{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,6]],"date-time":"2026-04-06T13:07:42Z","timestamp":1775480862625,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":31,"publisher":"SAGE Publications","issue":"5","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2024,3,4]],"date-time":"2024-03-04T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1709510400000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100001871","name":"Funda\u00e7\u00e3o para a Ci\u00eancia e a Tecnologia","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["RISE-LA\/P\/0053\/2020"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["RISE-LA\/P\/0053\/2020"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100001871","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100001871","name":"Funda\u00e7\u00e3o para a Ci\u00eancia e a Tecnologia","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["UIDP\/04255\/2020 and UIDB\/04255\/2020"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["UIDP\/04255\/2020 and UIDB\/04255\/2020"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100001871","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"name":"North Portugal Regional Operational Program","award":["NORTE-06-3559-FSE-000175"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["NORTE-06-3559-FSE-000175"]}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["journals.sagepub.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["J Geriatr Psychiatry Neurol"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2024,9]]},"abstract":"<jats:p> Dementia is a global public health challenge, and its impact on Portugal is yet unclear. This study forecasts dementia prevalence in Portugal until 2080. Using the Gon\u00e7alves-Pereira et al (2021) method, we estimated dementia cases among older adults (\u226565 years) in the community. Applying age-sex specific prevalence rates of the Gon\u00e7alves-Pereira study to population projections for Portugal between 2020-2080, based on the 10\/66 Dementia Research Group criteria (10\/66 DRG) and the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders IV criteria (DSM-IV), to Portugal\u2019s population projections (2020-2080) under various growth scenarios (low, medium, and high). We anticipate a more than 2-fold increase in dementia prevalence from 2020 to 2080, both for 10\/66 DRG [2.1%-5.0%] and DSM-IV [.8%\u20132.0%]. By 2080, those aged \u226580 years are projected to constitute 75.0% (vs 59.0% in 2020) of all dementia cases, particularly affecting women. Addressing dementia growth in Portugal calls for a comprehensive global response, while country-level estimates facilitate informed public health planning, policy-making, and resource allocation. <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1177\/08919887241237220","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2024,3,4]],"date-time":"2024-03-04T14:54:40Z","timestamp":1709564080000},"page":"403-412","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/sage-journals-update-policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":11,"title":["Forecasted Dementia Prevalence in Portugal (2020-2080)"],"prefix":"10.1177","volume":"37","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-4883-0479","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Sara","family":"Alves","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Santa Casa da Miseric\u00f3rdia de Riba D\u2019Ave\/CIDIFAD \u2013 Centro de Investiga\u00e7\u00e3o, Diagn\u00f3stico, Forma\u00e7\u00e3o e Acompanhamento das Dem\u00eancias, Braga, Portugal"},{"name":"CINTESIS@RISE, ICBAS, Porto, Portugal"}]},{"given":"Nat\u00e1lia","family":"Duarte","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Santa Casa da Miseric\u00f3rdia de Riba D\u2019Ave\/CIDIFAD \u2013 Centro de Investiga\u00e7\u00e3o, Diagn\u00f3stico, Forma\u00e7\u00e3o e Acompanhamento das Dem\u00eancias, Braga, Portugal"},{"name":"CINTESIS@RISE, ICBAS, Porto, Portugal"}]},{"given":"Barbara","family":"Gomes","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Medicine, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal"}]}],"member":"179","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2024,3,4]]},"reference":[{"key":"bibr1-08919887241237220","volume-title":"Global Status Report on the Public Health Response to Dementia","author":"World Health Organization","year":"2017"},{"key":"bibr2-08919887241237220","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/bmjopen-2019-035463"},{"key":"bibr3-08919887241237220","volume-title":"Dementia in Europe Yearbook 2019 Estimating the Prevalence of Dementia in Europe","author":"Europe Alzheimer","year":"2019"},{"key":"bibr4-08919887241237220","volume-title":"Dementia UK: Update","author":"Prince M","year":"2014"},{"key":"bibr5-08919887241237220","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3233\/jad-180416"},{"key":"bibr6-08919887241237220","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S2468-2667(21)00249-8"},{"key":"bibr7-08919887241237220","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S1474-4422(15)00092-7"},{"key":"bibr8-08919887241237220","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/1472-6963-12-365"},{"key":"bibr9-08919887241237220","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2377-10-42"},{"key":"bibr10-08919887241237220","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1177\/1533317518813550"},{"key":"bibr11-08919887241237220","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12877-017-0647-5"},{"key":"bibr12-08919887241237220","volume-title":"Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders: DSM-IV","author":"American Psychiatric Association","year":"1994","edition":"4"},{"key":"bibr13-08919887241237220","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1159\/000516503"},{"key":"bibr14-08919887241237220","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2458-7-165"},{"key":"bibr15-08919887241237220","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2018.02.008"},{"key":"bibr16-08919887241237220","first-page":"1","volume":"193","author":"Williams JW","year":"2010","journal-title":"Evid Rep Technol Assess"},{"key":"bibr17-08919887241237220","unstructured":"United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs -Population Division. 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