{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,6]],"date-time":"2026-10-06T14:07:38Z","timestamp":1791295658668,"version":"4.1.0"},"reference-count":37,"publisher":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)","issue":"3","content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Emerg. Infect. Dis."],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2000,6]]},"DOI":"10.3201\/eid0603.000302","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2009,9,1]],"date-time":"2009-09-01T18:06:29Z","timestamp":1251828389000},"page":"228-237","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":43,"title":["A Dynamic Transmission Model for Predicting Trends in <i>Helicobacter pylori<\/i> and Associated Diseases in the United States"],"prefix":"10.3201","volume":"6","author":[{"given":"Marcia F.T.","family":"Rupnow","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA; \u2020Department of Veterans Affairs Health Care System, Palo Alto, California, USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Ross D.","family":"Shachter","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA; \u2020Department of Veterans Affairs Health Care System, Palo Alto, California, USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Douglas K.","family":"Owens","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA; \u2020Department of Veterans Affairs Health Care System, Palo Alto, California, USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Julie","family":"Parsonnet","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA; \u2020Department of Veterans Affairs Health Care System, Palo Alto, California, USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"1822","reference":[{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R1","unstructured":"Taylor DN, Parsonnet J. Epidemiology and natural history of Helicobacter pylori infection. In: Blaser MJ, Smith PD, Ravdin JI, Greenberg HB, Guerrant RL, editors. Infections of the gastrointestinal tract. New York: Raven Press; 1995. p. 551-63."},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"65","DOI":"10.1001\/jama.272.1.65","article-title":". Helicobacter pylori in peptic ulcer disease. NIH Consensus Development Panel on Helicobacter pylori in Peptic Ulcer Disease.","volume":"272","author":"NIH Consensus Conference","year":"1994","journal-title":"JAMA"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"799","DOI":"10.2165\/00003495-199652060-00002","article-title":"Prospects for the development of a vaccine against Helicobacter pylori.","volume":"52","author":"Telford","year":"1996","journal-title":"Drugs"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"69","DOI":"10.1007\/BF01211189","article-title":"Vaccination against Helicobacter pylori.","volume":"31","author":"Lee","year":"1996","journal-title":"J Gastroenterol"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"41","DOI":"10.1016\/0016-5085(92)91782-Y","article-title":"Symptoms and risk factors of Helicobacter pylori infection in a cohort of epidemiologists.","volume":"102","author":"Parsonnet","year":"1992","journal-title":"Gastroenterology"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"219","DOI":"10.1093\/infdis\/168.1.219","article-title":"The cohort effect and Helicobacter pylori.","volume":"168","author":"Banatvala","year":"1993","journal-title":"J Infect Dis"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R7","first-page":"45","article-title":"The incidence of Helicobacter pylori infection.","volume":"9","author":"Parsonnet","year":"1995","journal-title":"Aliment Pharmacol Ther"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Anderson RM, May RM. Infectious diseases of humans: dynamics and control. New York: Oxford University Press; 1991.","DOI":"10.1093\/oso\/9780198545996.001.0001"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"71","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1365-2036.11.s1.5.x","article-title":"Helicobacter pylori and the risk and management of associated diseases: gastritis, ulcer disease, atrophic gastritis and gastric cancer.","volume":"11","author":"Kuipers","year":"1997","journal-title":"Aliment Pharmacol Ther"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"105","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1440-1746.1991.tb01448.x","article-title":"Helicobacter pylori: its epidemiology and its role in duodenal ulcer disease.","volume":"6","author":"Graham","year":"1991","journal-title":"J Gastroenterol Hepatol"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"137","DOI":"10.1080\/00365529850166851","article-title":"Differing patterns of Helicobacter pylori gastritis in patients with duodenal, prepyloric, and gastric ulcer disease.","volume":"33","author":"Schultze","year":"1998","journal-title":"Scand J Gastroenterol"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R12","first-page":"3","article-title":"Temporal trends and geographical variations of peptic ulcer disease.","volume":"9","author":"Sonnenberg","year":"1995","journal-title":"Aliment Pharmacol Ther"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"173","DOI":"10.1002\/ijc.2910350206","article-title":"Gastric cancer risk in chronic atrophic gastritis: statistical calculations of cross-sectional data.","volume":"35","author":"Sipponen","year":"1985","journal-title":"Int J Cancer"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R14","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"273","DOI":"10.1007\/BF02936382","article-title":"Helicobacter pylori gastritis--epidemiology.","volume":"32","author":"Sipponen","year":"1997","journal-title":"J Gastroenterol"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R15","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"242","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJM199607253350404","article-title":"The risk of stomach cancer in patients with gastric or duodenal ulcer disease.","volume":"335","author":"Hansson","year":"1996","journal-title":"N Engl J Med"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R16","first-page":"562","article-title":"Age at establishment of Helicobacter pylori infection and gastric carcinoma, gastric ulcer, and duodenal ulcer risk.","volume":"55","author":"Blaser","year":"1995","journal-title":"Cancer Res"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1027","DOI":"10.1093\/jnci\/57.5.1027","article-title":"Gastric cancer in Colombia. III. Natural history of precursor lesions.","volume":"57","author":"Correa","year":"1976","journal-title":"J Natl Cancer Inst"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R18","unstructured":"U.S. National Office of Vital Statistics. Abridged life tables--United States, 1950. Vital Statistics--Special Reports 1953;37:333-43."