{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,30]],"date-time":"2026-06-30T19:06:41Z","timestamp":1782846401149,"version":"3.54.5"},"reference-count":49,"publisher":"JMIR Publications Inc.","content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["JMIR Mhealth Uhealth"],"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:sec sec-type=\"background\">\n                    <jats:title>Background<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Being overweight and obese are major health concerns worldwide, contributing to lifestyle-related diseases such as hypertension, dyslipidemia, type 2 diabetes, and cardiovascular disease. Increasing physical activity is an effective strategy for weight management. However, earlier step count studies have remained limited to small populations, short-term measurements of 1\u20102 weeks, and mainly cross-sectional comparisons of average step counts. The effects of long-term step count changes on weight loss remain unclear.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec sec-type=\"objective\">\n                    <jats:title>Objective<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>This study was conducted to assess the effects of long-term patterns of step counts on weight loss using data from the \u201cAsmile\u201d mobile health app in Japan. We hypothesized that participants with continuously increasing step counts over time would have a higher likelihood of significant weight reduction than participants who show steady or fluctuating patterns, even if their average step counts were similar.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec sec-type=\"methods\">\n                    <jats:title>Methods<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>\n                      We analyzed data of 2778 Asmile users aged 40\u201074 years with BMI \u226525 kg\/m\u00b2 who underwent a specific health checkup during fiscal years 2019\u20102023 and who had valid step count records for 10\u201014 months. Step count trajectories, reflecting long-term trends in physical activity, were classified using a latent class mixed model into four patterns:\n                      <jats:italic>UP<\/jats:italic>\n                      (increasing),\n                      <jats:italic>FLAT<\/jats:italic>\n                      (steady),\n                      <jats:italic>DOWN<\/jats:italic>\n                      (decreasing), and\n                      <jats:italic>UP\/DOWN<\/jats:italic>\n                      (increasing then decreasing). Logistic regression was applied to estimate odds ratios for achieving \u22653% weight loss, with step trajectory as the explanatory variable and weight loss as the outcome.\n                    <\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec sec-type=\"results\">\n                    <jats:title>Results<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>\n                      Among participants, 1601 (57.6%) were men and 1177 (42.4%) were women, with respective mean ages of 65.8 (SD 7.9) and 64 (SD 8.2) years. Step count trajectories were distributed as 28.5%\n                      <jats:italic>UP<\/jats:italic>\n                      , 36.2%\n                      <jats:italic>FLAT<\/jats:italic>\n                      , 20.1%\n                      <jats:italic>DOWN<\/jats:italic>\n                      , and 15.2%\n                      <jats:italic>UP\/DOWN<\/jats:italic>\n                      . Compared with the\n                      <jats:italic>FLAT<\/jats:italic>\n                      group, participants in the\n                      <jats:italic>UP<\/jats:italic>\n                      group had a significantly higher likelihood of achieving \u22653% weight loss (adjusted odds ratio 2.45, 95% CI 1.78\u20103.38).\n                    <\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec sec-type=\"conclusions\">\n                    <jats:title>Conclusions<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Long-term tracking of step counts using the Asmile app revealed distinct activity patterns. Continuous increases in step counts were associated with the greatest likelihood of weight loss, emphasizing the importance of sustained physical activity. These findings support the use of long-term step monitoring to guide interventions for obesity and lifestyle-related disease prevention.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.2196\/80339","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,3,27]],"date-time":"2026-03-27T00:40:07Z","timestamp":1774572007000},"page":"e80339-e80339","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["One-Year Trajectory of Step Counts and Weight Loss in Adults With Overweight\/Obesity: Retrospective Cohort