{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,30]],"date-time":"2025-10-30T06:57:03Z","timestamp":1761807423830},"reference-count":41,"publisher":"Public Library of Science (PLoS)","issue":"8","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2008,8,13]],"date-time":"2008-08-13T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1218585600000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["www.plosntds.org"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["PLoS Negl Trop Dis"],"DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000276","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2008,8,12]],"date-time":"2008-08-12T21:09:55Z","timestamp":1218575395000},"page":"e276","update-policy":"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pntd.corrections_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":12,"title":["State\u2013Space Forecasting of Schistosoma haematobium Time-Series in Niono, Mali"],"prefix":"10.1371","volume":"2","author":[{"given":"Daniel C.","family":"Medina","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Sally E.","family":"Findley","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Seydou","family":"Doumbia","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"340","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2008,8,13]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref1","first-page":"804","article-title":"Schistosomiasis.","volume":"118","author":"GT Strickland","year":"2000"},{"key":"ref2","first-page":"17","article-title":"Technical report series.","volume":"728","year":"1985"},{"key":"ref3","first-page":"167","article-title":"Experiences with mass chemotherapy in the control of schistosomiasis in Mali.","volume":"39(2)","author":"UK Brinkmann","year":"1988","journal-title":"Tropical Medicine and Parasitology"},{"key":"ref4","first-page":"184","article-title":"Requirements for sustainable schistosomiasis control.","volume":"17(2)","author":"M Traore","year":"1996","journal-title":"World health forum"},{"key":"ref5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"567","DOI":"10.1016\/S0065-308X(05)61013-5","article-title":"Implementation of human schistosomiasis control: Challenges and prospects.","volume":"61","author":"A Fenwick","year":"2006","journal-title":"Advances in Parasitology"},{"key":"ref6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"322","DOI":"10.1016\/j.pt.2006.04.007","article-title":"Implementation of national schistosomiasis control programmes in West Africa.","volume":"22(7)","author":"A Garba","year":"2006","journal-title":"Trends in Parasitology"},{"key":"ref7","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"181","DOI":"10.1079\/JOH2005307","article-title":"Towards control of schistosomiasis in sub-Saharan Africa.","volume":"79(3)","author":"VR Southgate","year":"2005","journal-title":"Journal of Helminthology"},{"key":"ref8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"15","DOI":"10.1016\/j.actatropica.2004.02.008","article-title":"Comparison of schistosome transmission in a single- and double-cropped area in the rice irrigation scheme, \u2018Office du Niger\u2019, Mali.","volume":"19","author":"G Coulibaly","year":"2004","journal-title":"Acta Tropica"},{"key":"ref9","first-page":"143","article-title":"Genetic variability in the compatibility between Schistosoma haematobium and its potential vectors in Niger. Epidemiological implications.","volume":"41(2)","author":"C V\u00e9ra","year":"1990","journal-title":"Tropical Medicine and Parasitology"},{"key":"ref10","first-page":"23","article-title":"Distribution of schistosomiasis in French speaking countries of West Africa.","volume":"40(1)","author":"JP Moreau","year":"1980","journal-title":"Medecine Tropicale"},{"key":"ref11","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e1181","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0001181","article-title":"Forecasting non-stationary diarrhea, acute respiratory infection, and malaria time-series in Niono, Mali.","volume":"2","author":"DC Medina","year":"2007","journal-title":"PLoS ONE"},{"key":"ref12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"407","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.1998.59.407","article-title":"The public health significance of urinary schistosomiasis as a cause of morbidity in two districts in Mali.","volume":"59(3)","author":"M Traore","year":"1998","journal-title":"American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene"},{"key":"ref13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"652","DOI":"10.1016\/S0399-8320(05)82151-7","article-title":"Prevalence of schistomasiasis lesions detected by ultrasonography in children in Molodo, Mali.","volume":"29(6\u20137)","author":"AD K\u00e9ita","year":"2005","journal-title":"Gastroent\u00e9rologie Clinique et Biologique"},{"key":"ref14","first-page":"187","article-title":"Transmission of schistosomiasis in an urban population and prevalence of intestinal helminthiasis in Bamako, Mali.","volume":"96(3)","author":"A Dabo","year":"2003","journal-title":"Bulletin Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 de pathologie exotique"},{"key":"ref15","first-page":"292","article-title":"Prevalence and perception of schistosomiasis in a periurban school of Bamako in Mali.","volume":"95(4)","author":"H Sangho","year":"2002","journal-title":"Bulletin Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 de pathologie exotique"},{"key":"ref16","first-page":"863","article-title":"Application of \u201ctime series analysis\u201d in the prediction of schistosomiasis prevalence in areas of \u201cbreaking dikes or opening sluice for waterstore\u201d in Dongting Lake areas, China.","volume":"25(10)","author":"XY Sai","year":"2004","journal-title":"Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi"},{"key":"ref17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"372","DOI":"10.1016\/S0035-9203(96)90509-X","article-title":"Comparative evaluation of the use of artificial neural networks for modelling the epidemiology of schistosomiasis mansoni.","volume":"90(4)","author":"TA Hammad","year":"1996","journal-title":"Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene"},{"key":"ref18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"549","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.2006.75.549","article-title":"A growing degree-days based time-series analysis for prediction of Schistosoma japonicum transmission in Jiangsu province, China.","volume":"75(3)","author":"GJ Yang","year":"2006","journal-title":"American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene"},{"key":"ref19","article-title":"Country health report: Mali.","year":"2004"},{"key":"ref20","article-title":"Disease