximately 1.5 years. Such results have implications for clinical care (e.g., providing more services and closer monitoring of at-risk individuals) and research (e.g., enriching clinical trials with those more likely to progress).<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1177\/13872877261469182","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,8,8]],"date-time":"2026-08-08T17:41:09Z","timestamp":1786210869000},"page":"390-402","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/sage-journals-update-policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Predicting progression from mild cognitive impairment to dementia with baseline neuropsychological test scores"],"prefix":"10.1177","volume":"113","author":[{"given":"Natalie E.","family":"Kurniadi","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Pacific Neurobehavioral Clinic, PC, San Diego, CA, USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Joel S.","family":"Steele","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Oregon Health & Science University"},{"name":"University of North Dakota"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Nora","family":"Mattek","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Oregon Health & Science University"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jasmin E.","family":"Guevara","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"University of Pennsylvania"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-9336-2400","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Kevin","family":"Duff","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Oregon Health & Science University"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"179","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,8,8]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_3_3_2_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/archneur.56.3.303"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_3_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/archneur.58.12.1985"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_4_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1212\/WNL.0000000000004826"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_5_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s11065-021-09502-7"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_6_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1212\/WNL.0000000000209499"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_7_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12911-025-03040-5"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_8_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2174\/1567205014666161213120807"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_9_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s13195-025-01827-2"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_10_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/alz.13083"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_11_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s13195-020-00721-3"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_12_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1177\/13872877241299047"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_13_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/17582024.2025.2554515"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_14_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S1474-4422(21)00066-1"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_15_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/23279095.2025.2469236"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_16_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s11065-017-9345-5"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_17_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s11065-017-9361-5"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_18_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/pag0000410"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_19_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1155\/2008\/859657"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_20_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3233\/JAD-191092"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_21_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1159\/000499836"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_22_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S1355617709990336"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_23_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/13607863.2023.2227118"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_24_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.neuroscience.2025.12.008"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_25_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1212\/WNL.56.9.1133"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_26_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jalz.2011.03.005"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_27_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1212\/WNL.34.7.939"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_28_2","volume-title":"Wechsler Test of Adult Reading: WTAR","author":"Wechsler D","year":"2001","unstructured":"Wechsler D. 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