{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,16]],"date-time":"2026-10-16T10:31:15Z","timestamp":1792146675311,"version":"4.4.0"},"reference-count":29,"publisher":"Public Library of Science (PLoS)","issue":"6","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2017,6,27]],"date-time":"2017-06-27T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1498521600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["www.plosone.org"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["PLoS ONE"],"DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0177313","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2017,6,27]],"date-time":"2017-06-27T13:35:24Z","timestamp":1498570524000},"page":"e0177313","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.corrections_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":23,"title":["Development of a forecasting model for brucellosis spreading in the Italian cattle trade network aimed to prioritise the field interventions"],"prefix":"10.1371","volume":"12","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6175-7793","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"L.","family":"Savini","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"L.","family":"Candeloro","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"A.","family":"Conte","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"F.","family":"De Massis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"A.","family":"Giovannini","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"340","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2017,6,27]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref1","unstructured":"Caporale V, Giovannini A, Calistri P, Tittarelli M. An approach to developing coordinated and harmonised actions for the control of brucellosis. Procedings of the 10th conference of the OIE Regional Commission for the Middle East Doha, Qatar, 111\u2013114. 2009."},{"key":"ref2","first-page":"21","article-title":"Brucellosis: past, present and future","volume":"31","author":"P Nicoletti","year":"2010","journal-title":"Prilozi"},{"key":"ref3","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"632","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1469-0691.2005.01204.x","article-title":"Correlation between animal and human brucellosis in Italy during the period 1997\u20132002","volume":"11","author":"F De Massis","year":"2005","journal-title":"Clin Microbiol Infect"},{"key":"ref4","unstructured":"EU. EUR-Lex\u201402003D0467-20170214\u2014EN\u2014EUR-Lex [Internet]. 2003 [cited 6 Apr 2017]. <ext-link xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" ext-link-type=\"uri\" xlink:href=\"http:\/\/eur-lex.europa.eu\/legal-content\/EN\/TXT\/?qid=1491299468061&uri=CELEX:02003D0467-20170214\" xlink:type=\"simple\">http:\/\/eur-lex.europa.eu\/legal-content\/EN\/TXT\/?qid=1491299468061&amp;uri=CELEX:02003D0467-20170214<\/ext-link>"},{"key":"ref5","unstructured":"EU. EUR-Lex\u201432017D0252\u2014EN\u2014EUR-Lex [Internet]. 2017 [cited 6 Apr 2017]. <ext-link xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" ext-link-type=\"uri\" xlink:href=\"http:\/\/eur-lex.europa.eu\/legal-content\/EN\/TXT\/?uri=celex%3A32017D0252\" xlink:type=\"simple\">http:\/\/eur-lex.europa.eu\/legal-content\/EN\/TXT\/?uri=celex%3A32017D0252<\/ext-link>"},{"key":"ref6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"329","DOI":"10.1016\/j.prevetmed.2012.12.008","article-title":"Risk factors for the persistence of bovine brucellosis in Sicily from 2008 to 2010","volume":"110","author":"P Calistri","year":"2013","journal-title":"Prev Vet Med"},{"key":"ref7","unstructured":"P\u00e9rez-Sancho M, Garc\u00eda-Seco T, Dom\u00ednguez L, \u00c1lvarez J. Control of Animal Brucellosis\u2014The Most Effective Tool to Prevent Human Brucellosis. 2015; <ext-link xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" ext-link-type=\"uri\" xlink:href=\"http:\/\/cdn.intechopen.com\/pdfs-wm\/49083.pdf\" xlink:type=\"simple\">http:\/\/cdn.intechopen.com\/pdfs-wm\/49083.pdf<\/ext-link>"},{"issue":"1","key":"ref8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"53","DOI":"10.20506\/rst.32.1.2187","article-title":"Epidemiology of brucellosis in domestic animals caused by Brucella melitensis, Brucella suis and Brucella abortus","volume":"32","author":"ED Aparicio","year":"2013","journal-title":"Rev Sci Tech Int Epiz"},{"key":"ref9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"5678","DOI":"10.1103\/PhysRevE.61.5678","article-title":"Epidemics and percolation in small-world networks","volume":"61","author":"C Moore","year":"2000","journal-title":"Phys Rev E"},{"key":"ref10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3200","DOI":"10.1103\/PhysRevLett.86.3200","article-title":"Epidemic Spreading in Scale-Free Networks","volume":"86","author":"R Pastor-Satorras","year":"2001","journal-title":"Phys Rev Lett"},{"key":"ref11","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"341","DOI":"10.1016\/j.prevetmed.2009.08.026","article-title":"Network analysis of Italian cattle trade patterns and evaluation of risks for potential disease spread","volume":"92","author":"F Natale","year":"2009","journal-title":"Prev Vet Med"},{"key":"ref12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"109","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1865-1682.2009.01073.x","article-title":"Social Network Analysis. Review of General Concepts and Use in Preventive Veterinary Medicine","volume":"56","author":"B Mart\u00ednez-L\u00f3pez","year":"2009","journal-title":"Transbound Emerg