{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,22]],"date-time":"2026-10-22T14:41:41Z","timestamp":1792680101919,"version":"4.5.0"},"reference-count":79,"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","issue":"1","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2014,11,25]],"date-time":"2014-11-25T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1416873600000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["BMC Infect Dis"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2014,12]]},"DOI":"10.1186\/s12879-014-0610-4","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2014,11,24]],"date-time":"2014-11-24T15:05:41Z","timestamp":1416841541000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":97,"title":["Spatiotemporal clustering, climate periodicity, and social-ecological risk factors for dengue during an outbreak in Machala, Ecuador, in 2010"],"prefix":"10.1186","volume":"14","author":[{"given":"Anna M","family":"Stewart-Ibarra","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"\u00c1ngel G","family":"Mu\u00f1oz","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Sadie J","family":"Ryan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Efra\u00edn Beltr\u00e1n","family":"Ayala","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Mercy J","family":"Borbor-Cordova","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Julia L","family":"Finkelstein","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Ra\u00fal","family":"Mej\u00eda","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Tania","family":"Ordo\u00f1ez","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"G Cristina","family":"Recalde-Coronel","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Keytia","family":"Rivero","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2014,11,25]]},"reference":[{"key":"610_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"584","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.2012.11-0770","volume":"87","author":"OB Dick","year":"2012","unstructured":"Dick OB, Mart\u00edn JLS, Montoya RH, del Diego J, Zambrano B, Dayan GH: The history of dengue outbreaks in the Americas. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2012, 87: 584-593. 10.4269\/ajtmh.2012.11-0770.","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"610_CR2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"128","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.2010.09-0346","volume":"82","author":"JL San Mart\u00edn","year":"2010","unstructured":"San Mart\u00edn JL, Brathwaite O, Zambrano B, Sol\u00f3rzano JO, Bouckenooghe A, Dayan GH, Guzm\u00e1n MG: The epidemiology of dengue in the Americas over the last three decades: a worrisome reality. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2010, 82: 128-135. 10.4269\/ajtmh.2010.09-0346.","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"610_CR3","unstructured":"Global Strategy for Dengue Prevention and Control, 2012-2020. 2012, WHO, Geneva"},{"key":"610_CR4","unstructured":"Dengue: Guidelines for Diagnosis, Treatment, Prevention and Control. 2009, WHO, Geneva"},{"key":"610_CR5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"100","DOI":"10.1016\/S0966-842X(01)02288-0","volume":"10","author":"DJ Gubler","year":"2002","unstructured":"Gubler DJ: Epidemic dengue\/dengue hemorrhagic fever as a public health, social and economic problem in the 21st century. Trends Microbiol. 2002, 10: 100-103. 10.1016\/S0966-842X(01)02288-0.","journal-title":"Trends Microbiol"},{"key":"610_CR6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"504","DOI":"10.1038\/nature12060","volume":"496","author":"S Bhatt","year":"2013","unstructured":"Bhatt S, Gething PW, Brady OJ, Messina JP, Farlow AW, Moyes CL, Drake JM, Brownstein JS, Hoen AG, Sankoh O, Myers MF, George DB, Jaenisch T, Wint GRW, Simmons CP, Scott TW, Farrar JJ, Hay SI: The global distribution and burden of dengue. Nature. 2013, 496: 504-507. 10.1038\/nature12060.","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"610_CR7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"138","DOI":"10.1016\/j.tim.2013.12.011","volume":"22","author":"JP Messina","year":"2014","unstructured":"Messina JP, Brady OJ, Scott TW, Zou C, Pigott DM, Duda KA, Bhatt S, Katzelnick L, Howes RE, Battle KE, Simmons CP, Hay SI: Global spread of dengue virus types: mapping the 70 year history. Trends Microbiol. 2014, 22: 138-146. 10.1016\/j.tim.2013.12.011.","journal-title":"Trends Microbiol"},{"key":"610_CR8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"71","DOI":"10.1146\/annurev.micro.62.081307.163005","volume":"62","author":"JL Kyle","year":"2008","unstructured":"Kyle JL, Harris E: Global spread and persistence of dengue . Annu Rev Microbiol. 