{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,10]],"date-time":"2026-10-10T07:24:22Z","timestamp":1791617062341,"version":"4.3.4"},"update-to":[{"DOI":"10.12688\/gatesopenres.13074.1","type":"new_version","label":"New version","source":"publisher","updated":{"date-parts":[[2020,3,4]],"date-time":"2020-03-04T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1583280000000}}],"reference-count":58,"publisher":"F1000 Research Ltd","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,3,4]],"date-time":"2020-03-04T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1583280000000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000865","name":"Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["OPP1184344"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["OPP1184344"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000865","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100000360","name":"Scottish Funding Council","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100000360","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100004440","name":"Wellcome Trust","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["207569"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["207569"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100004440","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100004423","name":"World Health Organization","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100004423","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"crossref"}]},{"name":"Gavi Learning Agenda"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["gatesopenresearch.org"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Gates Open Res"],"abstract":"<ns4:p>Dog-mediated rabies continues to kill tens of thousands of people every year in low- and middle-income countries despite being an entirely vaccine-preventable disease. WHO and partners have launched a global campaign to reach zero human deaths from dog-mediated rabies by 2030. The primary tools for reaching this target are mass dog vaccination to interrupt transmission in domestic dog populations that maintain infection, appropriate post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) for rabies-exposed persons to prevent the fatal onset of disease, together with education to support their effective uptake. Models have been developed to assess the feasibility, impact and cost-effectiveness of these measures. From these models, we argue that the 2030 target of zero human rabies deaths is achievable, but will require concerted effort, engagement and investment. A proposed Gavi investment in human rabies vaccines has potential to drive progress towards the 2030 target; however, concomitant investment is needed to scale up mass dog vaccination or this target will be missed. Predicted economic benefits of mass dog vaccination vary according to national PEP provisioning and healthcare access. Integrated Bite Case Management can enhance surveillance and rationalize PEP use, but needs adapting to and integrating within local health systems and international reporting systems to improve PEP accountability, monitor impacts and support verification of disease freedom. Modelling approaches need refining to project realistic and geographically specific timelines for achieving targets. Model iterations informed by data on the implementation of interventions can be used to evaluate progress and guide future strategies. Critically such models are needed to advocate for investment, since the greatest risk to the \u2018Zero by 30\u2019 strategy is the limited long-term cross-sectoral or targeted financing to support countries to deliver and sustain mass dog vaccination.<\/ns4:p>","DOI":"10.12688\/gatesopenres.13074.2","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2020,3,4]],"date-time":"2020-03-04T10:00:05Z","timestamp":1583316005000},"page":"1564","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.12688\/gatesopenres.crossmark-policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":34,"title":["Zero human deaths from dog-mediated rabies by 2030: perspectives from quantitative and mathematical modelling"],"prefix":"10.12688","volume":"3","author":[{"name":"WHO Rabies Modelling 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status","group":{"name":"current-referee-status","label":"Current Referee Status"}},{"value":"10.21956\/gatesopenres.14210.r28107, Florence Cliquet, Nancy Laboratory for Rabies and Wildlife, French Agency for Food, Environmental and Occupational Health & Safety (ANSES), Malz\u00e9ville, France, 27 Nov 2019, version 1, 2 approved with reservations","URL":"https:\/\/gatesopenresearch.org\/articles\/3-1564\/v1#referee-response-28107","order":0,"name":"referee-response-28107","label":"Referee Report","group":{"name":"article-reports","label":"Article Reports"}},{"value":"<b>Katie Hampson<\/b>; \n<i>Posted: 24 Feb 2020<\/i>; \n<i>We are grateful for the positive review and understand the comment that many of the problems raised in the manuscript will not be solved by a modelling approach. Our intention was to highlight those issues that make modelling challenging rather than indicating that modelling would solve them. In our revision we have tried to be clearer on this. <\/i> &nbsp; \n<i>We have highlighted the need for sustainability in the paragraph suggested and have revised the text to indicate the importance of One Health and intersectoral collaboration to achieve these ambitious goals.<\/i> &nbsp; \n<i>We are grateful for the reviewer highlighting the three highly relevant references, which we now include together with appropriate edits to reflect the reviewer\u2019s suggestions.<\/i>  \n<i>We also corrected the sentence on dog vaccination as suggested. We note that reference 44 is cited in Table 1. We also now cite the reference in the main text.<\/i>","URL":"https:\/\/gatesopenresearch.org\/articles\/3-1564\/v2#referee-comment-3293","order":1,"name":"referee-comment-3293","label":"Referee Comment","group":{"name":"article-reports","label":"Article Reports"}},{"value":"10.21956\/gatesopenres.14291.r28649, Terence P. Scott, Global Alliance for Rabies Control, Pretoria, South Africa, 11 Mar 2020, version 2, indexed","URL":"https:\/\/gatesopenresearch.org\/articles\/3-1564\/v2#referee-response-28649","order":2,"name":"referee-response-28649","label":"Referee Report","group":{"name":"article-reports","label":"Article Reports"}},{"value":"10.21956\/gatesopenres.14291.r28841, Michael Z. Levy, Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 16 Jun 2020, version 2, indexed","URL":"https:\/\/gatesopenresearch.org\/articles\/3-1564\/v2#referee-response-28841","order":3,"name":"referee-response-28841","label":"Referee Report","group":{"name":"article-reports","label":"Article Reports"}},{"value":"The authors acknowledge the support of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation through the funding of the NTD Modelling Consortium [OPP1184344]. This work was supported by the Wellcome Trust [207569], the Gavi Learning Agenda, the World Health Organization and the Scottish Funding Council. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.","order":4,"name":"grant-information","label":"Grant Information"},{"value":"This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Licence, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.","order":0,"name":"copyright-info","label":"Copyright"}]}}