statistics for the district of Niono, Mali. These data were retrieved at the district hospital of Niono.","year":"1996"},{"key":"ref21","article-title":"Forecasting seasonals and trends by exponentially weighted moving averages.","author":"CC Holt","year":"1957"},{"key":"ref22","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"324","DOI":"10.1287\/mnsc.6.3.324","article-title":"Forecasting sales by exponentially weighted moving averages.","volume":"6","author":"PR Winters","year":"1960","journal-title":"Management Sciences"},{"key":"ref23","first-page":"311","article-title":"Exponential smoothing: some new variations.","volume":"15(5)","author":"CC Pegels","year":"1969","journal-title":"Management Science"},{"key":"ref24","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1002\/for.3980040103","article-title":"Exponential smoothing: the state of the art.","volume":"4","author":"ES Gardner Jr","year":"1985","journal-title":"Journal of Forecasting"},{"key":"ref25","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1237","DOI":"10.1287\/mnsc.31.10.1237","article-title":"Forecasting trends in time series.","volume":"31(10)","author":"ES Gardner Jr","year":"1985","journal-title":"Management Science"},{"key":"ref26","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1621","DOI":"10.1080\/01621459.1997.10473684","article-title":"Estimation and prediction for a class of dynamic nonlinear statistical models.","volume":"92","author":"JK Ord","year":"1997","journal-title":"Journal of the American Statistical Association"},{"key":"ref27","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"439","DOI":"10.1016\/S0169-2070(01)00110-8","article-title":"A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods.","volume":"18(3)","author":"RJ Hyndman","year":"2002","journal-title":"International Journal of Forecasting"},{"key":"ref28","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"715","DOI":"10.1016\/S0169-2070(03)00003-7","article-title":"Exponential smoothing with a damped multiplicative trend.","volume":"19","author":"JW Taylor","year":"2003","journal-title":"International journal of Forecasting"},{"key":"ref29","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"17","DOI":"10.1002\/for.938","article-title":"Prediction intervals for exponential smoothing using two new classes of state space models.","volume":"24","author":"RJ Hyndman","year":"2005","journal-title":"Journal of Forecasting"},{"key":"ref30","article-title":"R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.","year":"2004"},{"key":"ref31","article-title":"Automatic time series forecasting: the forecast package for R.","author":"RJ Hyndman","year":"2007"},{"key":"ref32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"451","DOI":"10.1016\/S0169-2070(00)00057-1","article-title":"The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications.","volume":"16","author":"S Makridakis","year":"2000","journal-title":"International Journal of Forecasting"},{"key":"ref33","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"219","DOI":"10.1214\/ss\/1063994977","article-title":"The impact of bootstrap methods on time series analysis.","volume":"18(2)","author":"DN Politis","year":"2003","journal-title":"Statistical Science"},{"key":"ref34","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"956","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.2007.76.956","article-title":"Bayesian spatial risk prediction of Schistosoma mansoni infection in western C\u00f4te d'Ivoire using a remotely-sensed digital elevation model.","volume":"76(5)","author":"C Beck-W\u00f6rner","year":"2007","journal-title":"American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene"},{"key":"ref35","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"44","DOI":"10.1186\/1475-2875-3-44","article-title":"Weather-based prediction of Plasmodium falciparum malaria in epidemic-prone regions of Ethiopia II. Weather-based prediction systems perform comparably to early detection systems in identifying times for interventions.","volume":"3","author":"HD Teklehaimanot","year":"2004","journal-title":"Malaria Journal"},{"key":"ref36","first-page":"576","article-title":"Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles.","volume":"439(7076)","author":"MC Thomson","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"ref37","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e295","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pmed.0030295","article-title":"Climate cycles and forecasts of cutaneous leishmaniasis, a non-stationary vector-borne disease.","volume":"3","author":"LF Chaves","year":"2006","journal-title":"PLoS Med"},{"key":"ref38","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e33","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000033","article-title":"Comparing models for early warning systems of neglected tropical diseases.","volume":"1","author":"LF Chaves","year":"2007","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"ref39","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"11157","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.0501226102","article-title":"Multiscale, resurgent epidemics in a hierarchical metapopulation model.","volume":"102(32)","author":"DJ Watts","year":"2005","journal-title":"PNAS"},{"key":"ref40","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"679","DOI":"10.1038\/nature06509","article-title":"The dynamics of measles in sub-Saharan Africa.","volume":"451(7179)","author":"MJ Ferrari","year":"2008","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"ref41","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"39","DOI":"10.1111\/1467-9868.00161","article-title":"Understanding exponential smoothing via kernel regression.","volume":"61(Series B)","author":"I Gijbels","year":"1999","journal-title":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society"}],"container-title":["PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000276","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2019,5,13]],"date-time":"2019-05-13T08:09:20Z","timestamp":1557734960000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000276"}},"subtitle":[],"editor":[{"given":"Giovanna","family":"Raso","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"editor","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2008,8,13]]},"references-count":41,"journal-issue":{"issue":"8","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2008,8,13]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000276","relation":{},"ISSN":["1935-2735"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1935-2735","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2008,8,13]]}}}