{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,26]],"date-time":"2026-02-26T16:05:32Z","timestamp":1772121932595,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":16,"publisher":"Public Library of Science (PLoS)","issue":"10","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,12]],"date-time":"2018-10-12T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1539302400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["www.ploscompbiol.org"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["PLoS Comput Biol"],"DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pcbi.1005964","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,12]],"date-time":"2018-10-12T17:23:56Z","timestamp":1539365036000},"page":"e1005964","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pcbi.corrections_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":16,"title":["What to know before forecasting the flu"],"prefix":"10.1371","volume":"14","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-1407-7677","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Prithwish","family":"Chakraborty","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-0793-6082","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Bryan","family":"Lewis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-7177-309X","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Stephen","family":"Eubank","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"John S.","family":"Brownstein","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Madhav","family":"Marathe","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Naren","family":"Ramakrishnan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"340","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,12]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref1","first-page":"262","article-title":"Proceedings of SDM &apos;14","author":"P Chakraborty","year":"2014"},{"key":"ref2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1038\/ncomms3837","article-title":"Real-Time Influenza Forecasts during the 2012\u20132013 Season","volume":"4","author":"J Shaman","year":"2013","journal-title":"Nature communications"},{"issue":"7","key":"ref3","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e1001051","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pmed.1001051","article-title":"Predicting the Epidemic Sizes of Influenza A\/H1N1, A\/H3N2, and B: A Statistical Method","volume":"8","author":"E Goldstein","year":"2011","journal-title":"PLoS Med"},{"key":"ref4","unstructured":"CDC [Internet]. Influenza (flu);. c2018 [cited: 2018-01-21]. Available from: <ext-link xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" ext-link-type=\"uri\" xlink:href=\"http:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/flu\/index.htm\" xlink:type=\"simple\">www.cdc.gov\/flu\/index.htm<\/ext-link>."},{"key":"ref5","unstructured":"PAHO [Internet]. Influenza and other Respiratory Viruses;. c2018 [cited: 2018-01-21]. Available from: <ext-link xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" ext-link-type=\"uri\" xlink:href=\"http:\/\/ais.paho.org\/phip\/viz\/ed_flu.asp\" xlink:type=\"simple\">http:\/\/ais.paho.org\/phip\/viz\/ed_flu.asp<\/ext-link>."},{"key":"ref6","unstructured":"WHO [Internet]. Surveillance and Monitoring;. c2018 [cited: 2018-01-21]. Available from: <ext-link xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" ext-link-type=\"uri\" xlink:href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/influenza\/surveillance_monitoring\/en\/\" xlink:type=\"simple\">http:\/\/www.who.int\/influenza\/surveillance_monitoring\/en\/<\/ext-link>."},{"issue":"26","key":"ref7","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"9538","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1321656111","article-title":"Multiannual Forecasting of Seasonal Influenza Dynamics Reveals Climatic and Evolutionary Drivers","volume":"111","author":"JB Axelsen","year":"2014","journal-title":"Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences"},{"issue":"Supplement 4","key":"ref8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"13664","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1317504111","article-title":"Communicating Scientific Uncertainty","volume":"111","author":"B Fischhoff","year":"2014","journal-title":"Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences"},{"issue":"1","key":"ref9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"345","DOI":"10.1186\/s12879-017-2365-1","article-title":"A Framework for Evaluating Epidemic Forecasts","volume":"17","author":"FS Tabataba","year":"2017","journal-title":"BMC infectious diseases"},{"issue":"135","key":"ref10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"372","DOI":"10.1017\/S0950268806007084","article-title":"Real-Time Epidemic Forecasting for Pandemic Influenza","volume":"4","author":"IM Hall","year":"2007","journal-title":"Epidemiology and Infection"},{"issue":"4","key":"ref11","first-page":"72","article-title":"Nowcasting Events from the Social Web with Statistical Learning","volume":"3","author":"V Lampos","year":"2012","journal-title":"ACM Transactions on Intelligent Systems and Technology (TIST)"},{"issue":"2","key":"ref12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1098\/rsos.140095","article-title":"Adaptive Nowcasting of Influenza Outbreaks using Google Searches","volume":"1","author":"T Preis","year":"2014","journal-title":"Royal Society Open Science"},{"issue":"8","key":"ref13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pcbi.1004382","article-title":"Flexible Modeling of Epidemics with an Empirical Bayes Framework","volume":"11","author":"L Brooks","year":"2015","journal-title":"PLoS Comput Biol"},{"issue":"4","key":"ref14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e1003581","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pcbi.1003581","article-title":"Wikipedia Usage Estimates Prevalence of Influenza-Like Illness in the United States in Near Real-Time","volume":"10","author":"DJ McIver","year":"2014","journal-title":"PLoS Comput Biol"},{"issue":"5","key":"ref15","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e1004239","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pcbi.1004239","article-title":"Forecasting the 2013\u00e2\u20ac\u201c2014 Influenza Season Using Wikipedia","volume":"11","author":"KS Hickmann","year":"2015","journal-title":"PLoS Comput Biol"},{"key":"ref16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1248506","article-title":"The Parable of Google Flu: Traps in Big Data Analysis","volume":"343","author":"D Lazer","year":"2014","journal-title":"Science"}],"container-title":["PLOS Computational Biology"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pcbi.1005964","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2020,5,8]],"date-time":"2020-05-08T19:09:58Z","timestamp":1588964998000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pcbi.1005964"}},"subtitle":[],"editor":[{"given":"Marcel","family":"Salath\u00e9","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"editor","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,12]]},"references-count":16,"journal-issue":{"issue":"10","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,12]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pcbi.1005964","relation":{},"ISSN":["1553-7358"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1553-7358","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,12]]}}}