2008, 62: 71-92. 10.1146\/annurev.micro.62.081307.163005.","journal-title":"Annu Rev Microbiol"},{"key":"610_CR9","volume-title":"Using climate to predict infectious disease epidemics","author":"K Kuhn","year":"2005","unstructured":"Kuhn K, Campbell-Lendrum D, Haines A, Cox J: Using climate to predict infectious disease epidemics. 2005, World Health Organization, Geneva"},{"key":"610_CR10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Thomson MC, Garcia-Herrera R, Beniston M (Eds.): Seasonal Forecasts, Climatic Change and Human Health: Health and Climate. Springer; 2008.","DOI":"10.1007\/978-1-4020-6877-5"},{"key":"610_CR11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"864","DOI":"10.1002\/sim.5549","volume":"32","author":"R Lowe","year":"2013","unstructured":"Lowe R, Bailey TC, Stephenson DB, Jupp TE, Graham RJ, Barcellos C, Carvalho MS: The development of an early warning system for climate-sensitive disease risk with a focus on dengue epidemics in southeast Brazil. Stat Med. 2013, 32: 864-883. 10.1002\/sim.5549.","journal-title":"Stat Med"},{"key":"610_CR12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e1648","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0001648","volume":"6","author":"V Racloz","year":"2012","unstructured":"Racloz V, Ramsey R, Tong S, Hu W: Surveillance of dengue fever virus: a review of epidemiological models and early warning systems. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2012, 6: e1648-10.1371\/journal.pntd.0001648.","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"610_CR13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"485","DOI":"10.1007\/s00477-010-0417-9","volume":"25","author":"H-L Yu","year":"2011","unstructured":"Yu H-L, Yang S-J, Yen H-J, Christakos G: A spatio-temporal climate-based model of early dengue fever warning in southern Taiwan. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess. 2011, 25: 485-494. 10.1007\/s00477-010-0417-9.","journal-title":"Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess"},{"key":"610_CR14","first-page":"5","volume":"4","author":"E Grover-Kopec","year":"2013","unstructured":"Grover-Kopec E, Kawano M, Klaver RW, Blumenthal B, Ceccato P: An online operational rainfall-monitoring resource for epidemic malaria early warning systems in Africa. Malar J. 2013, 4: 5-","journal-title":"Malar J"},{"key":"610_CR15","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Ruiz D, Connor SJ, Thomson MC: A multimodel framework in support of malaria surveillance and control. In Seasonal Forecasts, Climatic Change and Human Health: Health and Climate. Springer; 2008:101-125.","DOI":"10.1007\/978-1-4020-6877-5_6"},{"key":"610_CR16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"214","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.2005.73.214","volume":"73","author":"MC Thomson","year":"2005","unstructured":"Thomson MC, Mason SJ, Phindela T, Connor SJ: Use of rainfall and sea surface temperature monitoring for malaria early warning in Botswana. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2005, 73: 214-221.","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"610_CR17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"955","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.0806490106","volume":"106","author":"A Anyamba","year":"2009","unstructured":"Anyamba A, Chretien J-P, Small J, Tucker CJ, Formenty PB, Richardson JH, Britch SC, Schnabel DC, Erickson RL, Linthicum KJ: Prediction of a Rift Valley fever outbreak. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2009, 106: 955-959. 10.1073\/pnas.0806490106.","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci"},{"key":"610_CR18","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"666","DOI":"10.1590\/S0034-89102009000400013","volume":"43","author":"AS Almeida","year":"2009","unstructured":"Almeida AS, Medronho RA, Valencia LIO: Spatial analysis of dengue and the socioeconomic context of the city of Rio de Janeiro (southeastern Brazil). Rev Sa\u00fade Publica. 2009, 43: 666-673. 10.1590\/S0034-89102009000400013.","journal-title":"Rev Sa\u00fade Publica"},{"key":"610_CR19","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"334","DOI":"10.1007\/s11524-006-9154-2","volume":"84","author":"MC De Mattos Almeida","year":"2007","unstructured":"De Mattos Almeida MC, Caiaffa WT, Assun\u00e7ao RM, Proietti FA: Spatial vulnerability to dengue in a Brazilian urban area during a 7-year surveillance. J Urban Health. 2007, 84: 334-345. 