{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,19]],"date-time":"2026-09-19T06:41:37Z","timestamp":1789800097869,"version":"4.0.1"},"reference-count":24,"publisher":"National Inquiry Services Center (NISC)","issue":"1-2","content-domain":{"domain":["www.tandfonline.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["African Journal of AIDS Research"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2025,1,2]]},"DOI":"10.2989\/16085906.2025.2518936","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,8,21]],"date-time":"2025-08-21T06:40:41Z","timestamp":1755758441000},"page":"44-52","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1080\/tandf_crossmark_01","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":3,"title":["HIV incidence and prevalence projections for Zimbabwe: Findings from five mathematical models"],"prefix":"10.2989","volume":"24","author":[{"given":"Isaac","family":"Taramusi","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"UNAIDS UCO Zimbabwe","place":["Harare, Zimbabwe"]},{"name":"Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Zimbabwe","place":["Harare, Zimbabwe"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-7236-1989","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"John","family":"Stover","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Avenir Health, Glastonbury, United States of America"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Robert","family":"Glaubius","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Avenir Health, Glastonbury, United States of America"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Tsitsi","family":"Apollo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Ministry of Health and Child Care","place":["Harare, Zimbabwe"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Getrude","family":"Ncube","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Ministry of Health and Child Care","place":["Harare, Zimbabwe"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Owen","family":"Mugurungi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Ministry of Health and Child Care","place":["Harare, Zimbabwe"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Ngwarai","family":"Sithole","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Ministry of Health and Child Care","place":["Harare, Zimbabwe"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Loveleen","family":"Bansi-Matharu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Institute for Global Health, University College London","place":["London, United Kingdom"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-8809-8553","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jenny","family":"Smith","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Institute for Global Health, University College London","place":["London, United Kingdom"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2384-4807","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Andrew","family":"Phillips","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Institute for Global Health, University College London","place":["London, United Kingdom"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Valentina","family":"Cambiano","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Institute for Global Health, University College London","place":["London, United Kingdom"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Daniel T","family":"Citron","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"New York University Grossman School of Medicine","place":["New York, United States of America"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-6604-7093","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Anna","family":"Bershteyn","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"New York University Grossman School of Medicine","place":["New York, United States of America"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-5938-6970","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Debra","family":"ten Brink","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Burnet Institute","place":["Melbourne, Australia"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-3724-2412","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Rowan","family":"Martin-Hughes","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Burnet Institute","place":["Melbourne, Australia"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Michael","family":"Pickles","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Medical Research Council Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London","place":["London, United Kingdom"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Paul","family":"Revill","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"University of York","place":["York, United Kingdom"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Amon","family":"Mpofu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"National AIDS Council of Zimbabwe","place":["Harare, Zimbabwe"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-7728-728X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jeffrey","family":"Imai-Eaton","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Chan School of Public Health, Center for Communicable Diseases Dynamics, Harvard University","place":["Cambridge, United States of America"]},{"name":"School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London","place":["London, United Kingdom"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Richard","family":"Makurumidze","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Zimbabwe","place":["Harare, Zimbabwe"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-3159-0205","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Simbarashe","family":"Rusakaniko","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Zimbabwe","place":["Harare, Zimbabwe"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"14412","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,8,20]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_1_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/femspd\/fty059"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_3_1","unstructured":"Central