{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,3,17]],"date-time":"2026-03-17T16:01:00Z","timestamp":1773763260444,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":39,"publisher":"Public Library of Science (PLoS)","issue":"9","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2017,9,22]],"date-time":"2017-09-22T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1506038400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["www.plosone.org"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["PLoS ONE"],"DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0185432","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2017,9,22]],"date-time":"2017-09-22T13:37:22Z","timestamp":1506087442000},"page":"e0185432","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.corrections_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":6,"title":["Advising caution in studying seasonal oscillations in crime rates"],"prefix":"10.1371","volume":"12","author":[{"given":"Kun","family":"Dong","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Yunbai","family":"Cao","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Beatrice","family":"Siercke","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Matthew","family":"Wilber","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-0093-4658","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Scott G.","family":"McCalla","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"340","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2017,9,22]]},"reference":[{"issue":"6151","key":"ref1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1235367","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1235367","article-title":"Quantifying the influence of climate on human conflict","volume":"341","author":"SM Hsiang","year":"2013","journal-title":"Science"},{"issue":"1","key":"ref2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"74","DOI":"10.1037\/0033-2909.106.1.74","article-title":"Temperature and aggression: ubiquitous effects of heat on occurrence of human violence","volume":"106","author":"CA Anderson","year":"1989","journal-title":"Psychological bulletin"},{"key":"ref3","unstructured":"Houston Police Department\u2014Crime Statistics; 2015. <ext-link xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" ext-link-type=\"uri\" xlink:href=\"http:\/\/www.houstontx.gov\/police\/cs\/stats2.htm\" xlink:type=\"simple\">http:\/\/www.houstontx.gov\/police\/cs\/stats2.htm<\/ext-link>."},{"key":"ref4","article-title":"A treatise on man and the development of his faculties, tr. (under the superintendence of R. Knox)","author":"LAJ Quetelet","year":"1842"},{"key":"ref5","article-title":"Principles of criminology","author":"EH Sutherland","year":"1992"},{"key":"ref6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"579","DOI":"10.1093\/oxfordjournals.bjc.a014113","article-title":"Crime seasonality and serious scholarship: a comment on Farrell and Pease","volume":"36","author":"E Baumer","year":"1996","journal-title":"Brit J Criminology"},{"issue":"4","key":"ref7","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"487","DOI":"10.1093\/oxfordjournals.bjc.a048449","article-title":"CRIM SEASONALITY: Domestic Disputes and Residential Burglary in Merseyside 1988\u201390","volume":"34","author":"G Farrell","year":"1994","journal-title":"British Journal of Criminology"},{"issue":"3","key":"ref8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"389","DOI":"10.1007\/s10940-011-9145-7","article-title":"Seasonal cycles in crime, and their variability","volume":"28","author":"D McDowall","year":"2012","journal-title":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology"},{"issue":"1","key":"ref9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"51","DOI":"10.1093\/oxfordjournals.bjc.a047980","article-title":"Weather and crime","volume":"30","author":"EG Cohn","year":"1990","journal-title":"British journal of criminology"},{"key":"ref10","article-title":"Seasonality in recorded crime: Preliminary findings","author":"C Hird","year":"2007"},{"issue":"3","key":"ref11","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"263","DOI":"10.1080\/19485565.1983.9988541","article-title":"Annual rhythms in human violence and sexual aggression in the United States and the role of temperature","volume":"30","author":"RP Michael","year":"1983","journal-title":"Biodemography and Social Biology"},{"issue":"2","key":"ref12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"127","DOI":"10.1080\/01924036.1978.9688656","article-title":"Stochastic models of crime rates","volume":"2","author":"SJ Deutsch","year":"1978","journal-title":"International Journal of Comparative and Applied Criminal Justice"},{"issue":"1","key":"ref13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"61","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1540-4560.1992.tb01157.x","article-title":"The under detection of rape: Methodological choices influence incidence estimates","volume":"48","author":"MP Koss","year":"1992","journal-title":"Journal of social issues"},{"key":"ref14","article-title":"Attrition in reported rape cases","author":"L Kelly","year":"2005"},{"issue":"11","key":"ref15","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"979","DOI":"10.1023\/A:1018837524712","article-title":"Gender differences in rape reporting","volume":"40","author":"NW Pino","year":"1999","journal-title":"Sex roles"},{"issue":"1","key":"ref16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"565","DOI":"10.1086\/653101","article-title":"Rape and attrition in the legal process: A comparative analysis of five countries","volume":"39","author":"K Daly","year":"2010","journal-title":"Crime and justice"},{"issue":"4","key":"ref17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1333","DOI":"10.1353\/sof.2004.0074","article-title":"Crimes of opportunity or crimes of emotion? Testing two explanations of seasonal change in crime","volume":"82","author":"JR Hipp","year":"2004","journal-title":"Social Forces"},{"issue":"03","key":"ref18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"327","DOI":"10.1142\/S0219493702000455","article-title":"Metastability in simple climate models: pathwise analysis of slowly driven Langevin equations","volume":"2","author":"N Berglund","year":"2002","journal-title":"Stochastics and Dynamics"},{"issue":"D1","key":"ref19","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1029\/2011JD016164","article-title":"Factors controlling the bifurcation structure of sea ice retreat","volume":"117","author":"I Eisenman","year":"2012","journal-title":"Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres"},{"issue":"1","key":"ref20","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3","DOI":"10.1093\/icesjms\/3.1.3","article-title":"Variations