10.1007\/s11524-006-9154-2.","journal-title":"J Urban Health"},{"key":"610_CR20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e448","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000448","volume":"3","author":"A Mondini","year":"2009","unstructured":"Mondini A, de Moraes Bronzoni RV, Nunes SHP, Neto FC, Massad E, Alonso WJ, L\u00e1zzaro ES, Ferraz AA, de Andrade Zanotto PM, Nogueira ML: Spatio-temporal tracking and phylodynamics of an urban dengue 3 outbreak in Sao Paulo, Brazil. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2009, 3: e448-10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000448.","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"610_CR21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"757","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1365-3156.2002.00930.x","volume":"7","author":"GM da Teixeira","year":"2002","unstructured":"da Teixeira GM, da Costa MCN, Ferreira LDA, Vasconcelos PFC, Cairncross S: Dynamics of dengue virus circulation: a silent epidemic in a complex urban area. Trop Med Int Health. 2002, 7: 757-762. 10.1046\/j.1365-3156.2002.00930.x.","journal-title":"Trop Med Int Health"},{"key":"610_CR22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e78263","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0078263","volume":"8","author":"AM Stewart Ibarra","year":"2013","unstructured":"Stewart Ibarra AM, Ryan SJ, Beltr\u00e1n E, Mej\u00eda R, Silva M, Mu\u00f1oz \u00c1: Dengue vector dynamics (Aedes aegypti) influenced by climate and social factors in Ecuador: implications for targeted control. PloS One. 2013, 8: e78263-10.1371\/journal.pone.0078263.","journal-title":"PloS One"},{"key":"610_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1225","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.1978.27.1225","volume":"27","author":"CG Moore","year":"1978","unstructured":"Moore CG, Cline BL, Ruiz-Tiben E, Lee D, Romney-Joseph H, Rivera-Correa E: A\nedes aegypti in Puerto Rico: environmental determinants of larval abundance and relation to dengue virus transmission . Am J Trop Med Hyg. 1978, 27: 1225-1231.","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"610_CR24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e1378","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0001378","volume":"5","author":"R Barrera","year":"2011","unstructured":"Barrera R, Amador M, MacKay AJ: Population dynamics of Aedes aegypti and dengue as influenced by weather and human behavior in San Juan, Puerto Rico. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2011, 5: e1378-10.1371\/journal.pntd.0001378.","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"610_CR25","unstructured":"Ministerio de Salud Publica de Ecuador Direcci\u00f3n Nacional de Vigilancia Epidemiol\u00f3gica: Anuario Epidemiol\u00f3gico:, 1994-2014. Quito; 2014. [], [\n                    http:\/\/www.salud.gob.ec\/direccion-nacional-de-vigilancia-epidemiologica\/\n                    \n                  ]"},{"key":"610_CR26","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"971","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.12-0478","volume":"88","author":"AM Stewart Ibarra","year":"2013","unstructured":"Stewart Ibarra AM, Lowe R: Climate and non-climate drivers of dengue epidemics in southern coastal ecuador. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2013, 88: 971-981. 10.4269\/ajtmh.12-0478.","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"610_CR27","volume-title":"Technical Report for the CLIDEN Project","author":"\u00c1G Mu\u00f1oz","year":"2013","unstructured":"Mu\u00f1oz \u00c1G, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Ruiz Carrascal D: Desarrollo de modelos de pron\u00f3stico experimental: an\u00e1lisis socio ecol\u00c1Gico de riesgo a dengue y an\u00e1lisis estad\u00edstico de patrones clim\u00e1ticos, entomol\u00c1Gicos y epidemiol\u00c1Gicos en modelos de dengue. Technical Report for the CLIDEN Project. 2013, INAMHI-SENESCYT, Quito"},{"issue":"6","key":"610_CR28","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1471","DOI":"10.1175\/JAMC-D-13-0133.1","volume":"53","author":"GC Recalde-Coronel","year":"2014","unstructured":"Recalde-Coronel GC, Barnston AG, Mu\u00f1oz \u00c1G: Predictability of December-April rainfall in coastal and Andean Ecuador. J Appl Meteorol Climatol. 2014, 53 (6): 1471-1493. 