{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,26]],"date-time":"2026-09-26T08:36:56Z","timestamp":1790411816897,"version":"4.1.0"},"reference-count":45,"publisher":"Public Library of Science (PLoS)","issue":"5","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,5,29]],"date-time":"2020-05-29T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1590710400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/100011199","name":"FP7 Ideas: European Research Council","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100011199","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"name":"Regional Government of Arag\u00f3n"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["www.plosone.org"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["PLoS ONE"],"DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0233771","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2020,5,29]],"date-time":"2020-05-29T17:47:41Z","timestamp":1590774461000},"page":"e0233771","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.corrections_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":21,"title":["Could climate trends disrupt the contact rates between Ixodes ricinus (Acari, Ixodidae) and the reservoirs of Borrelia burgdorferi s.l.?"],"prefix":"10.1371","volume":"15","author":[{"given":"Natalia","family":"Fern\u00e1ndez-Ruiz","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-7483-046X","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Agustin","family":"Estrada-Pe\u00f1a","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"340","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2020,5,29]]},"reference":[{"key":"pone.0233771.ref001","first-page":"fnx244","article-title":"Vector-borne diseases and climate change: a European perspective","volume":"365","author":"JC Semenza","year":"2017","journal-title":"FEMS microbiol lett"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref002","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"251","DOI":"10.1079\/9780851996325.0251","volume-title":"Lyme Borreliosis: Biology of the Infectious Agents and Epidemiology of Disease","author":"DT Dennis","year":"2002"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref003","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2117","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-019-38755-9","article-title":"Seroprevalence of six pathogens transmitted by the Ixodes ricinus ticks in asymptomatic individuals with HIV infection and in blood donors","volume":"9","author":"A Pawe\u0142czyk","year":"2019","journal-title":"Sci. Rep"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref004","first-page":"332","article-title":"What shapes perceptions of climate change?","volume":"1","author":"EU Weber","year":"2010","journal-title":"Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref005","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"24","DOI":"10.1186\/1476-072X-7-24","article-title":"Risk maps for range expansion of the Lyme disease vector, Ixodes scapularis, in Canada now and with climate change","volume":"7","author":"NH Ogden","year":"2008","journal-title":"Int J Hlth Geog"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref006","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e0189092","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0189092","article-title":"Climate change influences on the potential geographic distribution of the disease vector tick Ixodes ricinus","volume":"12","author":"AA Alkishe","year":"2017","journal-title":"PloS one"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref007","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e00609","DOI":"10.1128\/AEM.00609-17","article-title":"Europe-wide meta-analysis of Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato prevalence in questing Ixodes ricinus ticks","volume":"83","author":"M Strnad","year":"2017","journal-title":"Appl Environ Microbiol"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref008","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1159\/000213066","article-title":"Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato diversity and its influence on pathogenicity in humans","volume":"37","author":"G Baranton","year":"2009","journal-title":"Curr Probl Dermatol"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref009","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"452","DOI":"10.1645\/0022-3395(2003)089[0452:MPAITT]2.0.CO;2","article-title":"Molecular phylogenetic analyses indicate that the Ixodes ricinus complex is a paraphyletic group","volume":"89","author":"G Xu","year":"2003","journal-title":"J Parasitol"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref010","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"8","DOI":"10.1186\/1756-3305-5-8","article-title":"Changes in the geographical distribution and abundance of the tick Ixodes ricinus during the past 30 years in Sweden","volume":"5","author":"TG Jaenson","year":"2012","journal-title":"Parasites & vectors"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref011","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"223","DOI":"10.1089\/vbz.2009.0020","article-title":"Integration of a tick-borne encephalitis virus and Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato into mountain ecosystems, following a shift in the altitudinal limit of distribution of their vector, Ixodes ricinus (Krkono\u0161e mountains, Czech Republic)","volume":"10","author":"V Danielov\u00e1","year":"2010","journal-title":"Vector-Borne Zoon Dis"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref012","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"84","DOI":"10.1186\/1756-3305-4-84","article-title":"Multi-source analysis reveals latitudinal and altitudinal shifts in range of Ixodes ricinus at its northern distribution limit","volume":"4","author":"S Jore","year":"2011","journal-title":"Parasites & vectors"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref013","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"457","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1365-2664.2012.02112.x","article-title":"Predicting