{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,3]],"date-time":"2026-09-03T03:38:40Z","timestamp":1788406720151,"version":"build-2803163510"},"update-to":[{"DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pmed.1004286","type":"new_version","label":"New version","source":"publisher","updated":{"date-parts":[[2023,9,28]],"date-time":"2023-09-28T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1695859200000}}],"reference-count":147,"publisher":"Public Library of Science (PLoS)","issue":"9","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2023,9,14]],"date-time":"2023-09-14T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1694649600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000865","name":"Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["OPP1171700"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["OPP1171700"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000865","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100015691","name":"National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["AI135115-01A1"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["AI135115-01A1"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100015691","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["www.plosmedicine.org"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["PLoS Med"],"abstract":"<jats:sec id=\"sec001\">\n                    <jats:title>Background<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>\n                      Cholera surveillance relies on clinical diagnosis of acute watery diarrhea. Suspected cholera case definitions have high sensitivity but low specificity, challenging our ability to characterize cholera burden and epidemiology. Our objective was to estimate the proportion of clinically suspected cholera that are true\n                      <jats:italic>Vibrio cholerae<\/jats:italic>\n                      infections and identify factors that explain variation in positivity.\n                    <\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec id=\"sec002\">\n                    <jats:title>Methods and findings<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>\n                      We conducted a systematic review of studies that tested \u226510 suspected cholera cases for\n                      <jats:italic>V<\/jats:italic>\n                      .\n                      <jats:italic>cholerae<\/jats:italic>\n                      O1\/O139 using culture, PCR, and\/or a rapid diagnostic test. We searched PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Google Scholar for studies that sampled at least one suspected case between January 1, 2000 and April 19, 2023, to reflect contemporary patterns in\n                      <jats:italic>V<\/jats:italic>\n                      .\n                      <jats:italic>cholerae<\/jats:italic>\n                      positivity. We estimated diagnostic test sensitivity and specificity using a latent class meta-analysis. We estimated\n                      <jats:italic>V<\/jats:italic>\n                      .\n                      <jats:italic>cholerae<\/jats:italic>\n                      positivity using a random-effects meta-analysis, adjusting for test performance. We included 119 studies from 30 countries.\n                      <jats:italic>V<\/jats:italic>\n                      .\n                      <jats:italic>cholerae<\/jats:italic>\n                      positivity was lower in studies with representative sampling and in studies that set minimum ages in suspected case definitions. After adjusting for test performance, on average, 52% (95% credible interval (CrI): 24%, 80%) of suspected cases represented true\n                      <jats:italic>V<\/jats:italic>\n                      .\n                      <jats:italic>cholerae<\/jats:italic>\n                      infections. After adjusting for test performance and study methodology, the odds of a suspected case having a true infection were 5.71 (odds ratio 95% CrI: 1.53, 15.43) times higher when surveillance was initiated in response to an outbreak than in non-outbreak settings. Variation across studies was high, and a limitation of our approach was that we were unable to explain all the heterogeneity with study-level attributes, including diagnostic test used, setting, and case definitions.\n                    <\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec id=\"sec003\">\n                    <jats:title>Conclusions<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>In this study, we found that burden estimates based on suspected cases alone may overestimate the incidence of medically attended cholera by 2-fold. However, accounting for cases missed by traditional clinical surveillance is key to unbiased cholera burden estimates. Given the substantial variability in positivity between settings, extrapolations from suspected to confirmed cases, which is necessary to estimate cholera incidence rates without exhaustive testing, should be based on local data.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pmed.1004286","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2023,9,14]],"date-time":"2023-09-14T13:45:49Z","timestamp":1694699149000},"page":"e1004286","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pmed.corrections_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":25,"title":["Estimating the proportion of clinically suspected cholera cases that are true Vibrio cholerae infections: A systematic review and meta-analysis"],"prefix":"10.1371","volume":"20","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-4093-4054","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Kirsten 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Bwenge","family":"Malembaka","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Maya N.","family":"Demby","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-8376-2857","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Godfrey","family":"Bwire","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8459-304X","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Firdausi","family":"Qadri","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4156-9637","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Elizabeth C.","family":"Lee","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8662-9077","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Andrew 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