{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,5,14]],"date-time":"2025-05-14T04:26:28Z","timestamp":1747196788561,"version":"3.40.5"},"reference-count":0,"publisher":"Coimbra University Press","issue":"57","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2024,2,20]],"date-time":"2024-02-20T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1708387200000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["NE"],"abstract":"<jats:p>This study delves into the dynamics of inflation in Portugal, employing a cost-push model as the analytical framework. The model is estimated using data from 2000Q2 to 2020Q1, a period predating the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and the surge in inflation. We then produce forecasts spanning from 2020Q2 to 2023Q2. The forecasts hint strongly at a structural break during this latter period, implying that the model offers insufficient representation of inflation dynamics in Portugal. We conclude with a discussion of the model's strengths and limitations in understanding inflation dynamics, shedding light on critical aspects that impact its explanatory power.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.14195\/2183-203x_57_4","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2024,2,20]],"date-time":"2024-02-20T15:51:17Z","timestamp":1708444277000},"page":"87-97","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Inflation in Portugal Through the Lens of the Fair Model"],"prefix":"10.14195","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-3340-1068","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Pedro","family":"Ba\u00e7\u00e3o","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Jos\u00e9","family":"Diogo Silva","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"5739","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2024,2,20]]},"container-title":["Notas Econ\u00f3micas"],"original-title":[],"link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/impactum-journals.uc.pt\/notaseconomicas\/article\/download\/14049\/9706","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/impactum-journals.uc.pt\/notaseconomicas\/article\/download\/14049\/9706","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2024,2,20]],"date-time":"2024-02-20T15:51:21Z","timestamp":1708444281000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/impactum-journals.uc.pt\/notaseconomicas\/article\/view\/14049"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2024,2,20]]},"references-count":0,"journal-issue":{"issue":"57","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2024,2,20]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.14195\/2183-203x_57_4","relation":{},"ISSN":["2183-203X","0872-4733"],"issn-type":[{"type":"electronic","value":"2183-203X"},{"type":"print","value":"0872-4733"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2024,2,20]]}}}