{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,11,5]],"date-time":"2026-11-05T18:51:39Z","timestamp":1793904699125,"version":"4.8.0"},"reference-count":52,"publisher":"Texas Heart Institute Journal","issue":"3","content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2023,3,1]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n        <jats:sec>\n          <jats:title>Background<\/jats:title>\n          <jats:p>This study aims to establish and validate a nomogram as a predictive model in patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) after dual-chamber cardiac implantable electronic device (pacemaker) implantation.<\/jats:p>\n        <\/jats:sec>\n        <jats:sec>\n          <jats:title>Methods<\/jats:title>\n          <jats:p>A total of 1120 Chinese patients with new-onset AF after pacemaker implantation were included in this retrospective study. Patients had AF of at least 180\/minute lasting 5 minutes or longer, detected by atrial lead and recorded at least 3 months after implantation. Patients with previous atrial tachyarrhythmias before device implantation were excluded. A total of 276 patients were ultimately enrolled, with 51 patients in the AF group and 225 patients in the non-AF group. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was used to determine the best predictors. Through multivariate logistic regression analysis, a nomogram was drawn as a predictive model. Concordance index, calibration plot, and decision curve analyses were applied to evaluate model discrimination, calibration, and clinical applicability. Internal verification was performed using a bootstrap method.<\/jats:p>\n        <\/jats:sec>\n        <jats:sec>\n          <jats:title>Results<\/jats:title>\n          <jats:p>The LASSO method regression analysis found that variables including peripheral arterial disease, atrial pacing-ventricular pacing of at least 50%, atrial sense\u2013ventricular sense of at least 50%, increased left atrium diameter, and age were important predictors of developing AF. In multivariate logistic regression, peripheral arterial disease, atrial pacing-ventricular pacing of at least 50%, and age were found to be independent predictors of new-onset AF.<\/jats:p>\n        <\/jats:sec>\n        <jats:sec>\n          <jats:title>Conclusion<\/jats:title>\n          <jats:p>This nomogram may help physicians identify patients at high risk of new-onset AF after pacemaker implantation at an early stage in a Chinese population.<\/jats:p>\n        <\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.14503\/thij-21-7796","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2023,5,2]],"date-time":"2023-05-02T18:47:17Z","timestamp":1683053237000},"source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":1,"title":["Establishment and Verification of a Nomogram for Predicting the Probability of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation After Dual-Chamber Pacemaker Implantation"],"prefix":"10.14503","volume":"50","author":[{"given":"Ying","family":"Yang","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Cardiology, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jiangting","family":"Lu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Cardiology, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Cui","family":"Xiong","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Cardiology, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Zhida","family":"Shen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Cardiology, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Chao","family":"Shen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Cardiology, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jinshan","family":"Tong","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Cardiology, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jiangfen","family":"Jiang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Cardiology, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Guosheng","family":"Fu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of 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devices","volume":"83","year":"2019","unstructured":"Nishinarita\n              R\n            ,\n\t\t\t\t\t\tNiwanoS,\n\t\t\t\t\t\tFukayaH,\n\t\t\t\t\t\n          .\n\t\t\t\t\tBurden of implanted-device-detected atrial high-rate episode is associated with future heart failure events\u2014clinical significance of asymptomatic atrial fibrillation in patients with implantable cardiac electronic devices.\n\t\t\t\t\tCirc J.2019;83(4):736\u2013742.\n\t\t\t\t\tdoi:10.1253\/circj.CJ-18-1130"},{"issue":"6","key":"i1526-6702-50-2-e217796-b11","series-title":"Circ J.","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"794","DOI":"10.1253\/circj.CJ-16-1018","article-title":"Characteristics and prognosis of pacemaker-identified new-onset atrial fibrillation in Japanese people","volume":"81","year":"2017","unstructured":"Ogino\n              Y\n            ,\n\t\t\t\t\t\tIshikawaT,\n\t\t\t\t\t\tIshigamiT,\n\t\t\t\t\t\n          .\n\t\t\t\t\tCharacteristics and prognosis of pacemaker-identified new-onset 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