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TIA is associated with high diagnostic errors because of the subjective nature of findings and the lack of clinical and imaging biomarkers. The goal of this study was to design and evaluate a novel multinomial classification model, based on a combination of feature selection mechanisms coupled with logistic regression, to predict the likelihood of TIA, TIA mimics, and minor stroke.<\/jats:p>\n<\/jats:sec><jats:sec>\n<jats:title>Methods<\/jats:title>\n<jats:p>We conducted our modeling on consecutive patients who were evaluated in our health system with an initial diagnosis of TIA in a 9-month period. We established the final diagnoses after the clinical evaluation by independent verification from two stroke neurologists. We used Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) for prediction modeling.<\/jats:p>\n<\/jats:sec><jats:sec>\n<jats:title>Results<\/jats:title>\n<jats:p>The RFE-based classifier correctly predicts 78% of the overall observations. In particular, the classifier correctly identifies 68% of the cases labeled as \u201cTIA mimic\u201d and 83% of the \u201cTIA\u201d discharge diagnosis. The LASSO classifier had an overall accuracy of 74%. Both the RFE and LASSO-based classifiers tied or outperformed the ABCD2 score and the Diagnosis of TIA (DOT) score. With respect to predicting TIA, the RFE-based classifier has 61.1% accuracy, the LASSO-based classifier has 79.5% accuracy, whereas the DOT score applied to the dataset yields an accuracy of 63.1%.<\/jats:p>\n<\/jats:sec><jats:sec>\n<jats:title>Conclusion<\/jats:title>\n<jats:p>The results of this pilot study indicate that a multinomial classification model, based on a combination of feature selection mechanisms coupled with logistic regression, can be used to effectively differentiate between TIA, TIA mimics, and minor stroke.<\/jats:p>\n<\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1186\/s12911-020-01154-6","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2020,6,18]],"date-time":"2020-06-18T11:02:59Z","timestamp":1592478179000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":18,"title":["A predictive analytics model for differentiating between transient ischemic attacks (TIA) and its mimics"],"prefix":"10.1186","volume":"20","author":[{"given":"Alia","family":"Stanciu","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-4799-8763","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Mihai","family":"Banciu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Alireza","family":"Sadighi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Kyle A.","family":"Marshall","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Neil R.","family":"Holland","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Vida","family":"Abedi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Ramin","family":"Zand","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2020,6,18]]},"reference":[{"issue":"2","key":"1154_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"303","DOI":"10.1016\/j.nic.2011.01.013","volume":"21","author":"AG Sorensen","year":"2011","unstructured":"Sorensen AG, Ay H. 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The project was carried out as a quality improvement project with all subjects deidentified in the study. Accordingly, Geisinger IRB waived the consent requirement based on the definition of Research in 45 CFR 46.102(d).","order":1,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Ethics approval and consent to participate"}},{"value":"Not applicable.","order":2,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Consent for publication"}},{"value":"The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.","order":3,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Competing interests"}}],"article-number":"112"}}