{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,13]],"date-time":"2026-05-13T07:19:02Z","timestamp":1778656742220,"version":"3.51.4"},"reference-count":30,"publisher":"Public Library of Science (PLoS)","issue":"3","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2017,3,2]],"date-time":"2017-03-02T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1488412800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["www.plosone.org"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["PLoS ONE"],"DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0172355","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2017,3,2]],"date-time":"2017-03-02T18:54:50Z","timestamp":1488480890000},"page":"e0172355","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.corrections_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":22,"title":["Cholera forecast for Dhaka, Bangladesh, with the 2015-2016 El Ni\u00f1o: Lessons learned"],"prefix":"10.1371","volume":"12","author":[{"given":"Pamela P.","family":"Martinez","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Robert C.","family":"Reiner","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Benjamin A.","family":"Cash","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Xavier","family":"Rod\u00f3","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Mohammad","family":"Shahjahan Mondal","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Manojit","family":"Roy","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Mohammad","family":"Yunus","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"A. S. G.","family":"Faruque","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Sayeeda","family":"Huq","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Aaron A.","family":"King","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Mercedes","family":"Pascual","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"340","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2017,3,2]]},"reference":[{"issue":"5295","key":"ref1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2025","DOI":"10.1126\/science.274.5295.2025","article-title":"Global climate and infectious disease: the cholera paradigm","volume":"274","author":"RR Colwell","year":"1996","journal-title":"Science"},{"issue":"5485","key":"ref2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1766","DOI":"10.1126\/science.289.5485.1766","article-title":"Cholera dynamics and El Ni\u00f1o-southern oscillation","volume":"289","author":"M Pascual","year":"2000","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"ref3","first-page":"147","article-title":"The Ecology and Etiology of Newly Emerging Marine Diseases","volume":"20","author":"MJ Bouma"},{"issue":"20","key":"ref4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"12901","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.182203999","article-title":"ENSO and cholera: a nonstationary link related to climate change?","volume":"99","author":"X Rod\u00f3","year":"2002","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci"},{"issue":"7051","key":"ref5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"696","DOI":"10.1038\/nature03820","article-title":"Refractory periods and climate forcing in cholera dynamics","volume":"436","author":"K Koelle","year":"2005","journal-title":"Nature"},{"issue":"2","key":"ref6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"131","DOI":"10.3354\/cr00730","article-title":"Predicting endemic cholera: the role of climate variability and disease dynamics","volume":"36","author":"M Pascual","year":"2008","journal-title":"Clim Res"},{"issue":"18","key":"ref7","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"4647","DOI":"10.1175\/2007JCLI2001.1","article-title":"Links between tropical Pacific SST and cholera incidence in Bangladesh: role of the eastern and central tropical Pacific","volume":"21","author":"BA Cash","year":"2008","journal-title":"J Clim"},{"issue":"1","key":"ref8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"103","DOI":"10.1097\/EDE.0b013e31815c09ea","article-title":"The effect of rainfall on the incidence of cholera in Bangladesh","volume":"19","author":"M Hashizume","year":"2008","journal-title":"Epidemiology"},{"issue":"01","key":"ref9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"73","DOI":"10.1017\/S0950268807008175","article-title":"Prediction of epidemic cholera due to Vibrio cholerae O1 in children younger than 10 years using climate data in Bangladesh","volume":"136","author":"F Matsuda","year":"2008","journal-title":"Epidemiol Infect"},{"issue":"19","key":"ref10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1029\/2009GL039312","article-title":"Dual peak cholera transmission in Bengal Delta: A hydroclimatological explanation","volume":"36","author":"AS Akanda","year":"2009","journal-title":"Geophys Res Lett"},{"issue":"6","key":"ref11","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"S153","DOI":"10.1097\/01.ede.0000362523.13023.65","article-title":"Climatic components of seasonal variation in cholera incidence","volume":"20","author":"M Hashizume","year":"2009","journal-title":"Epidemiology"},{"issue":"3","key":"ref12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1029\/2010WR009914","article-title":"Hydroclimatic influences on seasonal and spatial cholera transmission cycles: implications for public health intervention in the Bengal Delta","volume":"47","author":"AS Akanda","year":"2011","journal-title":"Water Resour Res"},{"issue":"6","key":"ref13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1179","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.14-0648","article-title":"Predictive Time Series Analysis Linking Bengal Cholera with Terrestrial Water Storage Measured from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment Sensors","volume":"93","author":"A