and fluctuations of the number of individuals in animal species living together","volume":"3","author":"V Volterra","year":"1928","journal-title":"J Cons Int Explor Mer"},{"issue":"3","key":"ref21","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"271","DOI":"10.1021\/j150111a004","article-title":"Contribution to the theory of periodic reactions","volume":"14","author":"AJ Lotka","year":"1910","journal-title":"The Journal of Physical Chemistry"},{"issue":"3","key":"ref22","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"851","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1745-9125.2012.00281.x","article-title":"THE ECOLOGY OF GANG TERRITORIAL BOUNDARIES*","volume":"50","author":"PJ Brantingham","year":"2012","journal-title":"Criminology"},{"key":"ref23","article-title":"The great American crime decline","author":"WDSFE Zimring","year":"2006"},{"key":"ref24","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"163","DOI":"10.1257\/089533004773563485","article-title":"Understanding why crime fell in the 1990s: Four factors that explain the decline and six that do not","author":"SD Levitt","year":"2004","journal-title":"Journal of Economic perspectives"},{"issue":"3","key":"ref25","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"395","DOI":"10.1016\/0167-2789(89)90077-8","article-title":"Singular spectrum analysis in nonlinear dynamics, with applications to paleoclimatic time series","volume":"35","author":"R Vautard","year":"1989","journal-title":"Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena"},{"key":"ref26","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1007\/978-1-4757-2514-8","article-title":"Singular spectrum analysis","author":"JB Elsner","year":"1996"},{"issue":"4\u20135","key":"ref27","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"275","DOI":"10.1017\/S0956792510000070","article-title":"What every mathematician should know about modelling crime","volume":"21","author":"M Felson","year":"2010","journal-title":"European Journal of Applied Mathematics"},{"issue":"9","key":"ref28","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3223","DOI":"10.3934\/dcds.2012.32.3223","article-title":"Adaptation of an ecological territorial model to street gang spatial patterns in Los Angeles","volume":"32","author":"LM Smith","year":"2012","journal-title":"Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems"},{"issue":"1594","key":"ref29","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1651","DOI":"10.1098\/rspb.2005.3439","article-title":"Mechanistic home range models capture spatial patterns and dynamics of coyote territories in Yellowstone","volume":"273","author":"PR Moorcroft","year":"2006","journal-title":"Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences"},{"issue":"21","key":"ref30","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3894","DOI":"10.1016\/j.physa.2011.05.040","article-title":"Geographical influences of an emerging network of gang rivalries","volume":"390","author":"RA Hegemann","year":"2011","journal-title":"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications"},{"issue":"supp01","key":"ref31","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1249","DOI":"10.1142\/S0218202508003029","article-title":"A statistical model of criminal behavior","volume":"18","author":"MB Short","year":"2008","journal-title":"Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences"},{"issue":"9","key":"ref32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3961","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.0910921107","article-title":"Dissipation and displacement of hotspots in reaction-diffusion models of crime","volume":"107","author":"MB Short","year":"2010","journal-title":"Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences"},{"issue":"2","key":"ref33","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"462","DOI":"10.1137\/090759069","article-title":"Nonlinear patterns in urban crime: Hotspots, bifurcations, and suppression","volume":"9","author":"MB Short","year":"2010","journal-title":"SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems"},{"issue":"4","key":"ref34","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1703","DOI":"10.1137\/120895408","article-title":"Crime Modeling with L\u00e9vy Flights","volume":"73","author":"S Chaturapruek","year":"2013","journal-title":"SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics"},{"issue":"11","key":"ref35","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"114101","DOI":"10.1103\/PhysRevLett.112.114101","article-title":"Effects of moderate noise on a limit cycle oscillator: Counterrotation and bistability","volume":"112","author":"JM Newby","year":"2014","journal-title":"Physical review letters"},{"key":"ref36","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"041902","DOI":"10.1103\/PhysRevE.70.041902","article-title":"Stochastic models in population biology and their deterministic analogs","volume":"70","author":"AJ McKane","year":"2004","journal-title":"Phys Rev E"},{"issue":"3","key":"ref37","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"459","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jtbi.2006.10.029","article-title":"Sustained oscillations via coherence resonance in {SIR}","volume":"245","author":"R Kuske","year":"2007","journal-title":"Journal of Theoretical Biology"},{"issue":"493","key":"ref38","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1198\/jasa.2011.ap09546","article-title":"Self-exciting point process modeling of crime","volume":"106","author":"GO Mohler","year":"2011","journal-title":"Journal of the American Statistical Association"},{"issue":"3","key":"ref39","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"325","DOI":"10.1007\/s10940-009-9068-8","article-title":"Measuring and modeling repeat and near-repeat burglary effects","volume":"25","author":"M Short","year":"2009","journal-title":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology"}],"container-title":["PLOS ONE"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0185432","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,22]],"date-time":"2018-10-22T19:26:10Z","timestamp":1540236370000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0185432"}},"subtitle":[],"editor":[{"given":"Kim-Kwang Raymond","family":"Choo","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"editor","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2017,9,22]]},"references-count":39,"journal-issue":{"issue":"9","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2017,9,22]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0185432","relation":{},"ISSN":["1932-6203"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1932-6203","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2017,9,22]]}}}