{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,2]],"date-time":"2026-05-02T06:35:55Z","timestamp":1777703755904,"version":"3.51.4"},"reference-count":27,"publisher":"SAGE Publications","issue":"6","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2019,7,22]],"date-time":"2019-07-22T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1563753600000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/page\/policies\/text-and-data-mining-license"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["journals.sagepub.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Journal of Intelligent &amp; Fuzzy Systems"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2019,12,23]]},"abstract":"<jats:p>\u00a0The supply chain is a key element of successful operation of businesses in a turbulent economic situation. Swift management of delivery of raw materials and finished products while keeping costs as low as possible and maintaining proper customer service is becoming as vital as the quality and price of a product when gaining competitive advantage. This leads companies to a wide search for the best strategies that allow efficient management of the supply chain. The basic problem, however, is the occurrence of the so-called Forrester effect (also known as the bullwhip effect). It involves intensified transposing of changes in demand onto the execution of product flow in supply chains. The aim of this article is to develop a manner to reduce the Forrester effect using the consensus method. The first part of the article analyzed the current state of knowledge on the discussed problem. Then it presented basic elements of the developed prototype of a SCM system and defined the meth-od for reducing the Forrester effect using a consensus algorithm. The final part of the article de-scribes the way to conduct an experiment that involves verifying the consensus algorithm and analyzes the results of the verification and their influence on the reduction of the Forrester effect.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.3233\/jifs-179342","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2019,7,23]],"date-time":"2019-07-23T13:39:18Z","timestamp":1563889158000},"page":"7325-7335","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/sage-journals-update-policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":1,"title":["Reduction of a Forrester effect in a supply chain management system"],"prefix":"10.1177","volume":"37","author":[{"given":"Marcin","family":"Hernes","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Wroc\u0142aw University of Economics, Komandorska, Wroc\u0142aw, Poland"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Jadwiga","family":"Sobieska-Karpi\u0144ska","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"The Witelon State University of Applied Sciences in Legnica, ul. Sejmowa, Legnica, Poland"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"179","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2019,7,22]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_3_3_2_2","first-page":"13","volume-title":"Global Logistics and Distribution Planning","author":"Rutkowski K.","year":"2010","unstructured":"RutkowskiK., Best Practices in Logistics and Supply Chain Management. The Case of Central and Eastern Europe, In: Global Logistics and Distribution Planning. ed. WatersD.. Kogan Page. London, 2010, 13\u201328."},{"key":"e_1_3_3_3_2","first-page":"1057","volume-title":"Proceedings of the Federated Conference on Computer Science and Information Systems","author":"Sitek P.","year":"2012","unstructured":"SitekP. and WikarekJ., Cost optimization of supply chain with multimodal transport, Proceedings of the Federated Conference on Computer Science and Information Systems. https:\/\/annals-csis.org\/proceedings\/2017\/drp\/pdf\/80.pdf., 2012, 1057\u20131064."},{"issue":"4","key":"e_1_3_3_4_2","first-page":"37","article-title":"System dynamics: A major breakthrough for decision makers","volume":"36","author":"Forrester J.W.","year":"1958","unstructured":"ForresterJ.W., System dynamics: A major breakthrough for decision makers, Harward Business Review 36(4) (1958), 37\u201366.","journal-title":"Harward Business Review"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_5_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-540-33876-5_1"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_6_2","first-page":"19","article-title":"Guide to Supply chain Management","author":"Jacoby D.","unstructured":"JacobyD., Guide to Supply chain Management, The Economist & Profiled Books, London 2009 pp. 19.","journal-title":"The Economist & Profiled Books, London 2009"},{"issue":"2","key":"e_1_3_3_7_2","first-page":"122","article-title":"Collaborative supply chain: Insights from simulation","volume":"3","author":"Hudnurkar M.","year":"2012","unstructured":"HudnurkarM. and RathodU., Collaborative supply chain: Insights from simulation, International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management 3(2) (2012), 122\u2013144.","journal-title":"International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_8_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eswa.2012.08.040"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_9_2","article-title":"Fundamentals of supply chain management","author":"Lu D.","year":"2011","unstructured":"LuD., Fundamentals of supply chain management, Dr. Dawei Lu & Ventus Publishing ApS. bookboon.com, 2011.","journal-title":"Dr. Dawei Lu & Ventus Publishing ApS"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_10_2","volume-title":"Multimedia and Network Information systems. MISSI 2006","author":"Dyk P.","year":"2006","unstructured":"DykP., LenarM., Applying negotiation methods to resolve conflicts in multi-agent environments, In ZgrzywaA. (red.), Multimedia and Network Information systems. MISSI 2006, Oficyna Wydawnicza PWr. Wroc\u0142aw. 2006."},{"issue":"25","key":"e_1_3_3_11_2","article-title":"Dictatorial consensus function on n-trees","author":"Barthlemy J.P.","year":"1992","unstructured":"BarthlemyJ.P., Dictatorial consensus function on n-trees, Mathematical Social Science. nr 25, 1992.","journal-title":"Mathematical Social Science"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_12_2","first-page":"81","volume-title":"8th International Conference, ICCCI 2016, Halkidiki, Greece","volume":"9875","author":"Hernes M.","unstructured":"HernesM., Knowledge Integration Method for Supply Chain Management Module in a Cognitive Integrated Management Information System, in Computational Collective Intelligence. 8th International Conference, ICCCI 2016, Halkidiki, Greece, September 28-30, 2016. Proceedings, Part I, 2016, vol, 9875, 81\u201389."