{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,11,5]],"date-time":"2026-11-05T19:54:54Z","timestamp":1793908494336,"version":"4.8.0"},"reference-count":36,"publisher":"National Research University, Higher School of Economics (HSE)","issue":"2","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2019,6,11]],"date-time":"2019-06-11T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1560211200000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Foresight and STI Governance"],"abstract":"<jats:p>The implementation of new automation technologies together with the development of artificial intelligence can free up a significant amount of labor. This sharply increases the risks of digital transformation. At the same time, certain regions and cities differ greatly in their ability to adapt to future changes. In this article, we seek to determine the capabilities of Russian regions to reduce risks and adapt to digital transformation. The literature stipulates that there are several factors able to reduce these risks. First of all, they are associated with retraining, ICT and STEAM-technologies\u2019 development, the promotion of economic activities that are less subject to automation. As a result of econometric calculations, we identified several factors that contribute to the new industries\u2019 development (in our case, ICT development), and, accordingly, increase regional adaptivity. These factors\u00a0 include diversification, the concentration of human capital, favorable entrepreneurship conditions, the creative potential of residents, and the development of ICT infrastructure. We identified several regions with high social risks and low adaptivity, which are mainly the poorly developed regions of southern Russia, where entrepreneurial risks are high, STEAM specialists are not trained, shadow economy is large. This work contributes policy tools for adaptation to digital transformation.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.17323\/2500-2597.2019.2.84.96","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2019,6,26]],"date-time":"2019-06-26T13:19:13Z","timestamp":1561555153000},"page":"84-96","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":58,"title":["The Risks of Digitalization and the Adaptation of Regional Labor Markets in Russia"],"prefix":"10.17323","volume":"13","author":[{"given":"Stepan","family":"Zemtsov","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Vera","family":"Barinova","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Roza","family":"Semenova","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"6872","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2019,6,11]]},"reference":[{"key":"98043","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Acemoglu D., Restrepo P. 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(2014) The second machine age: Work, progress, and prosperity in a time of brilliant technologies. New York: WW Norton & Company."},{"key":"98051","unstructured":"Chang J.H., Huynh P. (2016) ASEAN in transformation: The future of jobs at risk of automation. Geneva: ILO."},{"key":"98052","unstructured":"Chen X. (2012) Varying Significance of Influencing Factors in Developing High-Tech Clusters-Using Cities of the US and China as Example. New York: Columbia University. \u0420\u0435\u0436\u0438\u043c \u0434\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0443\u043f\u0430: https:\/\/academiccommons.columbia.edu\/doi\/KCD\/download, \u0434\u0430\u0442\u0430 \u043e\u0431\u0440\u0430\u0449\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f 17.02.2019. DOI: https:\/\/doi.org\/10.7916\/D87W6"},{"key":"98053","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Frey C.B., Osborne M.A. (2017) The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation? \/\/ Technological Forecasting and Social Change. Vol. 114. 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New York: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt."},{"key":"98063","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"OECD (2017) Digital Economy Outlook 2017. Paris: OECD. \u0420\u0435\u0436\u0438\u043c \u0434\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0443\u043f\u0430: http:\/\/www.keepeek.com\/Digital-Asset-Management\/oecd\/science-and-technology\/oecd-digital-economy-outlook-2017_9789264276284-en#page26, \u0434\u0430\u0442\u0430 \u043e\u0431\u0440\u0430\u0449\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f 09.04.2019.","DOI":"10.1787\/9789264276284-en"},{"key":"98064","unstructured":"Schwab K. (2017) The fourth industrial revolution. Geneva: World Economic Forum."},{"key":"98065","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Vermeulen B., Kesselhut J., Pyka A., Saviotti P.P. (2018) The Impact of Automation on Employment: Just the Usual Structural Change? \/\/ Sustainability. Vol. 10. \u2116 5. P. 1-27.","DOI":"10.3390\/su10051661"},{"key":"98066","unstructured":"WEF (2018) The Future of Jobs Report 2018. 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Washington, D.C.: World Bank."},{"key":"98068","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"\u0410\u0431\u0434\u0440\u0430\u0445\u043c\u0430\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0430 \u0413.\u0418., \u0413\u043e\u0445\u0431\u0435\u0440\u0433 \u041b.\u041c., \u0414\u0435\u043c\u044c\u044f\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0430 \u0410.\u0412., \u0414\u044c\u044f\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043a\u043e \u0415.\u041b., \u041a\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043b\u0435\u0432\u0430 \u0413.\u0413., \u041a\u043e\u0446\u0435\u043c\u0438\u0440 \u041c.\u041d., \u041a\u0443\u0437\u043d\u0435\u0446\u043e\u0432\u0430 \u0418.