Study"],"prefix":"10.2196","volume":"14","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0003-0558-4500","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Kenshiro","family":"Taguchi","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-6584-5958","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Asuka","family":"Oyama","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-5233-6003","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jun'ichi","family":"Kotoku","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-1332-8286","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Hiroshi","family":"Toki","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2610-9824","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Ryohei","family":"Yamamoto","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"1010","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,4]]},"reference":[{"issue":"1","key":"R1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"29","DOI":"10.1093\/epirev\/mxm001","article-title":"Socioeconomic status and obesity","volume":"29","author":"McLaren","journal-title":"Epidemiol Rev"},{"issue":"1","key":"R2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"13","DOI":"10.1038\/nrendo.2012.199","article-title":"Global obesity: trends, risk factors and policy implications","volume":"9","author":"Malik","journal-title":"Nat Rev Endocrinol"},{"issue":"6778","key":"R3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"635","DOI":"10.1038\/35007508","article-title":"Obesity as a medical problem","volume":"404","author":"Kopelman","journal-title":"Nature New Biol"},{"key":"R4","unstructured":"Obesity and overweight. World Health Organization. Dec 8, 2025. URL: https:\/\/www.who.int\/news-room\/fact-sheets\/detail\/obesity-and-overweight [Accessed 14-04-2026]"},{"issue":"1","key":"R5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"17","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1467-789X.2011.00914.x","article-title":"Mechanisms linking obesity to hypertension","volume":"13","author":"Dorresteijn","journal-title":"Obes Rev"},{"key":"R6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.metabol.2018.11.005","article-title":"Obesity and dyslipidemia","volume":"92","author":"Vekic","journal-title":"Metab Clin Exp"},{"issue":"7121","key":"R7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"840","DOI":"10.1038\/nature05482","article-title":"Mechanisms linking obesity to insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes","volume":"444","author":"Kahn","journal-title":"Nature New Biol"},{"issue":"21","key":"R8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1161\/CIR.0000000000000973","article-title":"Obesity and cardiovascular disease: a scientific statement from the American Heart Association","volume":"143","author":"Powell-Wiley","journal-title":"Circulation"},{"issue":"11","key":"R9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"987","DOI":"10.1253\/circj.66.987","article-title":"New criteria for `obesity disease\u2019 in Japan","volume":"66","author":"The Examination Committee of Criteria for \u2018Obesity Disease\u2019 in Japan, Japan Society for the Study of Obesity","journal-title":"Circ J"},{"issue":"5","key":"R10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e466","DOI":"10.1016\/j.orcp.2013.10.003","article-title":"Three percent weight reduction is the minimum requirement to improve health hazards in obese and overweight people in Japan","volume":"8","author":"Muramoto","journal-title":"Obes Res Clin Pract"},{"issue":"2","key":"R11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"202","DOI":"10.1089\/jwh.2006.15.202","article-title":"The relationship between daily steps and body composition in postmenopausal women","volume":"15","author":"Krumm","journal-title":"J Womens Health (Larchmt)"},{"issue":"5","key":"R12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"911","DOI":"10.1249\/01.mss.0000126787.14165.b3","article-title":"Relationship between accumulated walking and body composition in middle-aged women","volume":"36","author":"Thompson","journal-title":"Med Sci Sports Exerc"},{"issue":"5","key":"R13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"724","DOI":"10.1249\/01.mss.0000161750.84096.d4","article-title":"A Colorado statewide survey of walking and its relation to excessive weight","volume":"37","author":"Wyatt","journal-title":"Med Sci Sports Exerc"},{"issue":"9","key":"R14","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"4641","DOI":"10.3390\/ijerph18094641","article-title":"Accelerometer-measured daily step counts and adiposity indicators among Latin American adults: a multi-country study","volume":"18","author":"Ferrari","journal-title":"IJERPH"},{"issue":"2","key":"R15","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.18637\/jss.v078.i02","article-title":"Estimation of extended mixed models using latent classes and latent processes: the R Package lcmm","volume":"78","author":"Proust-Lima","journal-title":"J Stat Softw"},{"issue":"1","key":"R16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s13075-020-2113-6","article-title":"Early trajectories of skin thickening are associated with severity and mortality in systemic sclerosis","volume":"22","author":"Ledoult","journal-title":"Arthritis Res Ther"},{"issue":"1","key":"R17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s13075-021-02584-x","article-title":"Distinct patterns of disease activity over time in patients with active SLE revealed using latent class trajectory models","volume":"23","author":"Reynolds","journal-title":"Arthritis Res Ther"},{"issue":"7","key":"R18","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/bmjopen-2017-020683","article-title":"Framework to construct and interpret latent class trajectory modelling","volume":"8","author":"Lennon","journal-title":"BMJ Open"},{"key":"R19","unstructured":"Asmile. Osaka Prefecture\u2019s Health Application. 