},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R19","unstructured":"Gibson C. Population of the 100 largest cities and other urban places in the United States: 1790 to 1990: U.S. Census Bureau, 1998. Available from: URL: http:\/\/www.census.gov\/population\/www\/documentation\/twps0027.html."},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R20","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"39","DOI":"10.1093\/oxfordjournals.bmb.a011678","article-title":"Epidemiology of Helicobacter pylori: acquisition, transmission, population prevalence and disease-to-infection ratio.","volume":"54","author":"Feldman","year":"1998","journal-title":"Br Med Bull"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1983","DOI":"10.1016\/S0016-5085(97)70019-2","article-title":"Helicobacter pylori infection in the pathogenesis of duodenal ulcer and gastric cancer: a model.","volume":"113","author":"Graham","year":"1997","journal-title":"Gastroenterology"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"546","DOI":"10.3109\/00365529609009126","article-title":"Long-term course and consequences of Helicobacter pylori gastritis. Results of a 32-year follow-up study.","volume":"31","author":"Valle","year":"1996","journal-title":"Scand J Gastroenterol"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R23","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"385","DOI":"10.1080\/00365521.1975.12096983","article-title":"The incidence of duodenal ulcer in Copenhagen county.","volume":"10","author":"Bonnevie","year":"1975","journal-title":"Scand J Gastroenterol"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R24","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"231","DOI":"10.1080\/00365521.1975.12096957","article-title":"The incidence of gastric ulcer in Copenhagen county.","volume":"10","author":"Bonnevie","year":"1975","journal-title":"Scand J Gastroenterol"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R25","unstructured":"Cancer Statistics Review SEER. 1973-1995, 1998. Available from: URL: http:\/\/www-seer.ims.nci.nih.gov\/Publications\/CSR7395."},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R26","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"167","DOI":"10.1016\/0016-5085(91)90474-Y","article-title":"Positive serum antibody and negative tissue staining for Helicobacter pylori in subjects with atrophic body gastritis.","volume":"101","author":"Karnes","year":"1991","journal-title":"Gastroenterology"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R27","unstructured":"American Cancer Society. Cancer facts and figures-- 1998. New York: The Society; 1998."},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R28","unstructured":"Garfinkel L. Cancer statistics and trends. In: Murphy GP, Lawrance W Jr, Lenhard RE Jr, editors. American Cancer Society textbook of clinical oncology. Atlanta: American Cancer Society; 1995. p. 1-9."},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R29","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"435","DOI":"10.1016\/0021-9681(67)90015-X","article-title":"Causes of peptic ulcer. A selective epidemiologic review.","volume":"20","author":"Susser","year":"1967","journal-title":"J Chronic Dis"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R30","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"119","DOI":"10.3109\/00365528809096294","article-title":"Factors which influence the incidence and course of peptic ulcer.","volume":"155","author":"Sonnenberg","year":"1988","journal-title":"Scand J Gastroenterol Suppl"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"11","DOI":"10.3109\/00365528509095826","article-title":"Geographic and temporal variations in the occurrence of peptic ulcer disease.","volume":"110","author":"Sonnenberg","year":"1985","journal-title":"Scand J Gastroenterol Suppl"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R32","first-page":"59","article-title":"The prevalence of Helicobacter pylori in peptic ulcer disease.","volume":"9","author":"Kuipers","year":"1995","journal-title":"Aliment Pharmacol Ther"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R33","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.2307\/2061656","article-title":"Ever since Gompertz.","volume":"34","author":"Olshansky","year":"1997","journal-title":"Demography"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R34","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"625","DOI":"10.2105\/AJPH.75.6.625","article-title":"The incidence of duodenal and gastric ulcers in a large health maintenance organization.","volume":"75","author":"Kurata","year":"1985","journal-title":"Am J Public Health"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R35","unstructured":"Hoy S. Chasing dirt. New York: Oxford University Press; 1995."},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R36","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"71","DOI":"10.1017\/S0950268800058970","article-title":"The transmission dynamics of hepatitis B in the UK: a mathematical model for evaluating costs and effectiveness of immunization programmes","volume":"116","author":"Williams","year":"1996","journal-title":"Epidemiol Infect"},{"key":"key-10.3201\/eid0603.000302-202410181231-R37","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"117","DOI":"10.1006\/tpbi.1998.1366","article-title":"Quantifying the intrinsic transmission dynamics of tuberculosis.","volume":"54","author":"Porco","year":"1998","journal-title":"Theor Popul Biol"}],"container-title":["Emerging Infectious Diseases"],"original-title":[],"link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/wwwnc.cdc.gov\/eid\/article\/6\/3\/00-0302_article","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2024,11,26]],"date-time":"2024-11-26T01:23:39Z","timestamp":1732584219000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/wwwnc.cdc.gov\/eid\/article\/6\/3\/00-0302_article"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2000,6]]},"references-count":37,"journal-issue":{"issue":"3","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2000,6]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3201\/eid0603.000302","relation":{},"ISSN":["1080-6040","1080-6059"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1080-6040","type":"print"},{"value":"1080-6059","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2000,6]]}}}