{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2023,9,17]],"date-time":"2023-09-17T11:49:48Z","timestamp":1694951388556},"reference-count":0,"publisher":"Revista Brasileira de Geografia Fisica","issue":"5","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,10,5]],"date-time":"2021-10-05T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1633392000000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Rev. Bras. Geog. Fis."],"abstract":"<jats:p>Uma abordagem mais did\u00e1tica foi aplicada na detec\u00e7\u00e3o e atribui\u00e7\u00e3o das anomalias anuais dos \u00edndices de extremos de chuva (R99p, CWD, CDD) e de temperaturas m\u00e1xima (TXx, WSDI) e m\u00ednima (TNn, CSDI) sobre o litoral centro-norte do Estado de S\u00e3o Paulo durante 1981-2017. Na detec\u00e7\u00e3o, as anomalias do CWD apresentaram varia\u00e7\u00e3o linear quase nula, mas ligeiramente negativa enquanto as demais tiveram tend\u00eancias lineares com confiabilidade maior ou igual a 90%, negativas para o R99p e CSDI e positivas para o CDD, TXx, WSDI e TNn. A variabilidade interanual juntamente com a tend\u00eancia linear contribuiu com as maiores anomalias, em m\u00f3dulo, quando comparado \u00e0 influ\u00eancia apenas da variabilidade interanual: antes do ano de 2000 (para o R99p e CSDI) e 2003 (para o CWD) bem como depois de 1999 (para o TXx e TNn) e 2001 (para o CDD e WSDI). Na atribui\u00e7\u00e3o, com exce\u00e7\u00e3o da tend\u00eancia das anomalias do CWD, todas demais tiveram depend\u00eancia estatisticamente significativa com a tend\u00eancia linear positiva de aquecimento do globo: fraca e inversa (R99p), fraca e direta (TNn), moderada e inversa (CSDI) e moderada e direta (CDD, TXx, WSDI). Adicionalmente, a an\u00e1lise espacial atrav\u00e9s da t\u00e9cnica de composi\u00e7\u00f5es mostrou que nos dias de ocorr\u00eancia das anomalias dos \u00edndices houve altera\u00e7\u00f5es na temperatura da superf\u00edcie do mar em latitudes tropicais dos Oceanos Pac\u00edfico e Atl\u00e2ntico Norte associadas a desvios nos ventos al\u00edsios nessas regi\u00f5es, e no Oceano Atl\u00e2ntico Sudoeste devido \u00e0 persist\u00eancia de circula\u00e7\u00f5es do tipo barotr\u00f3pica equivalente pela influ\u00eancia remota de ondas de Rossby. Consequentemente, as anomalias do R99p, CWD, TXx e WSDI foram associadas a intensifica\u00e7\u00e3o dos ventos que aumentaram o transporte de ar tropical quente e \u00famido para o litoral do Sudeste do Brasil. Enquanto que, as anomalias do CDD, TNn e CSDI foram influenciadas pela revers\u00e3o das dire\u00e7\u00f5es desses ventos seguida da entrada de ar seco e frio sobre a regi\u00e3o de estudo.Palavras-chave: atribui\u00e7\u00e3o, detec\u00e7\u00e3o, extremos, tend\u00eancia linear, variabilidade natural.\u00a0Detection and attribution of annual anomalies of extreme rainfall indices and daily maximum and minimum temperatures over the coast of S\u00e3o Paulo\/Brazil*\u00a0A B S T R A C TA more didactic approach was applied in the detection and attribution of the annual anomalies of precipitation (R99p, CWD, CDD) and maximum (TXx, WSDI) and minimum temperatures (TNn, CSDI) extremes indices over the central-north coast of the State of S\u00e3o Paulo during 1981-2017. Regarding detection, the CWD anomalies showed almost zero linear variation, but slightly negative while the others had linear trends with a reliability greater than or equal to 90%, negative for R99p and CSDI and positive for CDD, TXx, WSDI and TNn. The interannual variability together with the linear trend contributed with the largest anomalies, in module, when compared to the influence of interannual variability only: before 2000 (for the R99p and CSDI) and 2003 (for the CWD) as well as after 1999 (for the TXx and TNn) and 2001 (for the CDD and WSDI). For the attribution, with the exception of the trend of CWD anomalies, all others had dependency statistically significant with the positive linear trend of global warming: weak and inverse (R99p), weak and direct (TNn), moderate and inverse (CSDI) and moderate and direct (CDD, TXx, WSDI). Additionally, the spatial analysis through the composition technique showed that during the days of the occurrence of the anomalies of the indices there were deviations in sea surface temperature over the tropical latitudes over the Pacific and North Atlantic Oceans associated with anomalies in trade winds in these regions, and over the Southwest Atlantic Ocean due the persistence of equivalent-barotropic circulations in response to the remote influence of Rossby waves. Consequently, the anomalies of the R99p, CWD, TXx and WSDI were associated with the intensification of the winds that increased the transport of warm and moist tropical air to the coast of Southeast Brazil. On the other hand, the anomalies of the CDD, TNn and CSDI were influenced by reversion of the directions of these winds followed by the incursion of dry and cold air over the study region.Keywords: attribution, detection, extremes, linear tendency, natural variability.\u00a0<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.26848\/rbgf.v14.5.p3008-3043","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2021,10,20]],"date-time":"2021-10-20T22:52:17Z","timestamp":1634770337000},"page":"3008-3043","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Detec\u00e7\u00e3o e atribui\u00e7\u00e3o das anomalias anuais dos \u00edndices de extremos de chuva e temperaturas m\u00e1xima e m\u00ednima di\u00e1rias sobre o litoral de S\u00e3o Paulo\/Brasil"],"prefix":"10.26848","volume":"14","author":[{"given":"Gyrlene Aparecida Mendes","family":"Da Silva","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Camila de Souza","family":"Cardoso","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"T\u00e9rcio","family":"Ambrizzi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Caio Pereira","family":"De Souza","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"David","family":"Mendes","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Helber Barros","family":"Gomes","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"11389","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2021,10,5]]},"container-title":["Revista Brasileira de Geografia F\u00edsica"],"original-title":[],"link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/periodicos.ufpe.br\/revistas\/index.php\/rbgfe\/article\/download\/249981\/39762","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/periodicos.ufpe.br\/revistas\/index.php\/rbgfe\/article\/download\/249981\/39762","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2023,9,16]],"date-time":"2023-09-16T19:15:24Z","timestamp":1694891724000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/periodicos.ufpe.br\/revistas\/index.php\/rbgfe\/article\/view\/249981"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2021,10,5]]},"references-count":0,"journal-issue":{"issue":"5","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2021,9,30]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.26848\/rbgf.v14.5.p3008-3043","relation":{},"ISSN":["1984-2295"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1984-2295","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2021,10,5]]}}}