2019. URL: https:\/\/www.asmile.pref.osaka.jp\/ [Accessed 14-4-2026]"},{"issue":"1","key":"R20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/jamanetworkopen.2023.53957","article-title":"A smartphone-based shopping mall walking program and daily walking steps","volume":"7","author":"Matsuoka","journal-title":"JAMA Netw Open"},{"issue":"11","key":"R21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/bmjopen-2020-037303","article-title":"Effect of a financial incentive (shopping point) on increasing the number of daily walking steps among community-dwelling adults in Japan: a randomised controlled trial","volume":"10","author":"Tanji","journal-title":"BMJ Open"},{"issue":"4","key":"R22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"308","DOI":"10.5551\/jat.42010","article-title":"Rationale and descriptive analysis of specific health guidance: the nationwide lifestyle intervention program targeting metabolic syndrome in Japan","volume":"25","author":"Tsushita","journal-title":"J Atheroscler Thromb"},{"issue":"2","key":"R23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"199","DOI":"10.31662\/jmaj.2021-0225","article-title":"Association between recommendations from public health nurses, medical professionals, and family members and participation in health checkups among middle-aged community residents with National Health Insurance","volume":"5","author":"Sonoda","journal-title":"JMA J"},{"issue":"7","key":"R24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/bmjopen-2022-070417","article-title":"Effectiveness of specific health check-ups in Japan for the primary prevention of obesity-related diseases: a protocol for a target trial emulation","volume":"13","author":"Takeuchi","journal-title":"BMJ Open"},{"issue":"6","key":"R25","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"378","DOI":"10.2188\/jea.JE20200533","article-title":"Changes in smoking behavior since the declaration of the COVID-19 state of emergency in Japan: a cross-sectional study from the Osaka Health app","volume":"31","author":"Koyama","journal-title":"J Epidemiol"},{"issue":"2","key":"R26","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3390\/geriatrics9020054","article-title":"Oral frailty as a risk factor for fall incidents among community-dwelling people","volume":"9","author":"Yokoyama","journal-title":"Geriatrics (Basel)"},{"key":"R27","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2196\/65943","article-title":"Effects of mobile health care app \u201cAsmile\u201d on physical activity of 80,689 users in Osaka Prefecture, Japan: longitudinal observational study","volume":"27","author":"Oyama","journal-title":"J Med Internet Res"},{"issue":"2","key":"R28","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"165","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cmpb.2004.12.004","article-title":"Estimation of linear mixed models with a mixture of distribution for the random effects","volume":"78","author":"Proust","journal-title":"Comput Methods Programs Biomed"},{"key":"R29","unstructured":"Extended mixed models using latent classes and latent processes. GitHub. URL: https:\/\/cecileproust-lima.github.io\/lcmm\/ [Accessed 14-04-2026]"},{"issue":"4","key":"R30","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1014","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2006.00573.x","article-title":"A nonlinear model with latent process for cognitive evolution using multivariate longitudinal data","volume":"62","author":"Proust","journal-title":"Biometrics"},{"issue":"5","key":"R31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"797","DOI":"10.1038\/sj.ijo.0803472","article-title":"The inverse relationship between number of steps per day and obesity in a population-based sample \u2013 the AusDiab study","volume":"31","author":"Dwyer","journal-title":"Int J Obes"},{"issue":"1","key":"R32","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2196\/51059","article-title":"Association of remote patient-reported outcomes and step counts with hospitalization or death among patients with advanced cancer undergoing chemotherapy: secondary analysis of the PROStep randomized trial","volume":"26","author":"Manz","journal-title":"J Med Internet Res"},{"issue":"11","key":"R33","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2196\/jmir.4836","article-title":"Mobile phone apps to promote weight loss and increase physical activity: a systematic review and meta-analysis","volume":"17","author":"Flores Mateo","journal-title":"J Med Internet Res"},{"issue":"7","key":"R34","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2196\/17039","article-title":"Use of mobile phone app interventions to promote weight loss: meta-analysis","volume":"8","author":"Islam","journal-title":"JMIR