{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,28]],"date-time":"2026-02-28T21:24:40Z","timestamp":1772313880361,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":0,"publisher":"Pasifika Medical Association Group","issue":"1610","content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["NZMJ"],"abstract":"<jats:p>aim: To estimate the current prevalence of dysphagia in the Aotearoa New Zealand population and to project its prevalence to 2073.\nmethods: The current prevalence of dysphagia in Aotearoa New Zealand is computed from the prevalences of the aetiologies of\ndysphagia combined with the rates at which the aetiologies result in dysphagia. Projected dysphagia rates use autoregressive\nintegrated moving average forecasting techniques combined with population projections from Statistics New Zealand and estimates\nof current and past prevalence rates of dysphagia.\nresults: The prevalence of dysphagia in Aotearoa New Zealand is estimated to have been approximately 1.78% in 2020, with the\nbiggest aetiological contributors being stroke, Alzheimer\u2019s disease and other dementias, and gastroesophageal reflux disease. These\nthree causes made up 81.5% of all estimated dysphagia cases in 2019. The prevalence rate of dysphagia in Aotearoa New Zealand is\nprojected to rise to 2.54%, reflecting the ageing population.\nconclusion: An increased prevalence of dysphagia will result in an increased healthcare burden, both from resources spent on\ntreating dysphagia and complications stemming from undiagnosed and thus untreated dysphagia. Estimating the full extent of this\nincreased burden is hampered by the absence of systematic, extensive and reliable records available relating to cases of dysphagia in\nAotearoa New Zealand.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.26635\/6965.6404","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,2,27]],"date-time":"2025-02-27T01:20:58Z","timestamp":1740619258000},"page":"39-51","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":1,"title":["The historical and projected prevalence of dysphagia in Aotearoa New Zealand"],"prefix":"10.26635","volume":"138","author":[{"given":"Philip","family":"Gunby","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Josh","family":"McSkimming","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Maggie-Lee","family":"Huckabee","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"11177","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,2,28]]},"container-title":["New Zealand Medical Journal"],"original-title":[],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,2,27]],"date-time":"2025-02-27T01:21:02Z","timestamp":1740619262000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/nzmj.org.nz\/journal\/vol-138-no-1610\/the-historical-and-projected-prevalence-of-dysphagia-in-aotearoa-new-zealand"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2025,2,28]]},"references-count":0,"journal-issue":{"issue":"1610","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,2,28]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.26635\/6965.6404","relation":{},"ISSN":["1175-8716"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1175-8716","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2025,2,28]]}}}