{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,19]],"date-time":"2026-09-19T10:55:52Z","timestamp":1789815352790,"version":"4.0.1"},"reference-count":45,"publisher":"Public Library of Science (PLoS)","issue":"10","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2014,10,9]],"date-time":"2014-10-09T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1412812800000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/publicdomain\/zero\/1.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["www.plosntds.org"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["PLoS Negl Trop Dis"],"DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0003155","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2014,10,9]],"date-time":"2014-10-09T14:04:33Z","timestamp":1412863473000},"page":"e3155","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pntd.corrections_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":49,"title":["A Non-Stationary Relationship between Global Climate Phenomena and Human Plague Incidence in Madagascar"],"prefix":"10.1371","volume":"8","author":[{"given":"Katharina S.","family":"Kreppel","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Cyril","family":"Caminade","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Sandra","family":"Telfer","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Minoarison","family":"Rajerison","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Lila","family":"Rahalison","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Andy","family":"Morse","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Matthew","family":"Baylis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"340","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2014,10,9]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"437","DOI":"10.1051\/vetres:2005007","article-title":"From the recent lessons of the Malagasy foci towards a global understanding of the factors involved in plague reemergence","volume":"36","author":"JM Duplantier","year":"2005","journal-title":"Vet Res"},{"key":"ref2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"9","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pmed.0050003","article-title":"Plague: Past, present, and future","volume":"5","author":"NC Stenseth","year":"2008","journal-title":"Plos Medicine"},{"key":"ref3","first-page":"3","article-title":"Plague","volume":"80","year":"2005","journal-title":"Weekly Epidemiological Record"},{"key":"ref4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"13110","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.0602447103","article-title":"Plague dynamics are driven by climate variation","volume":"103","author":"N Stenseth","year":"2006","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci USA"},{"key":"ref5","first-page":"6","article-title":"Human plague: review of regional morbidity and mortality 2004\u20132009","volume":"85","year":"2010","journal-title":"Weekly Epidemiological Record"},{"key":"ref6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e1002160","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.ppat.1002160","article-title":"Plague and Climate: Scales Matter","volume":"7","author":"T Ben Ari","year":"2011","journal-title":"PLoS Pathog"},{"key":"ref7","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"30","DOI":"10.1029\/97JC03424","article-title":"ENSO theory","volume":"103","author":"JD Neelin","year":"1998","journal-title":"Journal of Geophysical Research"},{"key":"ref8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1761","DOI":"10.1002\/1097-0088(20001130)20:14<1761::AID-JOC580>3.0.CO;2-W","article-title":"The influence of La Nina on African rainfall","volume":"20","author":"SE Nicholson","year":"2000","journal-title":"International Journal of Climatology"},{"key":"ref9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"151","DOI":"10.3354\/cr025151","article-title":"Possible impacts of Indian Ocean Dipole mode events on global climate","volume":"25","author":"NH Saji","year":"2003","journal-title":"Climate Research"},{"key":"ref10","unstructured":"Anonymous (1996) Recensement g\u00e9n\u00e9ral de la population et de l&apos;habitat. Institut national de la statistique, Madagascar"},{"key":"ref11","unstructured":"Climate-explorer (2008) wwwclimexpknminl."},{"key":"ref12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"437","DOI":"10.1175\/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2","article-title":"The NCEP\/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project","volume":"77","author":"E Kalnay","year":"1996","journal-title":"Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society"},{"key":"ref13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"623","DOI":"10.1002\/joc.3711","article-title":"Updated high-resolution grids of monthly climatic observations - the CRU TS3.10 Dataset","volume":"34","author":"I Harris","year":"2013","journal-title":"Int J Climatol"},{"key":"ref14","unstructured":"Centre of Oceanic and Atmospheric Prediction Service website: <ext-link xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" ext-link-type=\"uri\" xlink:href=\"http:\/\/new.coaps.fsu.edu\" xlink:type=\"simple\">http:\/\/new.coaps.fsu.edu<\/ext-link>."