{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,8,18]],"date-time":"2026-08-18T02:34:16Z","timestamp":1787020456705,"version":"build-2736575974"},"reference-count":42,"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","issue":"1","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,19]],"date-time":"2025-03-19T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1742342400000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-nd\/4.0"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,19]],"date-time":"2025-03-19T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1742342400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-nd\/4.0"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["BMC Oral Health"],"DOI":"10.1186\/s12903-025-05764-2","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,19]],"date-time":"2025-03-19T12:05:51Z","timestamp":1742385951000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":5,"title":["Incidence trends and projections of lip and oral cavity cancer in China 1990-2021: an age-period-cohort and decomposition analysis"],"prefix":"10.1186","volume":"25","author":[{"given":"Long","family":"Xie","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Chun-Ming","family":"Huang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yan-Li","family":"Song","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Zhe","family":"Shao","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Zheng-Jun","family":"Shang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,19]]},"reference":[{"issue":"6","key":"5764_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"394","DOI":"10.3322\/caac.21492","volume":"68","author":"F Bray","year":"2018","unstructured":"Bray F, Ferlay J, Soerjomataram I, Siegel RL, Torre LA, Jemal A. Global cancer statistics 2018: GLOBOCAN estimates of incidence and mortality worldwide for 36 cancers in 185 countries. CA Cancer J Clin. 2018;68(6):394\u2013424.","journal-title":"CA Cancer J Clin"},{"issue":"4","key":"5764_CR2","first-page":"339","volume":"73","author":"MC Pereira","year":"2007","unstructured":"Pereira MC, Oliveira DT, Landman G, Kowalski LP. Histologic subtypes of oral squamous cell carcinoma: prognostic relevance. J Can Dent Assoc. 2007;73(4):339\u201344.","journal-title":"J Can Dent Assoc"},{"issue":"12","key":"5764_CR3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"3983","DOI":"10.31557\/APJCP.2022.23.12.3983","volume":"23","author":"D Sulaiman","year":"2022","unstructured":"Sulaiman D, Lohiya A, Rizwan SA, Singh A, Dwivedi P, Bahuguna P, et al. Diagnostic Accuracy of Screening of Lip and Oral Cavity Cancers or Potentially Malignant Disorders (PMD) by Frontline Workers: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev. 2022;23(12):3983\u201391.","journal-title":"Asian Pac J Cancer Prev"},{"issue":"5","key":"5764_CR4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e555","DOI":"10.1016\/S2214-109X(18)30127-X","volume":"6","author":"H Zeng","year":"2018","unstructured":"Zeng H, Chen W, Zheng R, Zhang S, Ji JS, Zou X, et al. Changing cancer survival in China during 2003\u201315: a pooled analysis of 17 population-based cancer registries. Lancet Glob Health. 2018;6(5):e555\u201367.","journal-title":"Lancet Glob Health"},{"issue":"9","key":"5764_CR5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1611","DOI":"10.3390\/healthcare10091611","volume":"10","author":"J Zhang","year":"2022","unstructured":"Zhang J, Lu Y, Li H, Zhang N, He R, Zhang R, Mao Y, Zhu B. Lip and Oral Cavity Cancer Burden and Related Risk Factors in China: Estimates and Forecasts from 1990 to 2049. Healthcare (Basel). 2022;10(9):1611.","journal-title":"Healthcare (Basel)"},{"key":"5764_CR6","volume-title":"Chinese cancer registry annual report 2021","author":"H Jie","year":"2021","unstructured":"Jie H, Chinese Wei W, Report Cancer Registry Annual. Chinese cancer registry annual report 2021. Beijing: Ministry of Health; 2021."},{"issue":"9","key":"5764_CR7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1501","DOI":"10.1080\/10826084.2020.1750031","volume":"55","author":"Y Hu","year":"2020","unstructured":"Hu Y, Zhong R, Li H, Zou Y. Effects of betel quid, smoking and alcohol on oral cancer risk: a case-control study in Hunan Province. China Subst Use Misuse. 