Jutla","year":"2015","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"issue":"3","key":"ref14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"257","DOI":"10.3354\/cr01310","article-title":"Downscaling river discharge to assess the effects of climate change on cholera outbreaks in the Bengal Delta","volume":"64","author":"F Nasr-Azadani","year":"2015","journal-title":"Clim Res"},{"issue":"6","key":"ref15","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2033","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1108438109","article-title":"Highly localized sensitivity to climate forcing drives endemic cholera in a megacity","volume":"109","author":"RC Reiner","year":"2012","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci"},{"issue":"15","key":"ref16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"4092","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1518977113","article-title":"Differential and enhanced response to climate forcing in diarrheal disease due to rotavirus across a megacity of the developing world","volume":"11","author":"PP Martinez","year":"2016","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci"},{"issue":"9","key":"ref17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e107223","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0107223","article-title":"Cholera and shigellosis: Different epidemiology but similar responses to climate variability","volume":"9","author":"BA Cash","year":"2014","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"issue":"49","key":"ref18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"18438","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.0603181103","article-title":"Inference for nonlinear dynamical systems","volume":"103","author":"EL Ionides","year":"2006","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci"},{"issue":"1","key":"ref19","first-page":"1","article-title":"Statistical Inference for Partially Observed Markov Processes via the R Package pomp","volume":"69","author":"AA King","year":"2016","journal-title":"J Stat Softw"},{"issue":"1","key":"ref20","first-page":"1","article-title":"Predictability of epidemic malaria under non-stationary conditions with process-based models combining epidemiological updates and climate variability","volume":"14","author":"M Roy","year":"2015","journal-title":"Malar J"},{"issue":"1806","key":"ref21","article-title":"Avoidable errors in the modelling of outbreaks of emerging pathogens, with special reference to Ebola","volume":"282","author":"AA King","year":"2015","journal-title":"Proc R Soc London B Biol Sci"},{"key":"ref22","first-page":"85","article-title":"In Flood Problem and Management in South Asia","author":"IM Faisal","year":"2003"},{"key":"ref23","article-title":"Climate-driven endemic cholera is modulated by human mobility in a megacity","author":"J Perez-Saez","year":"2016","journal-title":"Advances in Water Resources"},{"issue":"3","key":"ref24","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"607","DOI":"10.1175\/JHM583.1","article-title":"A gauge-based analysis of daily precipitation over East Asia","volume":"8","author":"P Xie","year":"2007","journal-title":"J Hydrometeorol"},{"issue":"D4","key":"ref25","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1029\/2007JD009132","article-title":"Assessing objective techniques for gauge-based analyses of global daily precipitation","volume":"113","author":"M Chen","year":"2008","journal-title":"J Geophys Res Atmos"},{"issue":"7","key":"ref26","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1641","DOI":"10.1175\/2008JCLI2177.1","article-title":"Links between tropical Pacific SST and cholera incidence in Bangladesh: role of the western tropical and central extratropical Pacific","volume":"22","author":"BA Cash","year":"2009","journal-title":"Journal of Climate"},{"issue":"10","key":"ref27","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2817","DOI":"10.1175\/2009JCLI2512.1","article-title":"Disentangling the impact of ENSO and Indian ocean variability on the regional climate of Bangladesh: Implications for cholera risk","volume":"23","author":"BA Cash","year":"2010","journal-title":"Journal of Climate"},{"key":"ref28","unstructured":"Bala SK, Islam AK, Chowdhury JU, Rahman MR, Haque MA, Khan MS, Salehin M. Performance of flood control works around Dhaka city during major floods in Bangladesh. Proceedings of the second international conference on water and flood management. Institute of Water and Flood Management, Dhaka; 2009. pp. 1\u201310."},{"issue":"3","key":"ref29","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e60001","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0060001","article-title":"A differential effect of Indian ocean dipole and El Ni\u00f1o on cholera dynamics in Bangladesh","volume":"8","author":"M Hashizume","year":"2013","journal-title":"PloS One"},{"issue":"1","key":"ref30","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"83","DOI":"10.1007\/s10393-015-1095-3","article-title":"El Ni\u00f1o, Climate, and Cholera Associations in Piura, Peru, 1991\u20132001: A Wavelet Analysis","volume":"13","author":"IJ Ram\u00edrez","year":"2016","journal-title":"EcoHealth"}],"container-title":["PLOS ONE"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0172355","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,23]],"date-time":"2018-10-23T11:53:10Z","timestamp":1540295590000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0172355"}},"subtitle":[],"editor":[{"given":"Jeffrey","family":"Shaman","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"editor","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2017,3,2]]},"references-count":30,"journal-issue":{"issue":"3","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2017,3,2]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0172355","relation":{},"ISSN":["1932-6203"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1932-6203","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2017,3,2]]}}}