},{"key":"ref15","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"287","DOI":"10.1007\/s00442-008-0993-2","article-title":"Wavelet analysis of ecological time series","volume":"156","author":"B Cazelles","year":"2008","journal-title":"Oecologia"},{"key":"ref16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"61","DOI":"10.1175\/1520-0477(1998)079<0061:APGTWA>2.0.CO;2","article-title":"A practical guide to wavelet analysis","volume":"79","author":"C Torrence","year":"1998","journal-title":"Bull Am Meteorol Soc"},{"key":"ref17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"6","DOI":"10.5194\/npg-11-561-2004","article-title":"Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series","volume":"11","author":"A Grinsted","year":"2004","journal-title":"Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics"},{"key":"ref18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e747","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000747","article-title":"Dengue Dynamics in Binh Thuan Province, Southern Vietnam: Periodicity, Synchronicity and Climate Variability","volume":"4","author":"KTD Thai","year":"2010","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"ref19","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"223","DOI":"10.1007\/s10393-006-0061-5","article-title":"The cholera threat to humans in Ghana is influenced by both global and regional climatic variability","volume":"3","author":"G Constantin de Magny","year":"2006","journal-title":"EcoHealth"},{"key":"ref20","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e106","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pmed.0020106","article-title":"Nonstationary influence of El Nino on the synchronous dengue epidemics in Thailand","volume":"2","author":"B Cazelles","year":"2005","journal-title":"PLoS Med"},{"key":"ref21","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"624","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.2010.09-0775","article-title":"Interannual Variability of Human Plague Occurrence in the Western United States Explained by Tropical and North Pacific Ocean Climate Variability","volume":"83","author":"T Ben Ari","year":"2010","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"ref22","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"625","DOI":"10.1098\/rsif.2007.0212","article-title":"Time-dependent spectral analysis of epidemiological time-series with wavelets","volume":"4","author":"B Cazelles","year":"2007","journal-title":"J R Soc Interface"},{"key":"ref23","unstructured":"Core-Team RD (2011) R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria."},{"key":"ref24","unstructured":"MathWorks T (2012) MATLAB 8.0 and Wavelet Toolbox. Natick, Massachusetts, United States: The MathWorks, Inc,"},{"key":"ref25","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"8","DOI":"10.1080\/08982119608919049","article-title":"Using johnson curves to describe non-normal process data","volume":"9","author":"NR Farnum","year":"1996","journal-title":"Quality Engineering"},{"key":"ref26","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"574","DOI":"10.1038\/17512","article-title":"Horse sickness and ENSO in South Africa","volume":"397","author":"M Baylis","year":"1999","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"ref27","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"35","DOI":"10.3354\/cr019035","article-title":"Dengue epidemics and the El Ni\u00f1o Southern Oscillation","volume":"19","author":"AS Gagnon","year":"2001","journal-title":"Climate Research"},{"key":"ref28","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e1000168","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pmed.1000168","article-title":"Multiyear Climate Variability and Dengue and the El Ni\u00f1o Southern Oscillation, Weather, and Dengue Incidence in Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Thailand: A Longitudinal Data Analysis","volume":"6","author":"MA Johansson","year":"2009","journal-title":"PLoS Med"},{"key":"ref29","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1963","DOI":"10.1098\/rspb.2007.0568","article-title":"Climatically-driven synchrony of gerbil populations allows large-scale plague outbreaks","volume":"274","author":"K Kausrud","year":"2007","journal-title":"Proc Biol Sci"},{"key":"ref30","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1481","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(03)14695-8","article-title":"El Ni\u00f1o and health","volume":"362","author":"RS Kovats","year":"2003","journal-title":"The Lancet"},{"key":"ref31","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"310","DOI":"10.1038\/nature04188","article-title":"Impact of regional climate change on human health","volume":"438","author":"J Patz","year":"2005","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"ref32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"135","DOI":"10.1007\/BF00210626","article-title":"Decadal-scale climate variability in the tropical and North Pacific during the 1970s and 1980s: observations