{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,14]],"date-time":"2026-10-14T14:52:17Z","timestamp":1791989537556,"version":"4.4.0"},"reference-count":439,"publisher":"National Institute for Health and Care Research","issue":"62","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2016,8,1]],"date-time":"2016-08-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1470009600000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/www.nationalarchives.gov.uk\/doc\/non-commercial-government-licence\/non-commercial-government-licence.htm"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100000664","name":"Health Technology Assessment programme","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["09\/46\/01"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["09\/46\/01"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100000664","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Health Technol Assess"],"abstract":"<jats:sec id=\"abs1-1\"><jats:title>Background<\/jats:title><jats:p>End-stage renal disease is a long-term irreversible decline in kidney function requiring renal replacement therapy: kidney transplantation, haemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis. The preferred option is kidney transplantation, followed by immunosuppressive therapy (induction and maintenance therapy) to reduce the risk of kidney rejection and prolong graft survival.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec id=\"abs1-2\"><jats:title>Objectives<\/jats:title><jats:p>To review and update the evidence for the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of basiliximab (BAS) (Simulect<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Novartis Pharmaceuticals UK Ltd) and rabbit anti-human thymocyte immunoglobulin (rATG) (Thymoglobulin<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Sanofi) as induction therapy, and immediate-release tacrolimus (TAC) (Adoport<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Sandoz; Capexion<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Mylan; Modigraf<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Astellas Pharma; Perixis<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Accord Healthcare; Prograf<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Astellas Pharma; Tacni<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Teva; Vivadex<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Dexcel Pharma), prolonged-release tacrolimus (Advagraf<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>Astellas Pharma), belatacept (BEL) (Nulojix<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Bristol-Myers Squibb), mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) (Arzip<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Zentiva; CellCept<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Roche Products; Myfenax<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Teva), mycophenolate sodium (MPS) (Myfortic<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Novartis Pharmaceuticals UK Ltd), sirolimus (SRL) (Rapamune<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Pfizer) and everolimus (EVL) (Certican<jats:sup>\u00ae<\/jats:sup>, Novartis) as maintenance therapy in adult renal transplantation.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec id=\"abs1-3\"><jats:title>Methods<\/jats:title><jats:p>Clinical effectiveness searches were conducted until 18 November 2014 in MEDLINE (via Ovid), EMBASE (via Ovid), Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (via Wiley Online Library) and Web of Science (via ISI), Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects and Health Technology Assessment (The Cochrane Library via Wiley Online Library) and Health Management Information Consortium (via Ovid). Cost-effectiveness searches were conducted until 18 November 2014 using a costs or economic literature search filter in MEDLINE (via Ovid), EMBASE (via Ovid), NHS Economic Evaluation Database (via Wiley Online Library), Web of Science (via ISI), Health Economic Evaluations Database (via Wiley Online Library) and the American Economic Association\u2019s electronic bibliography (via EconLit, EBSCO<jats:italic>host<\/jats:italic>). Included studies were selected according to predefined methods and criteria. A random-effects model was used to analyse clinical effectiveness data (odds ratios for binary data and mean differences for continuous data). Network meta-analyses were undertaken within a Bayesian framework. A new discrete time\u2013state transition economic model (semi-Markov) was developed, with acute rejection, graft function (GRF) and new-onset diabetes mellitus used to extrapolate graft survival. Recipients were assumed to be in one of three health states: functioning graft, graft loss or death.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec id=\"abs1-4\"><jats:title>Results<\/jats:title><jats:p>Eighty-nine randomised controlled trials (RCTs), of variable quality, were included. For induction therapy, no treatment appeared more effective than another in reducing graft loss or mortality. Compared with placebo\/no induction, rATG and BAS appeared more effective in reducing biopsy-proven acute rejection (BPAR) and BAS appeared more effective at improving GRF. For maintenance therapy, no treatment was better for all outcomes and no treatment appeared most effective at reducing graft loss. BEL\u2009+\u2009MMF appeared more effective than TAC\u2009+\u2009MMF and SRL\u2009+\u2009MMF at reducing mortality. MMF\u2009+\u2009CSA (ciclosporin), TAC\u2009+\u2009MMF, SRL\u2009+\u2009TAC, TAC\u2009+\u2009AZA (azathioprine) and EVL\u2009+\u2009CSA appeared more effective than CSA\u2009+\u2009AZA and EVL\u2009+\u2009MPS at reducing BPAR. SRL\u2009+\u2009AZA, TAC\u2009+\u2009AZA, TAC\u2009+\u2009MMF and BEL\u2009+\u2009MMF appeared to improve GRF compared with CSA\u2009+\u2009AZA and MMF\u2009+\u2009CSA. In the base-case deterministic and probabilistic analyses, BAS, MMF and TAC were predicted to be cost-effective at \u00a320,000 and \u00a330,000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). When comparing all regimens, only BAS\u2009+\u2009TAC\u2009+\u2009MMF was cost-effective at \u00a320,000 and \u00a330,000 per QALY.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec id=\"abs1-5\"><jats:title>Limitations<\/jats:title><jats:p>For included trials, there was substantial methodological heterogeneity, few trials reported follow-up beyond 1 year, and there were insufficient data to perform subgroup analysis. Treatment discontinuation and switching were not modelled.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec id=\"abs1-6\"><jats:title>Future work<\/jats:title><jats:p>High-quality, better-reported, longer-term RCTs are needed. Ideally, these would be sufficiently powered for subgroup analysis and include health-related quality of life as an outcome.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec id=\"abs1-7\"><jats:title>Conclusion<\/jats:title><jats:p>Only a regimen of BAS induction followed by maintenance with TAC and MMF is likely to be cost-effective at \u00a320,000\u201330,000 per QALY.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec id=\"abs1-8\"><jats:title>Study registration<\/jats:title><jats:p>This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42014013189.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec id=\"abs1-9\"><jats:title>Funding<\/jats:title><jats:p>The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.3310\/hta20620","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2016,8,31]],"date-time":"2016-08-31T12:28:01Z","timestamp":1472646481000},"page":"1-594","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3310\/crossmarkpolicy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":61,"title":["Immunosuppressive therapy for kidney transplantation in adults: a systematic review and economic model"],"prefix":"10.3310","volume":"20","author":[{"given":"Tracey","family":"Jones-Hughes","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Peninsula Technology Assessment Group (PenTAG), University of Exeter, Exeter, UK"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Tristan","family":"Snowsill","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Peninsula Technology Assessment Group (PenTAG), University of Exeter, Exeter, 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