{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,27]],"date-time":"2026-02-27T00:03:14Z","timestamp":1772150594095,"version":"3.50.1"},"posted":{"date-parts":[[2026]]},"group-title":"SSRN","reference-count":102,"publisher":"Elsevier BV","content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"abstract":"<jats:p>Regeneration failure is a bottleneck in Mediterranean oak woodlands. Cattle can hinder or promote recruitment, depending on grazing location, timing and intensity. Herbivory theory predicts that repeated defoliation and trampling deplete seedling reserves, whereas resprouting can extend survival; yet field studies rarely separate intensity from recency or pair long-run grazing records with individual fates and microhabitat\/climate context. We test how management-driven heterogeneity shapes cork oak seedling survival and resprouting by combining 12 years of paddock-level grazing records with individual tracking of 8431 seedlings across 24 paddocks. Bayesian mixed-effects survival models related seedling lifespan to grazing pressure \u00d7 history (moderate \u2264150; high &gt;150 LSU ha\u207b\u00b9 days yr\u207b\u00b9) with covariates (initial height, resprouting status, shrub distance, cattle dung counts as a proxy of very recent grazing, and 1-month SPEI as recent water balance), and Bayesian logistic mixed models related resprouting probability to grazing treatments. Survival was lower in grazed than ungrazed paddocks and declined along management gradients: median lifespan fell from 460 (moderate grazing) to 256 days (high), and from 460 (old grazing; two-year exclusion) to 199 days (recent). A two-year exclusion raised survival under moderate pressure but was insufficient where pressure remained high, indicating legacy effects and that recovery windows must scale with pressure. Resprouting dominated persistence: resprouters lived &gt;5\u00d7 longer than non-resprouters (2351 vs 460 days). Taller seedlings lived longer, and shrub proximity conferred a modest benefit. Climate modulated outcomes: wetter recent periods (higher SPEI) markedly boosted survival. Cattle reduced the odds of resprouting, with the strongest penalty under recent use. By disentangling grazing intensity from recency and linking both to seedling survival and resprouting, we show why recruitment falters under continuous, heavy grazing and when it can recover. Because drought sharpens cattle impacts, managers should pair moderate stocking with multi-year rest periods to rebuild bud banks and below-ground reserves; a two-year hiatus can help under moderate pressure but appears insufficient where pressure is high. Aligning rotational plans with drought outlooks and tracking simple field cues (seedling height, recent resprouting) offers a practical path to reconcile production with regeneration in Mediterranean wood-pastures.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.2139\/ssrn.6309737","type":"posted-content","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,26]],"date-time":"2026-02-26T23:39:51Z","timestamp":1772149191000},"source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Resprouting sustains cork oak seedlings while recent grazing limits resprouting and survival"],"prefix":"10.2139","author":[{"given":"Abdullah","family":"Wadud","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Jo\u00e3o","family":"Craveiro","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0007-6400-515X","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Simone","family":"Erroi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Sandra","family":"Alcobia","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-7081-657X","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Miguel  N.","family":"Bugalho","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-8140-1257","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Manuela","family":"Branco","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2321-1287","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Pedro  Gon\u00e7alves","family":"Vaz","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"78","reference":[{"key":"ref1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1365-2494.2010.00780.x","article-title":"An international terminology for grazing lands and grazing animals","volume":"66","author":"V G Allen","year":"2011","journal-title":"Grass and Forage Science"},{"key":"ref2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"4103","DOI":"10.1111\/1365-2745.13783","article-title":"Fire-and herbivory-driven consumer control in a savanna-like temperate wood-pasture: An experimental approach","volume":"109","author":"K Amsten","year":"2021","journal-title":"Journal of Ecology"},{"key":"ref3","first-page":"114","author":"J Aronson","year":"2009","journal-title":"Cork Oak Woodlands on the Edge: Ecology Adaptive Management and Restoration. 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