{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,10]],"date-time":"2026-09-10T18:08:03Z","timestamp":1789063683778,"version":"build-2803163510"},"reference-count":29,"publisher":"Public Library of Science (PLoS)","issue":"9","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,10]],"date-time":"2026-09-10T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1788998400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100001809","name":"the National Natural Science Foundation of China","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","award":["82370016"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["82370016"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100001809","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"crossref"}]},{"name":"the Health Research Program of Anhui Province","award":["AHWJ2022a018"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["AHWJ2022a018"]}]},{"name":"the Natural Science Research Project of Anhui Provincial Universities","award":["2023AH010083"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["2023AH010083"]}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["www.plosntds.org"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["PLoS Negl Trop Dis"],"abstract":"<jats:sec id=\"sec001\">\n                    <jats:title>Background<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Superinfection is a major contributor to mortality in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS). However, early identification remains challenging because detection of the pathogen causing the superinfection is often delayed.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec id=\"sec002\">\n                    <jats:title>Objective<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>This study aims to develop a clinical scoring system for the early identification of superinfection in SFTS patients.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec id=\"sec003\">\n                    <jats:title>Methods<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Among 1942 SFTS patients from 4 hospitals in China, a retrospective cohort (2014\u20132024) was used for model development, with 1182 patients from 2 hospitals split into training (n\u2009=\u2009823) and internal validation (n\u2009=\u2009359) sets, and 475 patients from 2 additional hospitals for external validation sets. Four machine learning algorithms were evaluated, with the optimal model converted into a simplified scoring scale. Finally, a prospective cohort (n\u2009=\u2009285, 2025) evaluated the real-world performance. Model efficacy was comprehensively assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), sensitivity, and specificity.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec id=\"sec004\">\n                    <jats:title>Results<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Among the 36 variables, 8 predictors (age, ALB, AST, BUN, GLU, CRP, HGB, and expectoration) for superinfection were identified by ensembling five machine learning algorithms. The RF, XGBoost, LightGBM, and LR prediction models were constructed using the 8 predictors. LR demonstrated optimal performance, with an AUROC of 0.839 (95% CI: 0.797\u20130.880) in the internal validation set and 0.805 (95% CI: 0.764\u20130.847) in the external validation set. In the real-world prospective study, the model maintained high predictive efficacy (AUROC: 0.854). Finally, the model\u2019s nomogram was simplified into a novel 3-tiered risk scoring scale to enhance clinical applicability.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec id=\"sec005\">\n                    <jats:title>Conclusions<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Our research developed a dynamic, early diagnostic tool that could improve real-time prediction of superinfection risk at the bedside and enhance antimicrobial stewardship.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0014696","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,10]],"date-time":"2026-09-10T17:30:41Z","timestamp":1789061441000},"page":"e0014696","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pntd.corrections_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["A clinical scoring system for the early identification of superinfections in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome: An ambispective multicentre cohort study"],"prefix":"10.1371","volume":"20","author":[{"given":"Yu-Yao","family":"Li","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University","place":["Hefei, Anhui, China"],"department":["Department of Infectious Diseases"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jian-Kang","family":"Zhang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Lu\u2019an People\u2019s Hospital","place":["Lu\u2019an, Anhui, China"],"department":["Department of Infectious Diseases"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Chun","family":"Zhang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University","place":["Hefei, Anhui, China"],"department":["Department of Infectious Diseases"]},{"name":"Chaohu Hospital of Anhui Medical University","place":["Chaohu, Anhui, China"],"department":["Department of Infectious 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