Dis"},{"issue":"2","key":"ref13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"425","DOI":"10.20506\/rst.30.2.2043","article-title":"Introduction to network analysis and its implications for animal disease modelling","volume":"30","author":"C Dub\u00e9","year":"2011","journal-title":"Rev Sci Tech Int Epiz"},{"key":"ref14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"40","DOI":"10.1016\/j.prevetmed.2006.04.007","article-title":"Use of social network analysis to characterize the pattern of animal movements in the initial phases of the 2001 foot and mouth disease (FMD) epidemic in the UK","volume":"76","author":"A Ortiz-Pelaez","year":"2006","journal-title":"Prev Vet Med"},{"key":"ref15","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e1259","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0001259","article-title":"A network control theory approach to modeling and optimal control of zoonoses: case study of brucellosis transmission in sub-Saharan Africa","volume":"5","author":"S Roy","year":"2011","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"ref16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2","DOI":"10.1080\/17513750903171688","article-title":"A model for ovine brucellosis incorporating direct and indirect transmission","volume":"4","author":"B A\u00efnseba","year":"2010","journal-title":"J Biol Dyn"},{"issue":"7","key":"ref17","first-page":"054","article-title":"The economic and public health significance of brucellosis. The economic and public health significance of brucellosis","volume":"Vol. 1","author":"T Dubie","year":"2014","journal-title":"Global Research Journal of Public Health and Epidemiology"},{"key":"ref18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"77","DOI":"10.1016\/j.prevetmed.2005.01.017","article-title":"A model of animal\u2013human brucellosis transmission in Mongolia","volume":"69","author":"J Zinsstag","year":"2005","journal-title":"Prev Vet Med"},{"key":"ref19","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"604","DOI":"10.1145\/324133.324140","article-title":"Authoritative sources in a hyperlinked environment","volume":"46","author":"JM Kleinberg","year":"1999","journal-title":"J ACM JACM"},{"key":"ref20","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"111","DOI":"10.1016\/j.prevetmed.2010.11.013","article-title":"Evaluation of risk and vulnerability using a Disease Flow Centrality measure in dynamic cattle trade networks","volume":"98","author":"F Natale","year":"2011","journal-title":"Prev Vet Med"},{"key":"ref21","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"361","DOI":"10.1038\/280361a0","article-title":"Population biology of infectious diseases: Part I","volume":"280","author":"RM Anderson","year":"1979","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"ref22","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"63","DOI":"10.1016\/j.prevetmed.2004.01.009","article-title":"A simulation model of brucellosis spread in British cattle under several testing regimes","volume":"63","author":"T England","year":"2004","journal-title":"Prev Vet Med"},{"key":"ref23","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"57","DOI":"10.1016\/j.prevetmed.2008.03.004","article-title":"Evaluation of surveillance strategies for bovine brucellosis in Japan using a simulation model","volume":"86","author":"T Yamamoto","year":"2008","journal-title":"Prev Vet Med"},{"key":"ref24","article-title":"Infectious and parasitic diseases of livestock","author":"C Saegerman","year":"2010"},{"key":"ref25","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2105-12-77","article-title":"pROC: an open-source package for R and S+ to analyze and compare ROC curves","volume":"12","author":"X Robin","year":"2011","journal-title":"BMC Bioinformatics"},{"key":"ref26","unstructured":"R Core Team. <ext-link xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" ext-link-type=\"uri\" xlink:href=\"http:\/\/www.R-project.org\/\" xlink:type=\"simple\">http:\/\/www.R-project.org\/<\/ext-link> [Internet]. 2015."},{"key":"ref27","unstructured":"Gabor C. Package \u201cigraph\u201d. <ext-link xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" ext-link-type=\"uri\" xlink:href=\"http:\/\/igraph.org\" xlink:type=\"simple\">http:\/\/igraph.org<\/ext-link> [Internet]. 2015."},{"key":"ref28","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2498","DOI":"10.1101\/gr.1239303","article-title":"Cytoscape: A Software Environment for Integrated Models of Biomolecular Interaction Networks","volume":"13","author":"P Shannon","year":"2003","journal-title":"Genome Res"},{"key":"ref29","unstructured":"Cytoscape v. 3.2.1 <ext-link xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" ext-link-type=\"uri\" xlink:href=\"http:\/\/www.cytoscape.org\/\" xlink:type=\"simple\">http:\/\/www.cytoscape.org\/<\/ext-link> [Internet]. 2015."}],"container-title":["PLOS ONE"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0177313","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,22]],"date-time":"2018-10-22T14:16:51Z","timestamp":1540217811000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0177313"}},"subtitle":[],"editor":[{"given":"Irene","family":"Sendi\u00f1a-Nadal","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"editor"}]}],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2017,6,27]]},"references-count":29,"journal-issue":{"issue":"6","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2017,6,27]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0177313","relation":{},"ISSN":["1932-6203"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1932-6203","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2017,6,27]]}}}