{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,6]],"date-time":"2026-06-06T19:35:27Z","timestamp":1780774527090,"version":"3.54.1"},"reference-count":110,"publisher":"IWA Publishing","issue":"6","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2022,5,17]],"date-time":"2022-05-17T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1652745600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-nd\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["iwaponline.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2022,6,1]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n               <jats:p>This research aims at establishing an integrated modelling framework to assess the impact of climate change on water supply and demand across an arid area in the western Haouz plain in Morocco. Five general circulation models (GCMs) are used to evaluate the availability of future water resources under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 emission scenarios). The projected crop water demand and irrigation water demand were analysed using the Aquacrop software, taking into account the impact of climate change on both reference evapotranspiration and crop cycle lengths. The future water balance is simulated by means of the Water Evaluation And Planning (WEAP) tool, including several socio-economic and land use scenarios under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. The results reveal an important decrease in net precipitation with an average of \u221236.2% and \u221250.5% under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. In terms of water balance, the \u2018business as usual\u2019 scenario would lead to an increasing unmet water demand of about +22% in the 2050 horizon and to an increased depletion of the water table that could reach 2 m\/year. Changing water management and use practices remains the only solution to ensure sustainable water use and deal with the projected water scarcity.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.2166\/wcc.2022.039","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2022,5,17]],"date-time":"2022-05-17T10:15:34Z","timestamp":1652782534000},"page":"2414-2442","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2166\/iwapcrossmarkpolicypage","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":32,"title":["Integrated water management under climate change through the application of the WEAP model in a Mediterranean arid region"],"prefix":"10.2166","volume":"13","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2928-680X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Abdessamad","family":"Hadri","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"a Georesources, Geoenvironment and Civil Engineering Laboratory, Faculty of Sciences and Technics, Cadi Ayyad University, Marrakesh, Morocco"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Mohamed El Mehdi","family":"Saidi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"a Georesources, Geoenvironment and Civil Engineering Laboratory, Faculty of Sciences and Technics, Cadi Ayyad University, Marrakesh, Morocco"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"El Mahdi","family":"El Khalki","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"a Georesources, Geoenvironment and Civil Engineering Laboratory, Faculty of Sciences and Technics, Cadi Ayyad University, Marrakesh, Morocco"},{"name":"b International Water Research Institute, Mohammed VI Polytechnic University (UM6P), Benguerir, Morocco"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Brahim","family":"Aachrine","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"c Ressources Ing\u00e9nierie Consultancy Firm, Marrakesh, Morocco"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Tarik","family":"Saouabe","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"a Georesources, Geoenvironment and Civil Engineering Laboratory, Faculty of Sciences and Technics, Cadi Ayyad University, Marrakesh, Morocco"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Abdeslam Ait","family":"Elmaki","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"d Process and Environmental Engineering Laboratory, Faculty of Sciences and Technics, Hassan II University, Mohammedia, Morocco"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"945","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2022,5,17]]},"reference":[{"issue":"4","key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"558","DOI":"10.1017\/S0021859614000094","article-title":"Prediction of maize yield under future water availability scenarios using the AquaCrop model","volume":"152","year":"2014","journal-title":"The Journal of Agricultural Science"},{"key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C2","unstructured":"ABHT\n          2016\n          \u00c9tude de faisabilit\u00e9 pour un plan de GIRE dans la zone pilote de Chichaoua."},{"key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C3","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"172","DOI":"10.1016\/j.agwat.2017.09.008","article-title":"Future changes in water requirements of Boro rice in the face of climate change in North-West Bangladesh","volume":"194","year":"2017","journal-title":"Agricultural Water Management"},{"issue":"1","key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"55","DOI":"10.1007\/s40899-015-0041-4","article-title":"WEAP modeling of surface water resources allocation in Didessa Sub-Basin, West Ethiopia","volume":"2","year":"2016","journal-title":"Sustainable Water Resources Management"},{"issue":"2","key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"11","DOI":"10.3390\/agronomy8020011","article-title":"Utilizing process-based modeling to assess the impact of climate change on crop yields and adaptation options in the Niger River Basin, West Africa","volume":"8","year":"2018","journal-title":"Agronomy"},{"key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C6","unstructured":"Alessandri\n            A.\n          \n          2015\n          Long-term climate change in the Mediterranean region in the midst of decadal variability."},{"issue":"December","key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C7","article-title":"Impact of future climate change on water supply and irrigation demand in a small Mediterranean catchment. 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L.\n          , BooteK. J., KimballB. A., ZiskaL. H., IzaurraldeR. C., OrtD. R., ThomsonA. M. & WolfeD, . 2011Climate Impacts on Agriculture: Implications for Crop Production."},{"key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C58","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-642-12957-5","article-title":"Hydro-economic processes and institutions in Southern Morocco","volume-title":"Impacts of Global Change on the Hydrological Cycle in West and Northwest Africa","author":"Speth","year":"2010"},{"key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C59","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"62","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jhydrol.2013.08.024","article-title":"Economic concepts to address future water supply\u2013demand imbalances in Iran, Morocco and Saudi Arabia","volume":"502","year":"2013","journal-title":"Journal of Hydrology"},{"key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C60","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Hssaisoune\n            M.\n          , BouchaouL. & SifeddineA.2020Moroccan Groundwater Resources and Evolution with Global Climate Changes.","DOI":"10.3390\/geosciences10020081"},{"issue":"19\u201320","key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C61","first-page":"4879","article-title":"Remote sensing of water resources in semi-arid Mediterranean areas: the joint international laboratory TREMA","volume":"36","year":"2015","journal-title":"International Journal of Remote Sensing"},{"issue":"8","key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C62","first-page":"11","article-title":"Future of water supply and demand in the Middle Dr\u00e2a Valley, Morocco, under climate and land use change","volume":"8","year":"2016","journal-title":"Water (Switzerland)"},{"key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C63","article-title":"Integrated water resources management in Morocco","year":"2018"},{"key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C64","unstructured":"Klose\n            A.\n          \n          2009\n          Soil characteristics and soil erosion by water in a semi-arid catchment (Wadi Dr\u00e2a, South Morocco) under the pressure of global change."},{"issue":"1","key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C65","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"60","DOI":"10.1016\/j.regsus.2021.01.004","article-title":"Effect of future climate change on the water footprint of major crops in southern Tajikistan","volume":"2","year":"2021","journal-title":"Regional Sustainability"},{"issue":"4","key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C66","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1297","DOI":"10.5194\/gmd-7-1297-2014","article-title":"Regional climate modeling on European scales: a joint standard evaluation of the EURO-CORDEX RCM ensemble","volume":"7","year":"2014","journal-title":"Geoscientific Model Development"},{"issue":"18","key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C67","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"7554","DOI":"10.1002\/2015GL065798","article-title":"Groundwater recharge and age-depth profiles of intensively exploited groundwater resources in northwest India","volume":"42","year":"2015","journal-title":"Geophysical Research Letters"},{"issue":"11","key":"2022111101560849000_JWC-D-22-00039C68","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3209","DOI":"10.1007\/s11269-012-0068-3","article-title":"An integrated DSS for groundwater management based on remote sensing. 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