Mhealth Uhealth"},{"issue":"10","key":"R35","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2196\/35628","article-title":"Long-term effects of the use of a step count\u2013specific smartphone app on physical activity and weight loss: randomized controlled clinical trial","volume":"10","author":"Yoshimura","journal-title":"JMIR Mhealth Uhealth"},{"issue":"5","key":"R36","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2196\/jmir.7457","article-title":"What matters in weight loss? An in-depth analysis of self-monitoring","volume":"19","author":"Painter","journal-title":"J Med Internet Res"},{"issue":"4","key":"R37","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"812","DOI":"10.1152\/japplphysiol.00052.2023","article-title":"Acute effects of daily step count on postprandial metabolism and resting fat oxidation: a randomized controlled trial","volume":"135","author":"Rogers","journal-title":"J Appl Physiol"},{"issue":"1","key":"R38","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/1348-9585.12246","article-title":"Exposure to prolonged sedentary behavior on weekdays rather than weekends in white-collar workers in comparison with blue-collar workers","volume":"63","author":"Fukushima","journal-title":"J Occup Health"},{"issue":"49","key":"R39","first-page":"1","author":"Wright","journal-title":"NCHS Data Brief"},{"issue":"25","key":"R40","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1279","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJMoa1800389","article-title":"Primary prevention of cardiovascular disease with a Mediterranean diet supplemented with extra-virgin olive oil or nuts","volume":"378","author":"Estruch","journal-title":"N Engl J Med"},{"issue":"3","key":"R41","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/jamanetworkopen.2024.3821","article-title":"Physical activity and incident obesity across the spectrum of genetic risk for obesity","volume":"7","author":"Brittain","journal-title":"JAMA Netw Open"},{"issue":"3","key":"R42","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/ije\/dyae055","article-title":"Influence of age and sex on longitudinal metabolic profiles and body weight trajectories in the UK Biobank","volume":"53","author":"M\u00e4kinen","journal-title":"Int J Epidemiol"},{"issue":"9","key":"R43","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1618","DOI":"10.1002\/oby.21922","article-title":"Metabolomic profiling of long-term weight change: role of oxidative stress and urate levels in weight gain","volume":"25","author":"Menni","journal-title":"Obesity (Silver Spring)"},{"issue":"5","key":"R44","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/bmjopen-2021-050245","article-title":"Interaction of physical activity on the association of obesity-related measures with multimorbidity among older adults: a population-based cross-sectional study in India","volume":"11","author":"Srivastava","journal-title":"BMJ Open"},{"issue":"1","key":"R45","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2458-13-449","article-title":"Physical activity in older people: a systematic review","volume":"13","author":"Sun","journal-title":"BMC Public Health"},{"issue":"7","key":"R46","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1004","DOI":"10.1123\/jpah.8.7.1004","article-title":"Step counts and energy expenditure as estimated by pedometry during treadmill walking at different stride frequencies","volume":"8","author":"Nielson","journal-title":"J Phys Act Health"},{"issue":"11","key":"R47","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3390\/ijerph15112454","article-title":"Step rate thresholds associated with moderate and vigorous physical activity in adults","volume":"15","author":"O\u2019Brien","journal-title":"Int J Environ Res Public Health"},{"issue":"1","key":"R48","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12889-019-7679-z","article-title":"Time spent cycling, walking, running, standing and sedentary: a cross-sectional analysis of accelerometer-data from 1670 adults in the Copenhagen City Heart Study","volume":"19","author":"Johansson","journal-title":"BMC Public Health"},{"issue":"4","key":"R49","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2196\/35626","article-title":"Accuracy and precision of energy expenditure, heart rate, and steps measured by combined-sensing Fitbits against reference measures: systematic review and meta-analysis","volume":"10","author":"Chevance","journal-title":"JMIR Mhealth Uhealth"}],"container-title":["JMIR mHealth and uHealth"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/mhealth.jmir.org\/2026\/1\/e80339","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,30]],"date-time":"2026-06-30T18:13:46Z","timestamp":1782843226000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/mhealth.jmir.org\/2026\/1\/e80339"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,4]]},"references-count":49,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2196\/80339","relation":{},"ISSN":["2291-5222"],"issn-type":[{"value":"2291-5222","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,4]]},"article-number":"v14i1e80339"}}