10.1175\/JAMC-D-13-0133.1.","journal-title":"J Appl Meteorol Climatol"},{"key":"610_CR29","unstructured":"Instituto Nacional de Estad\u00edstica y Censos (INEC): Censo de Poblacion Y Vivienda. Quito: 2010 [], [\n                    http:\/\/www.ecuadorencifras.gob.ec\/\n                    \n                  ]"},{"key":"610_CR30","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"173","DOI":"10.2471\/BLT.09.067892","volume":"88","author":"N Arunachalam","year":"2010","unstructured":"Arunachalam N, Tana S, Espino F, Kittayapong P, Abeyewickrem W, Wai KT, Tyagi BK, Kroeger A, Sommerfeld J, Petzold M: Eco-bio-social determinants of dengue vector breeding: a multicountry study in urban and periurban Asia. Bull World Health Organ. 2010, 88: 173-184. 10.2471\/BLT.09.067892.","journal-title":"Bull World Health Organ"},{"key":"610_CR31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"38","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2334-14-38","volume":"14","author":"J Quintero","year":"2014","unstructured":"Quintero J, Brochero H, Manrique-Saide P, Barrera-P\u00e9rez M, Basso C, Romero S, Caprara A, Cunha JCDL, Ayala EB, Mitchell-Foster K, Kroeger A, Sommerfeld J, Petzold M: Ecological, biological and social dimensions of dengue vector breeding in five urban settings of Latin America: a multi-country study. BMC Infect Dis. 2014, 14: 38-10.1186\/1471-2334-14-38.","journal-title":"BMC Infect Dis"},{"key":"610_CR32","volume-title":"Detecci\u00f3n del virus dengue en el ecuador. una visi\u00f3n epidemiol\u00f3gica. Periodo, 1988-2012","author":"J Real","year":"2012","unstructured":"Real J, Mosquera C: Detecci\u00f3n del virus dengue en el ecuador. una visi\u00f3n epidemiol\u00f3gica. Periodo, 1988-2012. 2012, Instituto Nacional de Higiene y Medicina Tropical del Ministerio de Salud Publica, Guayaquil"},{"key":"610_CR33","unstructured":"Servicio Nacional para el Control de Enfermedades Transmitidas por Artropodos (SNEM), Ministerio de Salud Publica (MSP): Informe general por provincias, cantones\/localidades. programa de control y vigilancia del Aedes aegypti. Indices Breteau y Casa por ciclos. Guayaquil."},{"key":"610_CR34","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e1001634","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pbio.1001634","volume":"11","author":"J Hartter","year":"2013","unstructured":"Hartter J, Ryan SJ, MacKenzie CA, Parker JN, Strasser CA: Spatially explicit data: stewardship and ethical challenges in science. PLoS Biol. 2013, 11: e1001634-10.1371\/journal.pbio.1001634.","journal-title":"PLoS Biol"},{"key":"610_CR35","unstructured":"Beyer HL: Geospatial Modelling Environment v0. 7.0. 2012."},{"key":"610_CR36","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"245","DOI":"10.1007\/978-4-431-87771-4_14","volume-title":"Spatial Complexity, Informatics, and Wildlife Conservation","author":"HL Beyer","year":"2010","unstructured":"Beyer HL, Jenness J, Cushman SA: Components of spatial information management in wildlife ecology: software for statistical and modeling analysis. Spatial Complexity, Informatics, and Wildlife Conservation. 2010, Springer, Japan, 245-253. 10.1007\/978-4-431-87771-4_14."},{"key":"610_CR37","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"93","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1538-4632.1995.tb00338.x","volume":"27","author":"L Anselin","year":"1995","unstructured":"Anselin L: Local indicators of spatial association\u2014LISA. Geogr Anal. 1995, 27: 93-115. 10.1111\/j.1538-4632.1995.tb00338.x.","journal-title":"Geogr Anal"},{"key":"610_CR38","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"907","DOI":"10.1590\/S1415-790X2013000400011","volume":"16","author":"MA de Oliveira","year":"2013","unstructured":"de Oliveira MA, Ribeiro H, Castillo-Salgado C, de Oliveira MA, Ribeiro H, Castillo-Salgado C: Geospatial analysis applied to epidemiological studies of dengue: a systematic review. Rev Bras Epidemiol. 2013, 16: 907-917. 10.1590\/S1415-790X2013000400011.","journal-title":"Rev Bras Epidemiol"},{"key":"610_CR39","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"188","DOI":"10.1016\/j.proenv.2011.07.033","volume":"7","author":"KC Castillo","year":"2011","unstructured":"Castillo KC, K\u00f6rbl B, Stewart A, Gonzalez JF, Ponce F: Application of spatial analysis to the examination of dengue fever in Guayaquil, Ecuador. Procedia Environ Sci. 2011, 7: 188-193. 10.1016\/j.proenv.2011.07.033.","journal-title":"Procedia Environ Sci"},{"key":"610_CR40","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.18637\/jss.v034.i12","volume":"34","author":"V Calcagno","year":"2010","unstructured":"Calcagno V, de Mazancourt C: Glmulti: an R Package for easy automated model selection with (generalized) linear models . J Stat Softw. 