the speed of tick invasion: an empirical model of range expansion for the Lyme disease vector Ixodes scapularis in Canada","volume":"49","author":"PA Leighton","year":"2012","journal-title":"J Appl Ecol"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref014","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"160056","DOI":"10.1038\/sdata.2016.56","article-title":"Species interactions in occurrence data for a community of tick-transmitted pathogens","volume":"3","author":"A Estrada-Pe\u00f1a","year":"2016","journal-title":"Sci Data"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref015","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"35","DOI":"10.1111\/mve.12009","article-title":"Deconstructing Ixodes ricinus: a partial matrix model allowing mapping of tick development, mortality and activity rates","volume":"28","author":"A Estrada-Pe\u00f1a","year":"2014","journal-title":"Med Vet Entomol"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref016","first-page":"467811","article-title":"A retrospective assessment of temperature trends in northern Europe reveals a deep impact on the life cycle of Ixodes ricinus (Acarina: Ixodidae)","author":"A. Estrada-Pe\u00f1a","year":"2017","journal-title":"bioRxiv"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref017","first-page":"1","article-title":"Lyme disease risk in Europe under multiple drivers of change","volume":"127","author":"S Li","year":"2019","journal-title":"Env Hlth Perspect"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref018","first-page":"1","article-title":"Reviewing molecular adaptations of Lyme borreliosis spirochetes in the context of reproductive fitness in natural transmission cycles","volume":"40","author":"JI Tsao","year":"2009","journal-title":"Vet Res"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref019","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1075","DOI":"10.1017\/S0031182016000536","article-title":"The diversity\u2013disease relationship: evidence for and criticisms of the dilution effect","volume":"143","author":"ZYX Huang","year":"2016","journal-title":"Parasitol"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref020","article-title":"Functional Redundancy and Ecological Innovation Shape the Circulation of Tick-Transmitted Pathogens","author":"A Estrada-Pe\u00f1a","year":"2017","journal-title":"Front Cell Infect Microbiol"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref021","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"249","DOI":"10.1016\/j.rse.2005.12.014","article-title":"Intra-seasonal NDVI change projections in semi-arid Africa","volume":"101","author":"CC Funk","year":"2006","journal-title":"Rem Sens Envion"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref022","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"191","DOI":"10.2529\/PIERS070907105158","article-title":"Spatial distribution pattern of MODIS-NDVI and correlation between NDVI and meteorology factors in Shandong Province in China","volume":"4","author":"D Song","year":"2008","journal-title":"Piers Online"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref023","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"255","DOI":"10.1186\/s13071-018-2832-6","article-title":"Ecological niche modeling of Aedes mosquito vectors of chikungunya virus in southeastern Senegal","volume":"11","author":"R Richman","year":"2018","journal-title":"Parasites & vectors"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref024","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"588","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolmodel.2010.11.016","article-title":"Null models reveal preferential sampling, spatial autocorrelation and overfitting in habitat suitability modelling","volume":"222","author":"B Merckx","year":"2011","journal-title":"Ecol Mod"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref025","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"29","DOI":"10.3389\/fcimb.2013.00029","article-title":"Research on the ecology of ticks and tick-borne pathogens\u2014methodological principles and caveats","volume":"3","author":"A Estrada-Pe\u00f1a","year":"2013","journal-title":"Front Cell Infec Microbiol"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref026","first-page":"40","volume":"97","author":"L Busetto","year":"2016","journal-title":"MODIStsp: An R package for automatic preprocessing of MODIS Land Products time series, Comp Geosci"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref027","volume-title":"R: A language and environment for statistical computing","author":"R Core Team","year":"2019"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref028","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1965","DOI":"10.1002\/joc.1276","article-title":"Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas","volume":"25","author":"RJ Hijmans","year":"2005","journal-title":"Int J Climatol"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref029","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"43","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1472-4642.2010.00725.x","article-title":"A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists","volume":"17","author":"J Elith","year":"2011","journal-title":"Div Dist"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref030","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1058","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1600-0587.2013.07872.x","article-title":"A practical guide to MaxEnt for modeling species\u2019 distributions: what it does, and why inputs and settings matter","volume":"36","author":"C Merow","year":"2013","journal-title":"Ecography"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref031","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"231","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolmodel.2005.03.026","article-title":"Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions","volume":"190","author":"SJ Phillips","year":"2006","journal-title":"Ecol Mod"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref032","author":"A Estrada-Pe\u00f1a","journal-title":"Dataset of records of ticks, hosts, and pathogens (with climate and coordinates) in Western Palearctic"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref033","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"043001","DOI":"10.1088\/1748-9326\/11\/4\/043001","article-title":"Few vertebrate species dominate the Borrelia burgdorferi s.l. life cycle","volume":"11","author":"TR Hofmeester","year":"2016","journal-title":"Env Res Lett"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref034","article-title":"wallace: A modular platform for reproducible modeling of species niches and distributions","author":"JM Kass","year":"2018","journal-title":"R package version 1.0.6"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref035","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"25","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecoinf.2019.02.005","article-title":"Akaike information criterion should not be a \u201ctest\u201d of geographical prediction accuracy in ecological niche modelling","volume":"5","author":"JA Velasco","year":"2019","journal-title":"Ecol Informatics"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref036","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"87","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolind.2009.03.018","article-title":"A new European Landscape Classification (LANMAP): A transparent, flexible and user-oriented methodology to distinguish landscapes","volume":"10","author":"CA M\u00fccher","year":"2010","journal-title":"Ecol Indicators"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref037","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"41","DOI":"10.1186\/s12942-018-0163-7","article-title":"An updated meta-analysis of the distribution and prevalence of Borrelia burgdorferi s.l. in ticks in Europe","volume":"17","author":"A Estrada-Pe\u00f1a","year":"2018","journal-title":"Int J Htlh Geog"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref038","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e1408","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0001408","article-title":"Global data for ecology and epidemiology: a novel algorithm for temporal Fourier processing MODIS data","volume":"3","author":"JP Scharlemann","year":"2008","journal-title":"PloS one"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref039","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"4302","DOI":"10.1002\/joc.5086","article-title":"WorldClim 2: new 1-km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas","volume":"37","author":"SE Fick","year":"2017","journal-title":"Int J Climatol"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref040","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"302","DOI":"10.1186\/1756-3305-7-302","article-title":"A global set of Fourier-transformed remotely sensed covariates for the description of abiotic niche in epidemiological studies of tick vector species","volume":"7","author":"A Estrada-Pe\u00f1a","year":"2014","journal-title":"Parasites & vectors"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref041","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"43","DOI":"10.1016\/j.rse.2006.03.011","article-title":"Changes in land surface temperatures and NDVI values over Europe between 1982 and 1999","volume":"103","author":"Y Julien","year":"2006","journal-title":"Remote Sens Environ"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref042","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"44","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ttbdis.2010.10.006","article-title":"The range of Ixodes ricinus and the risk of contracting Lyme borreliosis will increase northwards when the vegetation period becomes longer","volume":"2","author":"TG Jaenson","year":"2011","journal-title":"Ticks tick-borne dis"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref043","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"30569","DOI":"10.2807\/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.27.30569","article-title":"Surveillance perspective on Lyme borreliosis across the European Union and European economic area","volume":"22","author":"CC Van den Wijngaard","year":"2017","journal-title":"Eurosurv"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref044","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"8448","DOI":"10.3402\/gha.v4i0.8448","article-title":"The impact of climate change on the expansion of Ixodes persulcatus habitat and the incidence of tick-borne encephalitis in the north of European Russia","volume":"4","author":"NK Tokarevich","year":"2011","journal-title":"Global Hlth Action"},{"key":"pone.0233771.ref045","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"30","DOI":"10.1016\/j.foreco.2011.10.028","article-title":"Local habitat and landscape affect Ixodes ricinus tick abundances in forests on poor, sandy soils","volume":"265","author":"W Tack","year":"2012","journal-title":"Forest Ecos Man"}],"container-title":["PLOS ONE"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0233771","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2020,5,29]],"date-time":"2020-05-29T17:48:04Z","timestamp":1590774484000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/dx.plos.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0233771"}},"subtitle":[],"editor":[{"given":"Sven","family":"Bergstr\u00f6m","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"editor"}]}],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2020,5,29]]},"references-count":45,"journal-issue":{"issue":"5","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2020,5,29]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0233771","relation":{},"ISSN":["1932-6203"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1932-6203","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2020,5,29]]}}}