\u0410., \u0420\u0430\u0442\u0430\u0439 \u0422.\u0412., \u0420\u044b\u0436\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0432\u0430 \u0417.\u0410., \u0421\u0442\u0440\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0446\u043e\u0432\u0430 \u0415.\u0410., \u0424\u0440\u0438\u0434\u043b\u044f\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0430 \u0421.\u042e., \u0424\u0443\u0440\u0441\u043e\u0432 \u041a.\u0421. 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(2019) \u0412\u044b\u0441\u043e\u043a\u043e\u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0447\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0431\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0435\u0441 \u0432 \u0440\u0435\u0433\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0430\u0445 \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0438 (\u043d\u0430\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0434\u043e\u043a\u043b\u0430\u0434). \u0412\u044b\u043f\u0443\u0441\u043a 2 \/ \u041f\u043e\u0434 \u043e\u0431\u0449. \u0440\u0435\u0434. \u0421.\u041f. \u0417\u0435\u043c\u0446\u043e\u0432\u0430. \u041c.: \u0420\u0410\u041d\u0425\u0438\u0413\u0421, \u0410\u0418\u0420\u0420."},{"key":"98076","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"\u0417\u0435\u043c\u0446\u043e\u0432 \u0421.\u041f., \u0411\u0430\u0431\u0443\u0440\u0438\u043d \u0412.\u041b., \u0411\u0430\u0440\u0438\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0430 \u0412.\u0410. (2015) \u041a\u0430\u043a \u0438\u0437\u043c\u0435\u0440\u0438\u0442\u044c \u043d\u0435\u0438\u0437\u043c\u0435\u0440\u0438\u043c\u043e\u0435? \u041e\u0446\u0435\u043d\u043a\u0430 \u0438\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043f\u043e\u0442\u0435\u043d\u0446\u0438\u0430\u043b\u0430 \u0440\u0435\u0433\u0438\u043e\u043d\u043e\u0432 \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0438 \/\/ \u041a\u0440\u0435\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043d\u0430\u044f \u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0430. \u0422. 9. \u2116 1. \u0421. 35-52.","DOI":"10.18334\/ce.9.1.79"},{"key":"98077","unstructured":"\u0417\u043e\u0440\u0433\u043d\u0435\u0440 \u0410. (2017) \u0410\u0432\u0442\u043e\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0437\u0430\u0446\u0438\u044f \u0440\u0430\u0431\u043e\u0447\u0438\u0445 \u043c\u0435\u0441\u0442: \u0443\u0433\u0440\u043e\u0437\u0430 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0437\u0430\u043d\u044f\u0442\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438 \u0438\u043b\u0438 \u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0447\u043d\u0438\u043a \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u043f\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0438\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0432\u043e\u0437\u043c\u043e\u0436\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0435\u0439? \/\/ \u0424\u043e\u0440\u0441\u0430\u0439\u0442. \u0422. 11. \u2116 3. \u0421. 37-48."},{"key":"98078","unstructured":"\u0426\u041c\u0410\u041a\u041f (2018) \u0420\u0430\u0437\u0432\u0438\u0442\u0438\u0435 \u0446\u0438\u0444\u0440\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0439 \u044d\u043a\u043e\u0441\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0435\u043c\u044b: \u043f\u0440\u044f\u043c\u044b\u0435 \u0438 \u043a\u043e\u0441\u0432\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u044d\u0444\u0444\u0435\u043a\u0442\u044b \u0434\u043b\u044f \u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0438. \u0414\u043e\u043a\u043b\u0430\u0434 \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d \u043d\u0430 IV \u0421\u0430\u043d\u043a\u0442-\u041f\u0435\u0442\u0435\u0440\u0431\u0443\u0440\u0433\u0441\u043a\u043e\u043c \u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u043e\u043c \u043a\u043e\u043d\u0433\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0435 \u00ab\u0424\u043e\u0440\u0441\u0430\u0439\u0442 \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f: \u043d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0435 \u0438\u043d\u0434\u0443\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0435 \u043e\u0431\u0449\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e. \u0411\u0443\u0434\u0443\u0449\u0435\u0435\u00bb (\u0421\u041f\u042d\u041a-2018). \u0420\u0435\u0436\u0438\u043c \u0434\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0443\u043f\u0430: http:\/\/www.forecast.ru\/_ARCHIVE\/Presentations\/DBelousov\/2018-03-31IT-ECO.pdf, \u0434\u0430\u0442\u0430 \u043e\u0431\u0440\u0430\u0449\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f: 10.10.2018."}],"container-title":["Foresight and STI Governance"],"original-title":[],"link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/foresight-journal.hse.ru\/article\/download\/19281\/16860","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/foresight-journal.hse.ru\/article\/download\/19281\/16861","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/foresight-journal.hse.ru\/article\/download\/19281\/16861","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,30]],"date-time":"2025-06-30T19:47:31Z","timestamp":1751312851000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/foresight-journal.hse.ru\/article\/view\/19281"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2019,6,11]]},"references-count":36,"journal-issue":{"issue":"2","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2019,6,11]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.17323\/2500-2597.2019.2.84.96","relation":{},"ISSN":["2500-2597"],"issn-type":[{"value":"2500-2597","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2019,6,11]]}}}