{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,4]],"date-time":"2025-10-04T01:27:43Z","timestamp":1759541263557},"reference-count":32,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"8","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2017,8,1]],"date-time":"2017-08-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1501545600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/termsAndConditions#vor"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Journal of Dental Education"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2017,8]]},"abstract":"<jats:p>This article addresses changes in technology of oral self\u2010care or professional care that may increase or decrease the demand for dentists by 2040. The focus is on dental caries, periodontitis, and temporomandibular joint disorders (TMD), as the first two are the main areas of current practice and because TMD is an area for growth. To address this question, the authors examined the scientific literature and government registries to identify recent or soon\u2010to\u2010be\u2010available technologies. They also examined the state of translational efficiency, dissemination, and adoption of advances into dental practice. The pipeline of applicable technology is limited. Nevertheless, between now and 2040, emerging technologies will continue to reduce the need for training more dentists, while no technologies are emerging that will significantly increase the need. Technology in dentistry is adopted slowly as is true in other medical specialties. If a breakthrough product did appear, the results of industry\u2010sponsored trials would be viewed skeptically by the profession, and considerable time would be required to establish the applicability of the findings to the broader population. Greater integration of dentistry into preventive medicine, with dentists offering point\u2010of\u2010service medical testing for systemic disease as suggested by the American Dental Association (ADA), would require a paradigm shift, can occur only over a lengthy period, and is unlikely to impact this assessment. This article was written as part of the project \u201cAdvancing Dental Education in the 21<jats:sup>st<\/jats:sup> Century.\u201d<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.21815\/jde.017.019","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2017,7,26]],"date-time":"2017-07-26T20:55:16Z","timestamp":1501102516000},"update-policy":"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":7,"title":["The Effect of New Oral Care Technologies on the Need for Dentists in 2040"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"81","author":[{"given":"Peter M.","family":"Milgrom","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Advantage Silver Dental Arrest, LLC"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Jeremy A.","family":"Horst","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biochemistry and Biophysics University of California San Francisco"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2017,8]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_6_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cden.2013.04.006"},{"issue":"1","key":"e_1_2_6_3_1","first-page":"48","article-title":"A randomized clinical trial using research diagnostic criteria for temporomandibular disorders: axis II to target clinic cases for a tailored self\u2010care TMD treatment program","volume":"16","author":"Dworkin SF","year":"2002","journal-title":"J Orofac Pain"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1146\/annurev.publhealth.21.1.403"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1177\/0022034515590377"},{"issue":"35","key":"e_1_2_6_6_1","first-page":"1135","article-title":"Vital signs: current cigarette smoking among adults aged > or =18 years, United States, 2009","volume":"59","author":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention","year":"2010","journal-title":"MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_7_1","unstructured":"YarbroughC NassehK VujiciM.Why adults forgo dental care: evidence from a new national survey. 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