2020;55(9):1501\u20138.","journal-title":"China Subst Use Misuse"},{"issue":"6","key":"5764_CR8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"938","DOI":"10.1038\/s41430-019-0507-9","volume":"74","author":"X Bao","year":"2020","unstructured":"Bao X, Chen F, Lin J, Chen Q, Chen L, Wang R, Liu F, Wang J, Yan L, Lin L, Qiu Y, Pan L, Shi B, Zheng X, He B. Association between dietary inflammatory index and the risk of oral cancer in the southeast of China. Eur J Clin Nutr. 2020;74(6):938\u201344.","journal-title":"Eur J Clin Nutr."},{"issue":"10366","key":"5764_CR9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1821","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(22)02410-2","volume":"400","author":"T Lancet","year":"2022","unstructured":"Lancet T. Population ageing in China: crisis or opportunity? Lancet. 2022;400(10366):1821.","journal-title":"Lancet"},{"issue":"10440","key":"5764_CR10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2162","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(24)00933-4","volume":"403","author":"GBD 2021 Risk Factors Collaborators","year":"2024","unstructured":"GBD 2021 Risk Factors Collaborators.\u00a0Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990\u20132021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet. 2024; 403(10440): 2162\u20132203.","journal-title":"Lancet"},{"issue":"10","key":"5764_CR11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1445","DOI":"10.1002\/JPER.21-0469","volume":"93","author":"L Wu","year":"2022","unstructured":"Wu L, Zhang SQ, Zhao L, Ren ZH, Hu CY. Global, regional, and national burden of periodontitis from 1990 to 2019: Results from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019. J Periodontol. 2022;93(10):1445\u201354.","journal-title":"J Periodontol"},{"key":"5764_CR12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e45943","DOI":"10.2196\/45943","volume":"9","author":"Q He","year":"2023","unstructured":"He Q, Mok TN, Sin TH, Yin J, Li S, Yin Y, et al. Global, regional, and national prevalence of gout from 1990 to 2019: age-period-cohort analysis with future burden prediction. JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2023;9:e45943.","journal-title":"JMIR Public Health Surveill"},{"issue":"11","key":"5764_CR13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2296","DOI":"10.1158\/1055-9965.EPI-14-0300","volume":"23","author":"PS Rosenberg","year":"2014","unstructured":"Rosenberg PS, Check DP, Anderson WF. Anderson, A web tool for age-period-cohort analysis of cancer incidence and mortality rates. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2014;23(11):2296\u2013302.","journal-title":"Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev"},{"issue":"3","key":"5764_CR14","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"531","DOI":"10.1002\/bimj.201500263","volume":"59","author":"A Riebler","year":"2017","unstructured":"Riebler A, Held L. Projecting the future burden of cancer: Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis with integrated nested Laplace approximations. Biom J. 2017;59(3):531\u201349.","journal-title":"Biom J"},{"issue":"6","key":"5764_CR15","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e1003138","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pmed.1003138","volume":"17","author":"X Cheng","year":"2020","unstructured":"Cheng X, Yang Y, Schwebel DC, Liu Z, Li L, Cheng P, et al. Population ageing and mortality during 1990\u20132017: A global decomposition analysis. PLoS Med. 2020;17(6):e1003138.","journal-title":"PLoS Med"},{"issue":"3","key":"5764_CR16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"337","DOI":"10.1016\/j.oooo.2015.04.013","volume":"120","author":"B Liu","year":"2015","unstructured":"Liu B, Shen M, Xiong J, Yuan Y, Wu X, Gao X, et al. Synergistic effects of betel quid chewing, tobacco use (in the form of cigarette smoking), and alcohol consumption on the risk of malignant transformation of oral submucous fibrosis (OSF): a case-control study in Hunan Province, China. Oral Surg Oral Med Oral Pathol Oral Radiol. 