Statistical Office. (1995). Zimbabwe Demographic Zimbabwe. Retrieved from: https:\/\/dhsprogram.com\/publications\/publication-fr62-dhs-final-reports.cfm?cssearch=1814155_1"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_4_1","unstructured":"Central Statistical Office. (2007). Zimbabwe: Demographic and Health Survey 2005-06. Retrieved from: https:\/\/dhsprogram.com\/publications\/publication-fr186-dhs-final-reports.cfm?cssearch=1814155_1"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_5_1","unstructured":"Central Statistical Office. (2000). Zimbabwe Demographic and Health Survey Report 1999. Retrieved from: https:\/\/dhsprogram.com\/publications\/publication-fr116-dhs-final-reports.cfm?cssearch=1814155_1"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/bmjgh-2020-003892"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pmed.1001245"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S2352-3018(18)30178-4"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/00324728.2021.1874043"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1097\/QAI.0000000000000605"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1097\/QAI.0b013e31829cef18"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_12_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0001711"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_13_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0199453"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_14_1","unstructured":"Ministry of Health and Child Care. (2016). Zimbabwe Population- Based HIV Impact Assessment (ZIMPHIA). Retrieved from: https:\/\/phia.icap.columbia.edu\/zimbabwe-first-report\/"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_15_1","unstructured":"Ministry of Health and Child Care. (2020). Zimbabwe Population- Based HIV Impact Assessment 2020 (ZIMPHIA). Retrieved from: https:\/\/phia.icap.columbia.edu\/zimbabwe2020-final-report\/"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_16_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12889-023-16995-9"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_17_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S2214-109X(23)00206-1"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_18_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S2352-3018(22)00035-2"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_19_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.epidem.2017.12.001"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_20_1","unstructured":"UNAIDS. (2023a). HIV\/AIDS. The path that ends AIDS: UNAIDS Global AIDS Update 2023. Retrieved from https:\/\/www.unaids.org\/sites\/default\/files\/media_asset\/2023-unaids-global-aids-update_en.pdf"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_21_1","unstructured":"United Nations Programme on HIV and AIDS [UNAIDS]. (2022). In danger: UNAIDS Global AIDS Update 2022. Retrieved from: https:\/\/www.unaids.org\/en\/resources\/documents\/2022\/in-danger-global-aids-update"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_22_1","unstructured":"Zimbabwe National AIDS Council. (2005). The Story So Far. Retrieved from: https:\/\/nac.org.zw\/"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_23_1","unstructured":"Zimbabwe National AIDS Council. (2021). Zimbabwe National HIV and AIDS Strategic Plan 2021 - 2025 (ZNASP IV). Retrieved from: https:\/\/www.nac.org.zw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/ZIMBABWE-NATIONAL-HIV-STATEGIC-PLAN_2021-2025-1.pdf"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_24_1","unstructured":"Zimbabwe National Statistics Agency (ZIMSTAT) & International I. (2012). Zimbabwe Demographic and Health Survey 2010-11. Retrieved from: https:\/\/dhsprogram.com\/publications\/publication-sr188-summary-reports-key-findings.cfm?cssearch=1814155_1"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_25_1","unstructured":"Zimstats. (2015). Zimbabwe Demographic and Health Survey (ZDHS). Retrieved from: https:\/\/dhsprogram.com\/publications\/publication-sr234-summary-reports-key-findings.cfm?cssearch=1814155_1"}],"container-title":["African Journal of AIDS Research"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.2989\/16085906.2025.2518936","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,9,25]],"date-time":"2025-09-25T05:58:48Z","timestamp":1758779928000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/full\/10.2989\/16085906.2025.2518936"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2025,1,2]]},"references-count":24,"journal-issue":{"issue":"1-2","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2025,1,2]]}},"alternative-id":["10.2989\/16085906.2025.2518936"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2989\/16085906.2025.2518936","relation":{},"ISSN":["1608-5906","1727-9445"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1608-5906","type":"print"},{"value":"1727-9445","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2025,1,2]]},"assertion":[{"value":"The publishing and review policy for this title is described in its Aims & Scope.","order":1,"name":"peerreview_statement","label":"Peer Review Statement"},{"value":"http:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/action\/journalInformation?show=aimsScope&journalCode=raar20","URL":"http:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/action\/journalInformation?show=aimsScope&journalCode=raar20","order":2,"name":"aims_and_scope_url","label":"Aim & Scope"},{"value":"2025-02-06","order":0,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2025-04-30","order":1,"name":"revised","label":"Revised","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2025-06-08","order":2,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2025-08-20","order":3,"name":"published","label":"Published","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}}]}}