2010, 34: 1-29.","journal-title":"J Stat Softw"},{"key":"610_CR41","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e106","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pmed.0020106","volume":"2","author":"B Cazelles","year":"2005","unstructured":"Cazelles B, Chavez M, McMichael AJ, Hales S: Nonstationary influence of El Ni\u00f1o on the synchronous dengue epidemics in Thailand. PLoS Med. 2005, 2: e106-10.1371\/journal.pmed.0020106.","journal-title":"PLoS Med"},{"key":"610_CR42","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"625","DOI":"10.1098\/rsif.2007.0212","volume":"4","author":"B Cazelles","year":"2007","unstructured":"Cazelles B, Chavez M, de Magny GC, Gu\u00c1Gan J-F, Hales S: Time-dependent spectral analysis of epidemiological time-series with wavelets. J R Soc Interface. 2007, 4: 625-636. 10.1098\/rsif.2007.0212.","journal-title":"J R Soc Interface"},{"key":"610_CR43","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Mu\u00f1oz \u00c1G, Ruiz D, Ram\u00edrez P, Le\u00f3n G, Quintana J, Bonilla A, Torres W, Past\u00e9n M, S\u00e1nchez O: Risk management at the Latin American Observatory. In Risk Manag - Curr Issues Chall. Edited by Banaitiene N. InTech; 2012:532-556.","DOI":"10.5772\/2568"},{"key":"610_CR44","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1645","DOI":"10.1175\/2010BAMS2958.1","volume":"91","author":"\u00c1G Mu\u00f1oz","year":"2010","unstructured":"Mu\u00f1oz \u00c1G, L\u00f3pez P, Vel\u00e1squez R, Monterrey L, Le\u00f3n G, Ruiz F, Recalde C, Cadena J, Mej\u00eda R, Paredes M: An environmental watch system for the Andean Countries: El Observatorio Andino. Bull Am Meteorol Soc. 2010, 91: 1645-1652. 10.1175\/2010BAMS2958.1.","journal-title":"Bull Am Meteorol Soc"},{"key":"610_CR45","unstructured":"Aguilar E, Sigr\u00f3 J, Brunet M: RClimdex con funcionalidades extras de control de calidad. Manual de Uso, version 1.0 2009:12. [], [\n                    http:\/\/cmc.org.ve\/descargas\/Cursos\/CRRH\/Manual_rclimdex_extraQC.r.pdf\n                    \n                  ]"},{"key":"610_CR46","unstructured":"RHTestsV4 software [], [\n                    http:\/\/etccdi.pacificclimate.org\/RHtest\/RHtestsV4_UserManual_20July2013.pdf\n                    \n                  ]"},{"key":"610_CR47","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2416","DOI":"10.1175\/2010JAMC2376.1","volume":"49","author":"XL Wang","year":"2010","unstructured":"Wang XL, Chen H, Wu Y, Feng Y, Pu Q: New techniques for detection and adjustment of shifts in daily precipitation data series. J Appl Meteorol Climatol. 2010, 49: 2416-2436. 10.1175\/2010JAMC2376.1.","journal-title":"J Appl Meteorol Climatol"},{"key":"610_CR48","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2423","DOI":"10.1175\/2008JAMC1741.1","volume":"47","author":"XL Wang","year":"2008","unstructured":"Wang XL: Accounting for autocorrelation in detecting mean shifts in climate data series using the penalized maximal t or f test. J Appl Meteorol Climatol. 2008, 47: 2423-2444. 10.1175\/2008JAMC1741.1.","journal-title":"J Appl Meteorol Climatol"},{"key":"610_CR49","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"368","DOI":"10.1175\/2007JTECHA982.1","volume":"25","author":"XL Wang","year":"2008","unstructured":"Wang XL: Penalized maximal f test for detecting undocumented mean shift without trend change. J Atmospheric Ocean Technol. 2008, 25: 368-384. 10.1175\/2007JTECHA982.1.","journal-title":"J Atmospheric Ocean Technol"},{"key":"610_CR50","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"61","DOI":"10.1175\/1520-0477(1998)079<0061:APGTWA>2.0.CO;2","volume":"79","author":"C Torrence","year":"1998","unstructured":"Torrence C, Compo GP: A practical guide to wavelet analysis. Bull Am Meteorol Soc. 1998, 79: 61-78. 10.1175\/1520-0477(1998)079<0061:APGTWA>2.0.CO;2.","journal-title":"Bull Am Meteorol Soc"},{"key":"610_CR51","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"561","DOI":"10.5194\/npg-11-561-2004","volume":"11","author":"A Grinsted","year":"2004","unstructured":"Grinsted A, Moore JC, Jevrejeva S: Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series. Nonlinear Process Geophys. 2004, 11: 561-566. 10.5194\/npg-11-561-2004.","journal-title":"Nonlinear Process Geophys"},{"key":"610_CR52","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e1003308","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pcbi.1003308","volume":"9","author":"J Louren\u00e7o","year":"2013","unstructured":"Louren\u00e7o J, Recker M: Natural, persistent oscillations in a spatial multi-strain disease system with application to dengue. PLoS Comput Biol. 2013, 9: e1003308-10.1371\/journal.pcbi.1003308.","journal-title":"PLoS Comput Biol"},{"key":"610_CR53","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"E2694","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1314933111","volume":"111","author":"RC Reiner","year":"2014","unstructured":"Reiner RC, Stoddard ST, Forshey BM, King AA, Ellis AM, Lloyd AL, Long KC, Rocha C, Vilcarromero S, Astete H, Bazan I, Lenhart A, Vazquez-Prokopec GM, Paz-Soldan VA, McCall PJ, Kitron U, Elder JP, Halsey ES, Morrison AC, Kochel TJ, Scott TW: Time-varying, serotype-specific force of infection of dengue virus. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2014, 111: E2694-E2702. 10.1073\/pnas.1314933111.","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci"},{"key":"610_CR54","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"344","DOI":"10.1038\/nature02225","volume":"427","author":"DAT Cummings","year":"2004","unstructured":"Cummings DAT, Irizarry RA, Huang NE, Endy TP, Nisalak A, Ungchusak K, Burke DS: Travelling waves in the occurrence of dengue haemorrhagic fever in Thailand. Nature. 2004, 427: 344-347. 10.1038\/nature02225.","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"610_CR55","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1135","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2458-14-1135","volume":"14","author":"AM Stewart Ibarra","year":"2014","unstructured":"Stewart Ibarra AM, Luzadis VA, Borbor Cordova MJ, Silva M, Ordo\u00f1ez T, Beltr\u00e1n Ayala E, Ryan SJ: A social-ecological analysis of community perceptions of dengue fever and Aedes aegypti in Machala, Ecuador. BMC Public Health. 2014, 14: 1135-10.1186\/1471-2458-14-1135.","journal-title":"BMC Public Health"},{"key":"610_CR56","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"656","DOI":"10.1590\/S0034-89102008000400011","volume":"42","author":"B Galli","year":"2008","unstructured":"Galli B, Chiaravalloti Neto F: Temporal-spatial risk model to identify areas at high-risk for occurrence of dengue fever. Rev Sa\u00fade P\u00fablica. 2008, 42: 656-663. 10.1590\/S0034-89102008000400011.","journal-title":"Rev Sa\u00fade P\u00fablica"},{"key":"610_CR57","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e920","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000920","volume":"4","author":"GM Vazquez-Prokopec","year":"2010","unstructured":"Vazquez-Prokopec GM, Kitron U, Montgomery B, Horne P, Ritchie SA: Quantifying the spatial dimension of dengue virus epidemic spread within a tropical urban environment. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2010, 4: e920-10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000920.","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"610_CR58","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"391","DOI":"10.1017\/S0950268810000713","volume":"139","author":"W Hu","year":"2011","unstructured":"Hu W, Clements A, Williams G, Tong S: Spatial analysis of notified dengue fever infections. Epidemiol Infect. 2011, 139: 391-399. 10.1017\/S0950268810000713.","journal-title":"Epidemiol Infect"},{"key":"610_CR59","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"52","DOI":"10.1093\/aje\/kwf006","volume":"156","author":"TP Endy","year":"2002","unstructured":"Endy TP, Nisalak A, Chunsuttiwat S, Libraty DH, Green S, Rothman AL, Vaughn DW, Ennis FA: Spatial and temporal circulation of dengue virus serotypes: a prospective study of primary school children in Kamphaeng Phet, Thailand. Am J Epidemiol. 2002, 156: 52-59. 10.1093\/aje\/kwf006.","journal-title":"Am J Epidemiol"},{"key":"610_CR60","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e1730","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0001730","volume":"6","author":"I-K Yoon","year":"2012","unstructured":"Yoon I-K, Getis A, Aldstadt J, Rothman AL, Tannitisupawong D, Koenraadt CJM, Fansiri T, Jones JW, Morrison AC, Jarman RG, Nisalak A, Mammen MP, Thammapalo S, Srikiatkhachorn A, Green S, Libraty DH, Gibbons RV, Endy T, Pimgate C, Scott TW: Fine scale spatiotemporal clustering of dengue virus transmission in children and Aedes aegypti in rural Thai villages. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2012, 6: e1730-10.1371\/journal.pntd.0001730.","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"610_CR61","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e481","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000481","volume":"3","author":"ST Stoddard","year":"2009","unstructured":"Stoddard ST, Morrison AC, Vazquez-Prokopec GM, Soldan VP, Kochel TJ, Kitron U, Elder JP, Scott TW: The role of human movement in the transmission of vector-borne pathogens. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2009, 3: e481-10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000481.","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"610_CR62","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"68","DOI":"10.1186\/1476-072X-8-68","volume":"8","author":"GM Vazquez-Prokopec","year":"2009","unstructured":"Vazquez-Prokopec GM, Stoddard ST, Paz-Soldan V, Morrison AC, Elder JP, Kochel TJ, Scott TW, Kitron U: Usefulness of commercially available GPS data-loggers for tracking human movement and exposure to dengue virus. Int J Health Geogr. 2009, 8: 68-10.1186\/1476-072X-8-68.","journal-title":"Int J Health Geogr"},{"key":"610_CR63","first-page":"167","volume":"33","author":"MTM Andrighetti","year":"2009","unstructured":"Andrighetti MTM, Galvani KC, da Gracca Macoris ML: Evaluation of Premise Condition Index in the context of Aedes aegypti control in Mar\u00edlia, S\u00e3o Paulo. Brazil. Dengue Bull. 2009, 33: 167-","journal-title":"Brazil. Dengue Bull"},{"key":"610_CR64","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"591","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.1995.53.591","volume":"53","author":"W Tun-Lin","year":"1995","unstructured":"Tun-Lin W, Kay BH, Barnes A: The Premise Condition Index: a tool for streamlining surveys of Aedes aegypti . Am J Trop Med Hyg. 1995, 53: 591-594.","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"610_CR65","volume-title":"A review of entomological sampling methods and indicators for dengue vectors","author":"DA Focks","year":"2003","unstructured":"Focks DA: A review of entomological sampling methods and indicators for dengue vectors. 2003, World Health Organization, Geneva"},{"key":"610_CR66","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"219","DOI":"10.1093\/jmedent\/10.2.219","volume":"10","author":"CP Pant","year":"1973","unstructured":"Pant CP, Yasuno M: Field studies on the gonotrophic cycle of Aedes aegypti in Bangkok, Thailand. J Med Entomol. 1973, 10: 219-223.","journal-title":"J Med Entomol"},{"key":"610_CR67","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"143","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.1987.36.143","volume":"36","author":"DM Watts","year":"1986","unstructured":"Watts DM, Burke DS, Harrison BA, Whitmire RE, Nisalak A: Effect of temperature on the vector efficiency of Aedes aegypti for dengue 2 virus. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 1986, 36: 143-152.","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"610_CR68","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"892","DOI":"10.1093\/jmedent\/27.5.892","volume":"27","author":"LM Rueda","year":"1990","unstructured":"Rueda LM, Patel KJ, Axtell RC, Stinner RE: Temperature-dependent development and survival rates of Culex quinquefasciatus and Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae). J Med Entomol. 1990, 27: 892-898.","journal-title":"J Med Entomol"},{"key":"610_CR69","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"157","DOI":"10.1017\/S0007485300053499","volume":"49","author":"M Bar-Zeev","year":"1958","unstructured":"Bar-Zeev M: The effect of temperature on the growth rate and survival of the immature stages of Aedes aegypti (L.). Bull Entomol Res. 1958, 49: 157-163. 10.1017\/S0007485300053499.","journal-title":"Bull Entomol Res"},{"key":"610_CR70","first-page":"280","volume":"29","author":"HM Thu","year":"1998","unstructured":"Thu HM, Aye KM, Thein S: The effect of temperature and humidity on dengue virus propagation in Aedes aegypti mosquitos. Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health. 1998, 29: 280-284.","journal-title":"Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health"},{"key":"610_CR71","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"7460","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1101377108","volume":"108","author":"L Lambrechts","year":"2011","unstructured":"Lambrechts L, Paaijmans KP, Fansiri T, Carrington LB, Kramer LD, Thomas MB, Scott TW: Impact of daily temperature fluctuations on dengue virus transmission by Aedes aegypti . Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2011, 108: 7460-7465. 10.1073\/pnas.1101377108.","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci"},{"key":"610_CR72","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"164","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2334-11-164","volume":"11","author":"G Chowell","year":"2011","unstructured":"Chowell G, Cazelles B, Broutin H, Munayco CV: The influence of geographic and climate factors on the timing of dengue epidemics in Per\u00fa, 1994-2008. BMC Infect Dis. 2011, 11: 164-10.1186\/1471-2334-11-164.","journal-title":"BMC Infect Dis"},{"key":"610_CR73","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"142","DOI":"10.1186\/1475-2875-8-142","volume":"8","author":"G Chowell","year":"2009","unstructured":"Chowell G, Munayco CV, Escalante AA, McKenzie FE: The spatial and temporal patterns of falciparum and vivax malaria in Per\u00fa: 1994-2006. Malar J. 2009, 8: 142-10.1186\/1475-2875-8-142.","journal-title":"Malar J"},{"key":"610_CR74","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"9335","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.97.16.9335","volume":"97","author":"SI Hay","year":"2000","unstructured":"Hay SI, Myers MF, Burke DS, Vaughn DW, Endy T, Ananda N, Shanks GD, Snow RW, Rogers DJ: Etiology of interepidemic periods of mosquito-borne disease. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2000, 97: 9335-9339. 10.1073\/pnas.97.16.9335.","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci"},{"key":"610_CR75","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"11802","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.0602960103","volume":"103","author":"HJ Wearing","year":"2006","unstructured":"Wearing HJ, Rohani P: Ecological and immunological determinants of dengue epidemics. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2006, 103: 11802-11807. 10.1073\/pnas.0602960103.","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci"},{"key":"610_CR76","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"144","DOI":"10.1016\/j.apgeog.2014.05.007","volume":"52","author":"EM Delmelle","year":"2014","unstructured":"Delmelle EM, Zhu H, Tang W, Casas I: A web-based geospatial toolkit for the monitoring of dengue fever. Appl Geogr. 2014, 52: 144-152. 10.1016\/j.apgeog.2014.05.007.","journal-title":"Appl Geogr"},{"key":"610_CR77","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"49","DOI":"10.1186\/1476-072X-8-49","volume":"8","author":"AY Chang","year":"2009","unstructured":"Chang AY, Parrales ME, Jimenez J, Sobieszczyk ME, Hammer SM, Copenhaver DJ, Kulkarni RP: Combining Google Earth and GIS mapping technologies in a dengue surveillance system for developing countries. Int J Health Geogr. 2009, 8: 49-10.1186\/1476-072X-8-49.","journal-title":"Int J Health Geogr"},{"key":"610_CR78","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"715","DOI":"10.1016\/j.healthplace.2005.10.001","volume":"12","author":"R Moreno-Sanchez","year":"2006","unstructured":"Moreno-Sanchez R, Hayden M, Janes C, Anderson G: A web-based multimedia spatial information system to document Aedes aegypti breeding sites and dengue fever risk along the US\u2013Mexico border. Health Place. 2006, 12: 715-727. 10.1016\/j.healthplace.2005.10.001.","journal-title":"Health Place"},{"key":"610_CR79","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e70231","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0070231","volume":"8","author":"JE Hern\u00e1ndez-\u00c1vila","year":"2013","unstructured":"Hern\u00e1ndez-\u00c1vila JE, Rodr\u00c1Guez M-H, Santos-Luna R, S\u00e1nchez-Casta\u00f1eda V, Rom\u00e1n-P\u00e9rez S, R\u00edos-Salgado VH, Salas-Sarmiento JA: Nation-wide, web-based, geographic information system for the integrated surveillance and control of dengue fever in Mexico. PLoS ONE. 2013, 8: e70231-10.1371\/journal.pone.0070231.","journal-title":"PLoS ONE"}],"container-title":["BMC Infectious Diseases"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1186\/s12879-014-0610-4\/fulltext.html","content-type":"text\/html","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1186\/s12879-014-0610-4.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1186\/s12879-014-0610-4","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"},{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1186\/s12879-014-0610-4.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2019,2,26]],"date-time":"2019-02-26T07:44:00Z","timestamp":1551167040000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/bmcinfectdis.biomedcentral.com\/articles\/10.1186\/s12879-014-0610-4"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2014,11,25]]},"references-count":79,"journal-issue":{"issue":"1","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2014,12]]}},"alternative-id":["610"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1186\/s12879-014-0610-4","relation":{},"ISSN":["1471-2334"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1471-2334","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2014,11,25]]},"assertion":[{"value":"12 June 2014","order":1,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"4 November 2014","order":2,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"25 November 2014","order":3,"name":"first_online","label":"First Online","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}}],"article-number":"610"}}