},{"key":"e_1_3_3_13_2","article-title":"Advanced Methods for Inconsistent Knowledge Management","author":"Nguyen N.T.","year":"2008","unstructured":"NguyenN.T., Advanced Methods for Inconsistent Knowledge Management, Springer-Verlag London, 2008.","journal-title":"Springer-Verlag London"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_14_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s10257-015-0280-9"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_15_2","article-title":"Logistics and supply chain management. creating value-adding networks","author":"Christopher M.","year":"2005","unstructured":"ChristopherM., Logistics and supply chain management. creating value-adding networks, Third Edition, Financial Times Press, Paerson Education Limited 2005.","journal-title":"Third Edition, Financial Times Press, Paerson Education Limited"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_16_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s10257-015-0301-8"},{"issue":"2","key":"e_1_3_3_17_2","first-page":"122","article-title":"Collaborative supply chain: Insights from simulation","volume":"3","author":"Hudnurkar M.","year":"2012","unstructured":"HudnurkarM. and RathodU., Collaborative supply chain: Insights from simulation, International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management 3(2) (2012), 122\u2013144.","journal-title":"International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_18_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eswa.2012.02.137"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_19_2","unstructured":"PodobnikV. PetricA. and JezicG. G. An Agent-Based Solution for Dynamic Supply Chain Management Journal of Universal Computer Science 14(7) (2008) 1080\u20131104."},{"key":"e_1_3_3_20_2","article-title":"Multi-agent decision support system for supply chain management","author":"Kovalchuk Y.","year":"2009","unstructured":"KovalchukY., Multi-agent decision support system for supply chain management, University of Essex, 2009.","journal-title":"University of Essex"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_21_2","article-title":"A Simple Agent for Supply Chain Management","author":"Farrell B.","year":"2006","unstructured":"FarrellB. and LoffredoD., A Simple Agent for Supply Chain Management, Department of Computer Science The University of Texas at Austin, 2006.","journal-title":"Department of Computer Science The University of Texas at Austin"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_22_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1193147"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_23_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/01969720903294593"},{"issue":"2","key":"e_1_3_3_24_2","first-page":"317","article-title":"Deriving Consensus for Hierarchical Incomplete Ordered Partitions and Coverings","volume":"13","author":"Hernes M.","year":"2007","unstructured":"HernesM. and NguyenN.T., Deriving Consensus for Hierarchical Incomplete Ordered Partitions and Coverings, Journal of Universal Computer Science 13(2) (2007), 317\u2013328.","journal-title":"Journal of Universal Computer Science"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_25_2","first-page":"231","article-title":"Evolutionary Computational Intelligence in Solving the Fractional Differential Equations, In Intelligent information and database systems, N.T.:Nguyen, M.T. Le, J. Swiatek, (eds)","volume":"5990","author":"Raja M.A.Z.","year":"2010","unstructured":"RajaM.A.Z., KhanJ.A. and QureshiI.M., Evolutionary Computational Intelligence in Solving the Fractional Differential Equations, In Intelligent information and database systems, N.T.:Nguyen, M.T. Le, J. Swiatek, (eds), Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence 5990 (2010), 231\u2013240.","journal-title":"Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_26_2","first-page":"245","article-title":"Item-Based Collaborative Filtering with Attribute Correlation: A Case Study on Movie Recommendation, Intelligent information and database systems, Edited by: N.T. Nguyen, B. Attachoo, B. Trawinski, K. Somboonviwat","volume":"8398","author":"Pirasteh P.","year":"2014","unstructured":"PirastehP., JungJ.J. and HwangD., Item-Based Collaborative Filtering with Attribute Correlation: A Case Study on Movie Recommendation, Intelligent information and database systems, Edited by: N.T. Nguyen, B. Attachoo, B. Trawinski, K. Somboonviwat, Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence, 8398 (2014), 245\u2013252.","journal-title":"Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence"},{"issue":"41","key":"e_1_3_3_27_2","first-page":"131","article-title":"Distance function between structure of variants in consensus determining process in supply chain management systems","volume":"3","author":"Sobieska-Karpi\u0144ska J.","year":"2013","unstructured":"Sobieska-Karpi\u0144skaJ. and HernesM., Distance function between structure of variants in consensus determining process in supply chain management systems,, Ekonometria 3 (41), Wydawnictwo UE we Wroclawiu. Wroc\u0142aw, 2013, 131\u2013140.","journal-title":"Ekonometria"},{"key":"e_1_3_3_28_2","first-page":"252","volume-title":"6th International Conference, ICCCI 2014","volume":"8733","author":"Hernes M.","year":"2014","unstructured":"HernesM., A Cognitive Integrated Management Support System for Enterprises, In Computational Collective Intelligence. Technologies and Applications. 6th International Conference, ICCCI 2014, Seoul, Korea, September 24-26, 2014. Proceedings 8733 (2014), 252\u2013261."}],"container-title":["Journal of Intelligent &amp; Fuzzy Systems"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.3233\/JIFS-179342","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/full-xml\/10.3233\/JIFS-179342","content-type":"application\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.3233\/JIFS-179342","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,29]],"date-time":"2026-04-29T09:39:30Z","timestamp":1777455570000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/10.3233\/JIFS-179342"}},"subtitle":[],"editor":[{"given":"Ngoc Thanh","family":"Nguyen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"editor","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Edward","family":"Szczerbicki","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"editor","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Bogdan","family":"Trawi\u0144ski","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"editor","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Van Du","family":"Nguyen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"editor","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2019,7,22]]},"references-count":27,"journal-issue":{"issue":"6","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2019,12,23]]}},"alternative-id":["10.3233\/JIFS-179342"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3233\/jifs-179342","relation":{},"ISSN":["1064-1246","1875-8967"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1064-1246","type":"print"},{"value":"1875-8967","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2019,7,22]]}}}