2015;120(3):337\u201345.","journal-title":"Oral Surg Oral Med Oral Pathol Oral Radiol"},{"issue":"3","key":"5764_CR17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"229","DOI":"10.3322\/caac.21834","volume":"74","author":"F Bray","year":"2024","unstructured":"Bray F, Laversanne M, Sung H, Ferlay J, Siegel RL, Soerjomataram I, et al. Global cancer statistics 2022: GLOBOCAN estimates of incidence and mortality worldwide for 36 cancers in 185 countries. CA Cancer J Clin. 2024;74(3):229\u201363.","journal-title":"CA Cancer J Clin"},{"issue":"1","key":"5764_CR18","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"35","DOI":"10.1016\/S2213-2600(18)30432-6","volume":"7","author":"M Wang","year":"2019","unstructured":"Wang M, Luo X, Xu S, Liu W, Ding F, Zhang X, et al. Trends in smoking prevalence and implication for chronic diseases in China: serial national cross-sectional surveys from 2003 to 2013. Lancet Respir Med. 2019;7(1):35\u201345.","journal-title":"Lancet Respir Med"},{"issue":"7","key":"5764_CR19","first-page":"898","volume":"39","author":"YR Li","year":"2018","unstructured":"Li YR, Wang J, Zhao LY, Wang ZH, Yu DM, He YN, et al. The drinking status and associated factors in adults in China. Chinese Journal of Epidemiology. 2018;39(7):898\u2013903.","journal-title":"Chinese Journal of Epidemiology"},{"issue":"1","key":"5764_CR20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"640","DOI":"10.1186\/s12903-021-01998-y","volume":"21","author":"G Koml\u00f3s","year":"2021","unstructured":"Koml\u00f3s G, Csurgay K, Horv\u00e1th F, Pelyhe L, N\u00e9meth Z. Periodontitis as a risk for oral cancer: a case-control study. BMC Oral Health. 2021;21(1):640.","journal-title":"BMC Oral Health"},{"issue":"1","key":"5764_CR21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"22073","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-023-49438-x","volume":"13","author":"W Wang","year":"2023","unstructured":"Wang W, Liu Y, Wu J. Early diagnosis of oral cancer using a hybrid arrangement of deep belief networkand combined group teaching algorithm. Sci Rep. 2023;13(1):22073.","journal-title":"Sci Rep"},{"issue":"6","key":"5764_CR22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"555","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1600-0528.2009.00504.x","volume":"37","author":"KY Tsai","year":"2009","unstructured":"Tsai KY, Su CC, Lin YY, Chung JA, Lian IEB. Quantification of betel quid chewing and cigarette smoking in oral cancer patients. Community Dent Oral Epidemiol. 2009;37(6):555\u201361.","journal-title":"Community Dent Oral Epidemiol."},{"issue":"1","key":"5764_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e0243559","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0243559","volume":"16","author":"L Wu","year":"2021","unstructured":"Wu L, Huang Z, Pan Z. The spatiality and driving forces of population ageing in China. PLoS One. 2021;16(1): e0243559.","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"issue":"9","key":"5764_CR24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"afad043","DOI":"10.1093\/ageing\/afad043","volume":"52","author":"W Ju","year":"2023","unstructured":"Ju W, Zheng R, Wang S, Zhang S, Zeng H, Chen R, et al. The occurence of cancer in ageing populations at global and regional levels, 1990 to 2019. Age Ageing. 2023;52(9):afad043.","journal-title":"Age Ageing."},{"issue":"10","key":"5764_CR25","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1401","DOI":"10.1001\/jamaoncol.2023.2960","volume":"9","author":"ARD Cunha","year":"2023","unstructured":"GBD 2019 Lip, Oral, and Pharyngeal Cancer Collaborators, Cunha ARD, Compton K, Xu R, Mishra R, Drangsholt MT, et al. The global, regional, and national burden of adult lip, oral, and pharyngeal cancer in 204 countries and territories: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2019. JAMA Oncol. 2023;9(10):1401\u201316.","journal-title":"JAMA Oncol."