and model results","volume":"10","author":"NE Graham","year":"1994","journal-title":"Climate Dynamics"},{"key":"ref33","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"436","DOI":"10.1016\/j.amepre.2008.08.030","article-title":"Climate and Vectorborne Diseases","volume":"35","author":"KL Gage","year":"2008","journal-title":"American journal of preventive medicine"},{"key":"ref34","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"629","DOI":"10.1603\/0022-2585-38.5.629","article-title":"Effect of air temperature and humidity on the survival of pre-imaginal stages of two flea species (Siphonaptera: pulicidae)","volume":"38","author":"BR Krasnov","year":"2001","journal-title":"Journal of Medical Entomology"},{"key":"ref35","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"249","DOI":"10.1046\/j.0269-283x.2001.00295.x","article-title":"Development rates of two Xenopsylla flea species in relation to air temperature and humidity","volume":"15","author":"BR Krasnov","year":"2001","journal-title":"Medical and Veterinary Entomology"},{"key":"ref36","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"581","DOI":"10.1098\/rstb.1949.0004","article-title":"Effects of Constant Temperature and Humidity on the Development of the Larvae and the Pupae of the Three Indian Species of Xenopsylla (Insecta: Siphonaptera)","volume":"233","author":"M Sharif","year":"1949","journal-title":"Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London Series B, Biological Sciences"},{"key":"ref37","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"12901","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.182203999","article-title":"ENSO and cholera: a nonstationary link related to climate change?","volume":"99","author":"X Rodo","year":"2002","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci USA"},{"key":"ref38","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"19214","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.0703073104","article-title":"Global climate change, war, and population decline in recent human history","volume":"104","author":"D Zhang","year":"2007","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci USA"},{"key":"ref39","first-page":"237","article-title":"Myths and facts on ratadas: Bamboo blooms, rainfall peaks and rodent outbreaks in South America","author":"FM Jaksic","year":"2003","journal-title":"Blackwell Science Pty"},{"key":"ref40","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"110","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1442-9993.1999.241951.x","article-title":"Population rate of change in the leaf-eared mouse: The role of density-dependence, seasonality and rainfall","volume":"24","author":"M Lima","year":"1999","journal-title":"Australian Journal of Ecology"},{"key":"ref41","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"5","DOI":"10.1016\/0035-9203(69)90068-6","article-title":"Effect of differences in ambient temperature upon the fate of <italic>Pasteurella pestis<\/italic> in <italic>Xenopsylla cheopis<\/italic>","volume":"63","author":"L Kartman","year":"1969","journal-title":"Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene"},{"key":"ref42","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"814","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.1999.61.814","article-title":"Incidence of plague associated with increased winter-spring precipitation in New Mexico","volume":"61","author":"RR Parmenter","year":"1999","journal-title":"American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene"},{"key":"ref43","unstructured":"WHO (2006) Interregional Meeting on Prevention and Control of Plague - Antananarivo, Madagascar, 7\u201311 April 2006. WHO\/HSE\/EPR\/20083 3."},{"key":"ref44","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"187","DOI":"10.4103\/0973-1229.40567","article-title":"Diseases of poverty and lifestyle, well-being and human development","volume":"6","author":"AR Singh","year":"2008","journal-title":"Mens Sana Monogr"},{"key":"ref45","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"5","DOI":"10.1186\/2049-9957-1-5","article-title":"Infectious disease emergence and global change: thinking systemically in a shrinking world","volume":"1","author":"C Butler","year":"2012","journal-title":"Infectious Diseases of Poverty"}],"container-title":["PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pntd.0003155","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,19]],"date-time":"2018-10-19T15:44:25Z","timestamp":1539963865000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pntd.0003155"}},"subtitle":[],"editor":[{"given":"Alison P.","family":"Galvani","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"editor"}]}],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2014,10,9]]},"references-count":45,"journal-issue":{"issue":"10","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2014,10,9]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pntd.0003155","relation":{},"ISSN":["1935-2735"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1935-2735","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2014,10,9]]}}}