{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,4]],"date-time":"2026-05-04T23:39:48Z","timestamp":1777937988202,"version":"3.51.4"},"reference-count":30,"publisher":"SAGE Publications","issue":"2","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,1]],"date-time":"2025-03-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1740787200000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,1]],"date-time":"2025-03-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1740787200000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/page\/policies\/text-and-data-mining-license"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100001862","name":"Svenska Forskningsr\u00e5det Formas","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["2017-01161"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["2017-01161"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100001862","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100004359","name":"Vetenskapsr\u00e5det","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["2018-01272"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["2018-01272"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100004359","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"name":"Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study through Riksbankens Jubileumsfond"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["journals.sagepub.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Scand J Public Health"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2025,3]]},"abstract":"<jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Aims:<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>\n                      Until the late 19th century,\n                      <jats:italic toggle=\"yes\">Plasmodium vivax<\/jats:italic>\n                      malaria was endemic in most of Europe including in the Nordic countries. In Denmark, Finland, and Sweden, the fluctuations in malaria cases and malaria-attributed deaths are known to have been associated with weather conditions, in particular with mean summer temperature variations. However, to what extent other environmental factors could have increased or decreased the risk of malaria has not previously been evaluated using historical records.\n                    <\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Methods:<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>In this study, we illustrate the non-linear association between different environmental variables (temperature, precipitation, and sea-level variations) and symptom-based malaria (case and death) data, using the quasi-Poisson distributed lag non-linear model. The robustness of the model results was examined through sensitivity analysis.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Results:<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>The modeling results showed that the risk associated with temperature increased by \u223c25% in Denmark and by \u223c67% in Sweden and Finland, with a mean summer temperature increase from 16\u00b0C to 18\u00b0C, was highest at 1\u20132 lagged years. Furthermore, average precipitation could have a noticeable effect on the malaria risk in Sweden and Finland, but this effect was not observed in Denmark. Environmental perturbations associated with extreme sea levels (&gt;99.7th percentile or &lt;0.1th percentile), including subsequent saltwater intrusion, could lead to increasing malaria risk in low-lying coastal areas.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Conclusions:<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>\n                      <jats:bold>The historical evidence and modeling results suggest that specific weather conditions and extreme events have substantial impacts on malaria in temperate regions.<\/jats:bold>\n                    <\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1177\/14034948251320865","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,13]],"date-time":"2025-03-13T08:25:41Z","timestamp":1741854341000},"page":"162-171","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/sage-journals-update-policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":1,"title":["Climate and malaria: modeling non-linear dynamics in the Nordic countries during the 18th and 19th centuries"],"prefix":"10.1177","volume":"53","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4587-2203","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Tzu Tung","family":"Chen","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Regional Climate Group, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Sweden"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Yoonhee","family":"Kim","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Global Environmental Health, Graduate School of Medicine, University of Tokyo, Japan"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Fredrik Charpentier","family":"Ljungqvist","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of History, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden"},{"name":"Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Sweden"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Jerker","family":"Jarsj\u00f6","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Sweden"},{"name":"Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, Sweden"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Jenny C.","family":"Hesson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Zoonosis Science Center, Department of Medical Biochemistry and Microbiology, Uppsala University, Sweden"},{"name":"Biologisk Myggkontroll, Nedre Dal\u00e4lvens Utvecklings AB, Gysinge, Sweden"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Hans W.","family":"Linderholm","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Regional Climate Group, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Sweden"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"179","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,13]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_3_3_2_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/CBO9781139050937"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_3_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12879-022-07422-2"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_4_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/1475-2875-4-19"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_5_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12936-021-03744-9"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_6_2","article-title":"Health