{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,7]],"date-time":"2026-10-07T14:20:05Z","timestamp":1791382805253,"version":"4.3.3"},"reference-count":33,"publisher":"Public Library of Science (PLoS)","issue":"1","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2014,1,8]],"date-time":"2014-01-08T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1389139200000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["www.plosone.org"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["PLoS ONE"],"DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0083487","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2014,1,8]],"date-time":"2014-01-08T21:46:27Z","timestamp":1389217587000},"page":"e83487","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.corrections_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":33,"title":["Spatio-Temporal Trends and Risk Factors for Shigella from 2001 to 2011 in Jiangsu Province, People's Republic of China"],"prefix":"10.1371","volume":"9","author":[{"given":"Fenyang","family":"Tang","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yuejia","family":"Cheng","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Changjun","family":"Bao","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jianli","family":"Hu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Wendong","family":"Liu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Qi","family":"Liang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Ying","family":"Wu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jessie","family":"Norris","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Zhihang","family":"Peng","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Rongbin","family":"Yu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Hongbing","family":"Shen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Feng","family":"Chen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"340","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2014,1,8]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1718","DOI":"10.3201\/eid1611.090934","article-title":"Decrease in shigellosis-related deaths without Shigella spp.-specific interventions, Asia","volume":"16","author":"P Bardhan","year":"2010","journal-title":"Emerg Infect Dis"},{"key":"ref2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"561","DOI":"10.2471\/BLT.05.023853","article-title":"Trend and disease burden of bacillary dysentery in China (1991\u20132000)","volume":"84","author":"XY Wang","year":"2006","journal-title":"Bull World Health Organ"},{"key":"ref3","first-page":"419","article-title":"[Analysis on epidemic characteristics of bacillary dysentery in Jiangsu Province from 2004 to 2010] in Chinese","volume":"12","author":"JL Hu","year":"2011","journal-title":"Zhong Hua Yu Fang Yi Xue Za Zhi"},{"key":"ref4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"367","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.2004.71.367","article-title":"Epidemiology of Shigella-associated diarrhea in rural Egyptian children","volume":"71","author":"RR Abu-Elyazeed","year":"2004","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"ref5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"9","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijantimicag.2012.02.005","article-title":"Comparison of the prevalence and changing resistance to nalidixic acid and ciprofloxacin of Shigella between Europe-America and Asia-Africa from 1998 to 2009","volume":"40","author":"B Gu","year":"2012","journal-title":"Int J Antimicrob Agents"},{"key":"ref6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"264","DOI":"10.7883\/yoken.63.264","article-title":"A hybrid model for short-term bacillary dysentery prediction in Yichang City, China","volume":"63","author":"W Yan","year":"2010","journal-title":"Jpn J Infect Dis"},{"key":"ref7","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"758674","DOI":"10.1155\/2012\/758674","article-title":"Comparing statistical models to predict dengue fever notifications","volume":"2012","author":"A Earnest","year":"2012","journal-title":"Comput Math Methods Med"},{"key":"ref8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"166","DOI":"10.1186\/1475-2875-9-166","article-title":"Model variations in predicting incidence of Plasmodium falciparum malaria using 1998\u20132007 morbidity and meteorological data from south Ethiopia","volume":"9","author":"E Loha","year":"2010","journal-title":"Malar J"},{"key":"ref9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"218","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2334-11-218","article-title":"Forecasting incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in China using ARIMA model","volume":"11","author":"Q Liu","year":"2011","journal-title":"BMC Infect Dis"},{"key":"ref10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"45","DOI":"10.1186\/1476-072X-5-45","article-title":"Application of Poisson kriging to the mapping of cholera and dysentery incidence in an endemic area of Bangladesh","volume":"5","author":"M Ali","year":"2006","journal-title":"Int J Health Geogr"},{"key":"ref11","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"951","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2458-12-951","article-title":"A spatial model to predict the incidence of neural tube defects","volume":"12","author":"L Li","year":"2012","journal-title":"BMC Public Health"},{"key":"ref12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"63","DOI":"10.4081\/gh.2012.105","article-title":"Geographical information systems-based spatial analysis and implications for syphilis interventions in Jiangsu province, People&apos;s Republic of China","volume":"7","author":"YJ Cheng","year":"2012","journal-title":"Geospat Health"},{"key":"ref13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"519","DOI":"10.1016\/S0277-9536(99)00146-X","article-title":"Diarrheal disease risk in Matlab, Bangladesh","volume":"49","author":"M Emch","year":"1999","journal-title":"Soc Sci Med"},{"key":"ref14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"510","DOI":"10.1039\/C1EM10391A","article-title":"Projected Years Lost due to Disabilities (YLDs) for bacillary dysentery related to increased temperature in temperate and subtropical cities of China","volume":"14","author":"Y Zhang","year":"2012","journal-title":"J Environ Monit"},{"key":"ref15","first-page":"1","article-title":"National public health surveillance in China: implications for public health in China and the United States","volume":"10","author":"GH Yang","year":"1997","journal-title":"Biomed Environ Sci"},{"key":"ref16","unstructured":"Zhou XN (2009) Spatial Epidemiology. Beijing: Science Press. 