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To date, there is still limited literature that attempts to explain the spatio-temporal population dynamics of <jats:italic>Aedes<\/jats:italic> mosquitoes within a single city, which hinders the development of more effective citywide vector control strategies. Narrowing this knowledge gap requires consistent and longitudinal measurement of <jats:italic>Aedes<\/jats:italic> abundance across the city as well as examination of relationships between variables on a much finer scale.<\/jats:p>\n              <\/jats:sec><jats:sec>\n                <jats:title>Methods<\/jats:title>\n                <jats:p>We utilized a high-resolution longitudinal dataset generated from Singapore\u2019s islandwide Gravitrap surveillance system over a 2-year period and built a Bayesian hierarchical model to explain the spatio-temporal dynamics of <jats:italic>Aedes aegypti<\/jats:italic> and <jats:italic>Aedes albopictus<\/jats:italic> in relation to a wide range of environmental and anthropogenic variables. We also created a baseline during our model assessment to serve as a benchmark to be compared with the model\u2019s out-of-sample prediction\/forecast accuracy as measured by the mean absolute error.<\/jats:p>\n              <\/jats:sec><jats:sec>\n                <jats:title>Results<\/jats:title>\n                <jats:p>For both <jats:italic>Aedes<\/jats:italic> species, building age and nearby managed vegetation cover were found to have a significant positive association with the mean mosquito abundance, with the former being the strongest predictor. We also observed substantial evidence of a nonlinear effect of weekly maximum temperature on the <jats:italic>Aedes<\/jats:italic> abundance. Our models generally yielded modest but statistically significant reductions in the out-of-sample prediction\/forecast error relative to the baseline.<\/jats:p>\n              <\/jats:sec><jats:sec>\n                <jats:title>Conclusions<\/jats:title>\n                <jats:p>Our findings suggest that public residential estates with older buildings and more nearby managed vegetation should be prioritized for vector control inspections and community advocacy to reduce the abundance of <jats:italic>Aedes<\/jats:italic> mosquitoes and the risk of dengue transmission.<\/jats:p>\n              <\/jats:sec><jats:sec>\n                <jats:title>Graphical Abstract<\/jats:title>\n                \n              <\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1186\/s13071-020-04554-9","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2021,1,11]],"date-time":"2021-01-11T13:28:51Z","timestamp":1610371731000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":33,"title":["Spatio-temporal analysis of the main dengue vector populations in Singapore"],"prefix":"10.1186","volume":"14","author":[{"given":"Haoyang","family":"Sun","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Borame L","family":"Dickens","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Daniel","family":"Richards","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Janet","family":"Ong","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Jayanthi","family":"Rajarethinam","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Muhammad E. 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