},{"issue":"10","key":"5764_CR26","first-page":"1640","volume":"57","author":"X Gong","year":"2023","unstructured":"Gong X, Wang CM, Li LN, Lyu SB. Influencing factors for electronic cigarette use among Chinese adolescent students: a Meta-analysis. Chin J Prev Med. 2023;57(10):1640\u20136.","journal-title":"Chin J Prev Med"},{"issue":"1","key":"5764_CR27","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"155","DOI":"10.1186\/s12985-020-01423-w","volume":"17","author":"WG Yin","year":"2020","unstructured":"Yin WG, Yang M, Peng L, Liu YM, Cheng B, Xuan SX, et al. Male papillomavirus infection and genotyping in the Qingyuan area. Virol J. 2020;17(1):155.","journal-title":"Virol J"},{"issue":"3","key":"5764_CR28","first-page":"399","volume":"55","author":"QW Zhang","year":"2021","unstructured":"Zhang QW, Deng J, Wu CD. Prevalence betel nut abuse and its related factors among residents in Haikou City from 2013 to 2014. Chin J Prev Med. 2021;55(3):399\u2013401.","journal-title":"Chin J Prev Med"},{"issue":"11","key":"5764_CR29","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"611","DOI":"10.1002\/cac2.12099","volume":"40","author":"X Liu","year":"2020","unstructured":"Liu X, Yu Y, Wang M, Mubarik S, Wang F, Wang Y, et al. The mortality of lung cancer attributable to smoking among adults in China and the United States during 1990\u20132017. Cancer Commun (Lond). 2020;40(11):611\u20139.","journal-title":"Cancer Commun (Lond)"},{"issue":"5","key":"5764_CR30","first-page":"16","volume":"9","author":"JH Zhou","year":"2008","unstructured":"Zhou JH, Zhang ZY, Zhang YY, Zhou QM. The empirical analysis on the changes of Chinese cigarette prices and consumption demands from 2001 to 2006s. J Hunan Agric Univ (Social Science). 2008;9(5):16\u201320.","journal-title":"J Hunan Agric Univ (Social Science)"},{"issue":"1","key":"5764_CR31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"5598","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-024-56368-9","volume":"14","author":"B Song","year":"2024","unstructured":"Song B, Li H, Zhang H, Jiao L, Wu S. Impact of electronic cigarette usage on the onset of respiratory symptoms and COPD among Chinese adults. Sci Rep. 2024;14(1):5598.","journal-title":"Sci Rep"},{"issue":"2","key":"5764_CR32","first-page":"125","volume":"22","author":"W Xu","year":"2024","unstructured":"Xu W, Yuan YY, Liang Y. The mechanism and research progress of e-cigarette in the pathogenesis of oral cancer. Chin J Geriatr Dent. 2024;22(2):125\u20138.","journal-title":"Chin J Geriatr Dent"},{"key":"5764_CR33","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.oraloncology.2021.105676","volume":"125","author":"P Herndon","year":"2022","unstructured":"Herndon P, Jassal JS, Cramer JD. Association between E-cigarette use and oral HPV-16 infection. Oral Oncol. 2022;125: 105676.","journal-title":"Oral Oncol"},{"issue":"2","key":"5764_CR34","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"261","DOI":"10.1007\/s40618-023-02192-3","volume":"47","author":"A Garolla","year":"2024","unstructured":"Garolla A, Graziani A, Grande G, Ortolani C, Ferlin A. HPV-related diseases in male patients: an underestimated conundrum. J Endocrinol Invest. 2024;47(2):261\u201374.","journal-title":"J Endocrinol Invest"},{"issue":"17","key":"5764_CR35","first-page":"2656","volume":"34","author":"JP Hu","year":"2024","unstructured":"Hu JP, Zhao YQ, Li Y, Liu HX, Zou YM, Geng Q, et al. Prevalence of HPV infection and subtypes among male population in Qujing, Yunnan Province from 2017 to 2022. Chin J Nosocomiol. 2024;34(17):2656\u201361.","journal-title":"Chin J Nosocomiol"},{"issue":"9","key":"5764_CR36","first-page":"1173","volume":"39","author":"BB Chen","year":"2024","unstructured":"Chen BB, Tian JY, Chen JP, Teng Y. Infection status and genotype distribution of human papillomavirus in men and women in Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 2018\u20132023. Dis Surveillance. 