{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,31]],"date-time":"2026-10-31T01:32:47Z","timestamp":1793410367120,"version":"4.5.0"},"posted":{"date-parts":[[2026]]},"group-title":"SSRN","reference-count":7,"publisher":"Elsevier BV","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,1,1]],"date-time":"2026-01-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1767225600000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"abstract":"<jats:p>This report employs a methodological approach based on the work of A. L. Chizhevsky. The years of solar cycles were numbered according to the standard convention used in solar astrophysics and grouped by these numbers. Subsequently, the mean values of the geomagnetic Ap index were compared with the mean values of the mortality rate (the number of deaths per 1,000 people in the global population). Overall, for the 12-year average solar cycle, there is a strong positive correlation, with a correlation coefficient of 0.72. However, the relationship between the Ap index and the mortality rate depends on the phase of the average solar cycle. For years 1-4 of the average solar cycle (the growth phase), there is a strong negative correlation, with a correlation coefficient of-0.84. Following the solar magnetic polarity reversal, for years 5-12 of the average solar cycle, the relationship becomes a strong positive correlation, with a correlation coefficient of 0.89. The latest available UN database provides precise mortality rate estimates up to and including 2023. The projected global mortality rates are 8.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.2139\/ssrn.7644478","type":"posted-content","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,21]],"date-time":"2026-10-21T15:29:06Z","timestamp":1792596546000},"source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Heliodemography: Global Mortality Rate And Geomagnetic Ap Index (1950-2023): R &amp;#61; 0.72"],"prefix":"10.2139","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-0670-0721","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Vladimir","family":"Belkin","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"78","reference":[{"key":"ref1","volume":"367","author":"\u0410 \u041b \u0427\u0438\u0436\u0435\u0432\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439","year":"1976","journal-title":"\u0417\u0435\u043c\u043d\u043e\u0435 \u044d\u0445\u043e \u0441\u043e\u043b\u043d\u0435\u0447\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0431\u0443\u0440\u044c. \u0418\u0437\u0434. 2-\u0435. \u041c., \u00ab\u041c\u044b\u0441\u043b\u044c\u00bb"},{"key":"ref2","author":"\u0410 \u041b \u0427\u0438\u0436\u0435\u0432\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439","year":"1995","journal-title":"\u041a\u043e\u0441\u043c\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043f\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0441 \u0436\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0438: \u0417\u0435\u043c\u043b\u044f \u0432 \u043e\u0431\u044a\u044f\u0442\u0438\u044f\u0445 \u0421\u043e\u043b\u043d\u0446\u0430. \u041c.: \u041c\u044b\u0441\u043b\u044c"},{"key":"ref3","journal-title":"Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences"},{"key":"ref4","author":"Wdc-Silso","year":"2026"},{"key":"ref5","year":"2026","journal-title":"Sunspot Number: Yearly mean total sunspot number"},{"key":"ref6","year":"2026","journal-title":"). -(\u041d\u0430 \u043e\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0435 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445: World Population Prospects: The 2024 Revision"},{"key":"ref7","author":"Nasa","journal-title":"Marshall Space Flight Center"}],"container-title":[],"original-title":[],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,31]],"date-time":"2026-10-31T01:29:59Z","timestamp":1793410199000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/www.ssrn.com\/abstract=7644478"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2026]]},"references-count":7,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2139\/ssrn.7644478","relation":{},"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2026]]},"subtype":"preprint"}}