241\u2013242 p."},{"key":"ref17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1377","DOI":"10.2105\/AJPH.88.9.1377","article-title":"Evaluating cluster alarms: a space-time scan statistic and brain cancer in Los Alamos, New Mexico","volume":"88","author":"M Kulldorff","year":"1998","journal-title":"Am J Public Health"},{"key":"ref18","unstructured":"Liu XN, Huang F, Wang P (2008) Spatial analysis theories and methods on GIS. Beijing: Science Press. 189\u2013194 p."},{"key":"ref19","unstructured":"Bruce L, Bowerman, O&apos;Connell (2003). Forecasting and Time Series: An applied approach (Third Edition). Beijing: China Machine Press. 117\u2013156 p."},{"key":"ref20","first-page":"645","article-title":"[The application of multiple seasonal ARIMA model on prediction of the incidence of bacillary dysentery] in Chinese","volume":"28","author":"WJ Peng","year":"2011","journal-title":"Zhong Guo Wei Sheng Tong Ji"},{"key":"ref21","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"61","DOI":"10.1177\/003335490812300109","article-title":"Weather and the transmission of bacillary dysentery in Jinan, northern China: a time-series analysis","volume":"123","author":"Y Zhang","year":"2008","journal-title":"Public Health Rep"},{"key":"ref22","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"297","DOI":"10.1093\/biomet\/65.2.297","article-title":"On a measure of lack of fit in time series model","volume":"65","author":"GM Ljung","year":"1978","journal-title":"Biometrika"},{"key":"ref23","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Claeskens G, Hjort NL (2008) Model selection and model averaging. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.","DOI":"10.1017\/CBO9780511790485"},{"key":"ref24","first-page":"327","article-title":"Use of time-series analysis in infections disease surveillance","volume":"76","author":"R Allard","year":"1998","journal-title":"Bull World Health Organ"},{"key":"ref25","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"86","DOI":"10.1097\/01.ede.0000101021.03453.3e","article-title":"Does ambient temperature affect food borne disease?","volume":"15","author":"RM D'Souza","year":"2004","journal-title":"Epidemiology"},{"key":"ref26","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"30","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2334-8-130","article-title":"Investigating the effects of climate variation on bacillary dysentery incidence in northeast China using Ridge Regression and Hierarchical Cluster Analysis","volume":"8","author":"D Huang","year":"2008","journal-title":"BMC Infect Dis"},{"key":"ref27","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"112","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(03)15261-0","article-title":"Effect of water and sanitation on childhood health in a poor Peruvian Peri-urban Community","volume":"363","author":"W Checkley","year":"2004","journal-title":"Lancet"},{"key":"ref28","first-page":"212","article-title":"[Comprehensive evaluation of the rural development of index system in Jiangsu Province] in Chinese","volume":"2","author":"SD Zhou","year":"2009","journal-title":"Jiangsu Social Science"},{"key":"ref29","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"48","DOI":"10.1016\/j.trstmh.2004.02.008","article-title":"Diarrhoea and garbage disposal in Salvador, Brazil","volume":"99","author":"RF Rego","year":"2005","journal-title":"Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"ref30","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"805","DOI":"10.1093\/ije\/dyn093","article-title":"A Hierarchical Model for studying risk factors for childhood diarrhoea: a case\u2013control study in a middle-income country","volume":"37","author":"SR Ferrer","year":"2008","journal-title":"Int J Epidemiol"},{"key":"ref31","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1032","DOI":"10.1093\/aje\/kwg075","article-title":"Childhood diarrhea and observed hygiene behavior in Salvador, Brazil","volume":"157","author":"A Strina","year":"2003","journal-title":"Am J Epidemiol"},{"key":"ref32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e1481","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0001481","article-title":"Spatial distribution of, and risk factors for, Opisthorchis viverrini infection in southern Lao PDR","volume":"6","author":"A Forrer","year":"2012","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"ref33","first-page":"407","article-title":"Environmental risk factors for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: methodological issues in epidemiologic studies","volume":"24","author":"M Vinceti","year":"2012","journal-title":"Ann Ig"}],"container-title":["PLoS ONE"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0083487","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2023,7,9]],"date-time":"2023-07-09T15:22:52Z","timestamp":1688916172000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0083487"}},"subtitle":[],"editor":[{"given":"Joel Mark","family":"Montgomery","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"editor"}]}],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2014,1,8]]},"references-count":33,"journal-issue":{"issue":"1","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2014,1,8]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0083487","relation":{},"ISSN":["1932-6203"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1932-6203","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2014,1,8]]}}}