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We attempted to develop a targeting model for female Regular U.S. Army soldiers based on theoretically guided predictors abstracted from administrative data records. As administrative reports of sexual assault victimization are known to be incomplete, parallel machine learning models were developed to predict administratively recorded (in the population) and self-reported (in a representative survey) victimization. Capture\u2013recapture methods were used to combine predictions across models. Key predictors included low status, crime involvement, and treated mental disorders. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was .83\u2013.88. Between 33.7% and 63.2% of victimizations occurred among soldiers in the highest risk ventile (5%). This high concentration of risk suggests that the models could be useful in targeting preventive interventions, although final determination would require careful weighing of intervention costs, effectiveness, and competing risks.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1177\/2167702616639532","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2016,7,29]],"date-time":"2016-07-29T23:14:45Z","timestamp":1469834085000},"page":"939-956","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/sage-journals-update-policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":20,"title":["Developing a Risk Model to Target High-Risk Preventive Interventions for Sexual Assault Victimization Among Female U.S. Army Soldiers"],"prefix":"10.1177","volume":"4","author":[{"given":"Amy E.","family":"Street","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"National Center for PTSD at VA Boston Healthcare System and Boston University School of Medicine"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Anthony J.","family":"Rosellini","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Harvard Medical School"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Robert J.","family":"Ursano","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Uniformed Services University School of Medicine"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Steven G.","family":"Heeringa","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"University of Michigan"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Eric D.","family":"Hill","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Harvard Medical School"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"John","family":"Monahan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"University of Virginia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"James A.","family":"Naifeh","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Uniformed Services University School of Medicine"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Maria V.","family":"Petukhova","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Harvard Medical School"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Ben Y.","family":"Reis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Boston Children\u2019s Hospital and Harvard Medical School"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Nancy A.","family":"Sampson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Harvard Medical School"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Paul D.","family":"Bliese","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"University of South Carolina"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Murray B.","family":"Stein","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"University of California San Diego and VA San Diego Healthcare System"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Alan M.","family":"Zaslavsky","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Harvard Medical School"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Ronald C.","family":"Kessler","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Harvard Medical School"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"179","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2016,7,30]]},"reference":[{"key":"bibr1-2167702616639532","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/ab.20107"},{"key":"bibr2-2167702616639532","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2532083"},{"issue":"1","key":"bibr3-2167702616639532","first-page":"130","volume":"88","author":"Alho J. 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