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Early identification of individuals with abnormal\n                      <jats:inline-formula>\n                        <jats:alternatives>\n                          <jats:tex-math>$$\\beta$$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                          <mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1998\/Math\/MathML\">\n                            <mml:mi>\u03b2<\/mml:mi>\n                          <\/mml:math>\n                        <\/jats:alternatives>\n                      <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                      -amyloid levels is crucial, but A\n                      <jats:inline-formula>\n                        <jats:alternatives>\n                          <jats:tex-math>$$\\beta$$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                          <mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1998\/Math\/MathML\">\n                            <mml:mi>\u03b2<\/mml:mi>\n                          <\/mml:math>\n                        <\/jats:alternatives>\n                      <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                      quantification with positron emission tomography (PET) and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) is invasive and expensive.\n                    <\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Methods<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>\n                      We propose a machine learning framework using standard non-invasive (MRI, demographics, APOE, neuropsychology) measures to predict future A\n                      <jats:inline-formula>\n                        <jats:alternatives>\n                          <jats:tex-math>$$\\beta$$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                          <mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1998\/Math\/MathML\">\n                            <mml:mi>\u03b2<\/mml:mi>\n                          <\/mml:math>\n                        <\/jats:alternatives>\n                      <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                      -positivity in A\n                      <jats:inline-formula>\n                        <jats:alternatives>\n                          <jats:tex-math>$$\\beta$$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                          <mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1998\/Math\/MathML\">\n                            <mml:mi>\u03b2<\/mml:mi>\n                          <\/mml:math>\n                        <\/jats:alternatives>\n                      <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                      -negative individuals. We separately study A\n                      <jats:inline-formula>\n                        <jats:alternatives>\n                          <jats:tex-math>$$\\beta$$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                          <mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1998\/Math\/MathML\">\n                            <mml:mi>\u03b2<\/mml:mi>\n                          <\/mml:math>\n                        <\/jats:alternatives>\n                      <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                      -positivity defined by PET and CSF.\n                    <\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Results<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>\n                      Cross-validated AUC for 4-year A\n                      <jats:inline-formula>\n                        <jats:alternatives>\n                          <jats:tex-math>$$\\beta$$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                          <mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1998\/Math\/MathML\">\n                            <mml:mi>\u03b2<\/mml:mi>\n                          <\/mml:math>\n                        <\/jats:alternatives>\n                      <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                      conversion prediction was 0.78 for the CSF-based and 0.68 for the PET-based A\n                      <jats:inline-formula>\n                        <jats:alternatives>\n                          <jats:tex-math>$$\\beta$$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                          <mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1998\/Math\/MathML\">\n                            <mml:mi>\u03b2<\/mml:mi>\n                          <\/mml:math>\n                        <\/jats:alternatives>\n                      <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                      definitions. Although not trained for the clinical status-change prediction, the CSF-based model excelled in predicting future mild cognitive impairment (MCI)\/dementia conversion in cognitively normal\/MCI individuals (AUCs, respectively, 0.76 and 0.89 with a separate dataset).\n                    <\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Conclusion<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>\n                      Standard measures have potential in detecting future A\n                      <jats:inline-formula>\n                        <jats:alternatives>\n                          <jats:tex-math>$$\\beta$$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                          <mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1998\/Math\/MathML\">\n                            <mml:mi>\u03b2<\/mml:mi>\n                          <\/mml:math>\n                        <\/jats:alternatives>\n                      <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                      -positivity and assessing conversion risk, even in cognitively normal individuals. The CSF-based definition led to better predictions than the PET-based definition.\n                    <\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1186\/s13195-024-01415-w","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2024,2,27]],"date-time":"2024-02-27T08:02:31Z","timestamp":1709020951000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":14,"title":["Machine learning prediction of future amyloid beta positivity in amyloid-negative individuals"],"prefix":"10.1186","volume":"16","author":[{"given":"Elaheh","family":"Moradi","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Mithilesh","family":"Prakash","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Anette","family":"Hall","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Alina","family":"Solomon","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Bryan","family":"Strange","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jussi","family":"Tohka","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"name":"for the Alzheimer\u2019s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2024,2,27]]},"reference":[{"issue":"4","key":"1415_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"535","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jalz.2018.02.018","volume":"14","author":"CR Jack Jr","year":"2018","unstructured":"Jack CR Jr, Bennett DA, Blennow K, Carrillo MC, Dunn B, Haeberlein SB, et al. 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