2024;39(9):1173\u20138.","journal-title":"Dis Surveillance"},{"issue":"1","key":"5764_CR37","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"44","DOI":"10.1038\/s41368-023-00249-w","volume":"15","author":"Y Tan","year":"2023","unstructured":"Tan Y, Wang Z, Xu M, Li B, Huang Z, Qin S, et al. Oral squamous cell carcinomas: state of the field and emerging directions. Int J Oral Sci. 2023;15(1):44.","journal-title":"Int J Oral Sci"},{"key":"5764_CR38","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"87","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2458-8-87","volume":"8","author":"K Kingsley","year":"2008","unstructured":"Kingsley K, O\u2019Malley S, Ditmyer M, Chino M. Analysis of oral cancer epidemiology in the US reveals state-specific trends: implications for oral cancer prevention. BMC Public Health. 2008;8:87.","journal-title":"BMC Public Health"},{"key":"5764_CR39","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"102020","DOI":"10.1016\/j.canep.2021.102020","volume":"75","author":"L Giraldi","year":"2021","unstructured":"Giraldi L, Collatuzzo G, Hashim D, Franceschi S, Herrero R, Chen C, et al. Infection with Human Papilloma Virus (HPV) and risk of subsites within the oral cancer. Cancer Epidemiol. 2021;75: 102020.","journal-title":"Cancer Epidemiol"},{"issue":"7\u20138","key":"5764_CR40","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1920","DOI":"10.1080\/21645515.2019.1600985","volume":"15","author":"MR Timbang","year":"2019","unstructured":"Timbang MR, Sim MW, Bewley AF, Farwell DG, Mantravadi A, Moore MG. HPV-related oropharyngeal cancer: a review on burden of the disease and opportunities for prevention and early detection. Hum Vaccin Immunother. 2019;15(7\u20138):1920\u20138.","journal-title":"Hum Vaccin Immunother"},{"issue":"12","key":"5764_CR41","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1313","DOI":"10.1177\/00220345211014795","volume":"100","author":"S Warnakulasuriya","year":"2021","unstructured":"Warnakulasuriya S, Kerr AR. Oral Cancer Screening: Past, Present, and Future. J Dent Res. 2021;100(12):1313\u201320.","journal-title":"J Dent Res"},{"issue":"20","key":"5764_CR42","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"3824","DOI":"10.3390\/ijerph16203824","volume":"16","author":"T Zhang","year":"2019","unstructured":"Zhang T, Liu J, Liu C. Changes in perceived accessibility to healthcare from the elderly between 2005 and 2014 in china: an oaxaca-blinder decomposition analysis. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019;16(20):3824.","journal-title":"Int J Environ Res Public Health"}],"container-title":["BMC Oral Health"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1186\/s12903-025-05764-2.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1186\/s12903-025-05764-2\/fulltext.html","content-type":"text\/html","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1186\/s12903-025-05764-2.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,19]],"date-time":"2025-03-19T19:07:41Z","timestamp":1742411261000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/bmcoralhealth.biomedcentral.com\/articles\/10.1186\/s12903-025-05764-2"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,19]]},"references-count":42,"journal-issue":{"issue":"1","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,12]]}},"alternative-id":["5764"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1186\/s12903-025-05764-2","relation":{},"ISSN":["1472-6831"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1472-6831","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,19]]},"assertion":[{"value":"23 September 2024","order":1,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"6 March 2025","order":2,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"19 March 2025","order":3,"name":"first_online","label":"First Online","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"order":1,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Declarations"}},{"value":"Not applicable.","order":2,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Ethics approval and consent to participate"}},{"value":"Not applicable.","order":3,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Consent for publication"}},{"value":"The authors declare no competing interests.","order":4,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Competing interests"}}],"article-number":"406"}}