effects of drought: a systematic review of the evidence","volume":"5","author":"Stanke C","year":"2013","unstructured":"Stanke C, Kerac M, Prudhomme C, et al. Health effects of drought: a systematic review of the evidence. PLoS Curr 2013;5.","journal-title":"PLoS Curr"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_7_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.lanepe.2020.100017"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_8_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s00382-016-3019-5"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_9_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/s41467-019-12808-z"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_10_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.quaint.2006.01.005"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_11_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3390\/ijerph16050694"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_12_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.tmaid.2013.01.003"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_13_2","first-page":"21","article-title":"The geographic distribution of mosquito species in Sweden","volume":"31","author":"Lundstr\u00f6m JO","year":"2013","unstructured":"Lundstr\u00f6m JO, Sch\u00e4fer ML, Hesson JC, et al. The geographic distribution of mosquito species in Sweden. J Eur Mosq Control Assoc 2013;31:21\u201335.","journal-title":"J Eur Mosq Control Assoc"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_14_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/jmedent\/23.1.68"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_15_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/mve.12475"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_16_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.5962\/bhl.title.27408"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_17_2","article-title":"Malaria in Sweden \u2013 entomological aspects","volume":"80","author":"Jaenson T.","year":"1983","unstructured":"Jaenson T. Malaria in Sweden \u2013 entomological aspects. L\u00e4kartidningen 1983;80:2418\u201321.","journal-title":"L\u00e4kartidningen"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_18_2","volume-title":"R\u00f6dsot i Sverige 1750\u20131900: En sjukdoms demografiska och medicinska historia","author":"Castenbrandt H.","year":"2012","unstructured":"Castenbrandt H. R\u00f6dsot i Sverige 1750\u20131900: En sjukdoms demografiska och medicinska historia [Dysentery in Sweden 1750\u20131900: a disease\u2019s demographic and medical history]. PhD Thesis, Department of Historical Studies, University of Gothenburg, 2012."},{"key":"e_1_3_3_19_2","article-title":"Studier \u00f6fver frossan i Sverige och de sannolikaste orsakerna till dess successiva aftagande och s\u00e5 godt som fullst\u00e4ndiga upph\u00f6rande i Sverige under sistf\u00f6rflutna halfsekel","volume":"73","author":"Flensburg C.","year":"1911","unstructured":"Flensburg C. Studier \u00f6fver frossan i Sverige och de sannolikaste orsakerna till dess successiva aftagande och s\u00e5 godt som fullst\u00e4ndiga upph\u00f6rande i Sverige under sistf\u00f6rflutna halfsekel [Studies on the malaria in Sweden and the most likely causes of its gradual decline and almost complete cessation in Sweden during the past half century]. Hygiea 1911;73:1201\u2013152.","journal-title":"Hygiea"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_20_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1023\/A:1014966724670"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_21_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/sim.3940"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_22_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1177\/00207314221131208"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_23_2","volume-title":"Model selection and multi-model inference: a practical information-theoretic approach","author":"Anderson D","year":"2004","unstructured":"Anderson D, Burnham K. Model selection and multi-model inference: a practical information-theoretic approach. Berlin: Springer-Verlag, 2004."},{"key":"e_1_3_3_24_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s13071-018-3278-6"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_25_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/joc.945"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_26_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s10584-009-9649-4"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_27_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.5194\/nhess-16-1571-2016"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_28_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/jj.919480.7"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_29_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3390\/w13121697"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_30_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1029\/2004WR003920"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_31_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/1475-2875-7-S1-S3"}],"container-title":["Scandinavian Journal of Public Health"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1177\/14034948251320865","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/full-xml\/10.1177\/14034948251320865","content-type":"application\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1177\/14034948251320865","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,2]],"date-time":"2026-05-02T04:19:41Z","timestamp":1777695581000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/10.1177\/14034948251320865"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2025,3]]},"references-count":30,"journal-issue":{"issue":"2","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2025,3]]}},"alternative-id":["10.1177\/14034948251320865"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/14034948251320865","relation":{},"ISSN":["1403-4948","1651-1905"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1403-4948","type":"print"},{"value":"1651-1905","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2025,3]]}}}