{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,5,14]],"date-time":"2025-05-14T10:35:42Z","timestamp":1747218942739,"version":"3.40.5"},"reference-count":23,"publisher":"Revemop","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2023,12,21]],"date-time":"2023-12-21T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1703116800000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-sa\/4.0"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Revemop"],"abstract":"<jats:p>Neste artigo estuda-se o conhecimento em Probabilidade de alunos brasileiros do ensino m\u00e9dio, ap\u00f3s terem frequentado as aulas de Probabilidade. No estudo participaram 203 alunos do 3.\u00ba ano do ensino m\u00e9dio, que frequentavam uma escola p\u00fablica e uma escola privada da regi\u00e3o de Bras\u00edlia. Os alunos resolveram v\u00e1rias quest\u00f5es de Probabilidades, das quais vamos aqui analisar duas. Em ambas as quest\u00f5es, de entre dois acontecimentos, os alunos deviam identificar o mais prov\u00e1vel ou se eram ambos igualmente prov\u00e1veis. Em termos de resultados, verificou-se um fraco desempenho dos alunos, claramente pior no caso dos alunos da escola p\u00fablica. Fundamentalmente, os alunos basearam as respostas corretas na determina\u00e7\u00e3o de probabilidades ou na compara\u00e7\u00e3o do n\u00famero de casos favor\u00e1veis, enquanto as respostas incorretas resultaram da equiprobabilidade de obter qualquer face do dado, ignorar a ordem dos resultados, comparar o n\u00famero de bolas brancas e pretas e comparar probabilidades simples.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.33532\/revemop.e202311","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2023,12,22]],"date-time":"2023-12-22T21:05:18Z","timestamp":1703279118000},"page":"e202311","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Conhecimento de Probabilidade de Alunos do Ensino M\u00e9dio ap\u00f3s o Ensino"],"prefix":"10.33532","volume":"5","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2015-160X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jos\u00e9 Ant\u00f3nio","family":"Fernandes","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-7579-4592","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Bruno Marx","family":"Braga","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"19206","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2023,12,21]]},"reference":[{"unstructured":"BARDIN, L. An\u00e1lise de conte\u00fado. Lisboa: Edi\u00e7\u00f5es 70, 2002.","key":"30610"},{"doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"BATANERO, Carmen; HENRY, Michel; PARZYSZ, Bernard. The nature of chance and probability. In: Jones, Graham. A. (Ed.). Exploring probability in school: Challenges for teaching and learning. New York, NY: Springer, 2005. p. 15-37.","key":"30611","DOI":"10.1007\/0-387-24530-8_2"},{"doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"BATANERO, Carmen.; BOROVCNIK, Manfred. Statistics and probability in high school. Rotterdam, Holanda: Sense Publishers, 2016.","key":"30612","DOI":"10.1007\/978-94-6300-624-8"},{"unstructured":"BRASIL. Minist\u00e9rio da Educa\u00e7\u00e3o. Base Nacional Comum Curricular. Bras\u00edlia: MEC, 2017. Dispon\u00edvel em: <http:\/\/basenacionalcomum.mec.gov.br\/>. Acesso em: 30 jan. 2020.","key":"30613"},{"doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"CARDE\u00d1OSO, Jos\u00e9 Mar\u00eda; MORENO, Amable; GARC\u00cdA-GONZ\u00c1LES, Esther.; JIM\u00c9NEZ-FONTANA Roc\u00edo. El sesgo de equiprobabilidad como dificultad para comprender la incertidumbre en futuros docentes argentinos. Avances de Investigaci\u00f3n en Educaci\u00f3n Matem\u00e1tica, Badajoz, v.11, p.145-166, 2017.","key":"30614","DOI":"10.35763\/aiem.v1i11.185"},{"doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"D\u00cdAZ, Carmen; CONTRERAS, Jos\u00e9 Miguel; BATANERO, Carmen; ROA, Rafael. Evaluaci\u00f3n de sesgos en el razonamiento sobre probabilidad condicional en futuros profesores de educaci\u00f3n secundaria. Bolema, Rio Claro, v. 26, n. 22, p. 1207-1226, 2012.","key":"30615","DOI":"10.1590\/S0103-636X2012000400006"},{"unstructured":"FERNANDES, Jos\u00e9 Ant\u00f3nio. Concep\u00e7\u00f5es erradas na aprendizagem de conceitos probabil\u00edsticos. Disserta\u00e7\u00e3o (Mestrado em Educa\u00e7\u00e3o) - Universidade do Minho, Braga, Portugal, 1990.","key":"30616"},{"unstructured":"FERNANDES, Jos\u00e9 Ant\u00f3nio. Intui\u00e7\u00f5es e aprendizagem de probabilidades: uma proposta de ensino de probabilidades no 9.\u00ba ano de escolaridade. Tese (Doutorado em Educa\u00e7\u00e3o) - Universidade do Minho, Braga, Portugal, 2000.","key":"30617"},{"unstructured":"FERNANDES, Jos\u00e9 Ant\u00f3nio. Intui\u00e7\u00f5es probabil\u00edsticas em alunos do 8.\u00ba e 11.\u00ba anos de escolaridade. Quadrante, Lisboa, v. 10, n. 2, p. 3-32, 2001.","key":"30618"},{"doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"FERNANDES, Jos\u00e9 Ant\u00f3nio; GEA, Mar\u00eda Magladena. Conhecimento de futuros professores dos primeiros anos escolares para ensinar probabilidades. Avances de Investigaci\u00f3n en Educaci\u00f3n Matem\u00e1tica, Badajoz, v. 14, p. 15-30, 2018.","key":"30619","DOI":"10.35763\/aiem.v0i14.213"},{"unstructured":"FERNANDES, Jos\u00e9 Ant\u00f3nio; BATANERO, Carmen; CORREIA, Paulo Ferreira; GEA, Mar\u00eda Magladena. Desempenho em probabilidade condicionada e probabilidade conjunta de futuros professores do ensino b\u00e1sico. Quadrante, Lisboa, v. 23, n. 1, p. 43-61, 2014.","key":"30620"},{"doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"FERNANDES, Jos\u00e9 Ant\u00f3nio; CORREIA, Paulo Ferreira; CONTRERAS, Jos\u00e9 Miguel. Ideias intuitivas de alunos do 9.\u00ba ano em probabilidade condicionada e probabilidade conjunta. Avances de Investigaci\u00f3n en Educaci\u00f3n Matem\u00e1tica, Badajoz, v. 4, p. 5\u201326, 2013.","key":"30621","DOI":"10.35763\/aiem.v1i4.52"},{"doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"FERNANDES, Jos\u00e9 Ant\u00f3nio; GON\u00c7ALVES, Gabriela; BARROS, Paula Maria. Formato da informa\u00e7\u00e3o no c\u00e1lculo de probabilidades por futuros professores dos primeiros anos. HOLOS, Natal, v. 35, n. 2, 2019.","key":"30622","DOI":"10.15628\/holos.2019.8504"},{"unstructured":"FISCHBEIN, Efraim; BARBAT, Ileana; M\u00ceNZAT, I. Primary and secondary intuitions in the introduction of probability. In: E. Fischbein. The intuitive sources of probabilistic thinking in children (Appendix I). Dordrecht: D. Reidel Publishing Company, 1975. p. 138-155.","key":"30623"},{"doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"FISCHBEIN, Efraim; SCHNARCH, Ditza. The evolution with age of probabilistic, intuitively based misconceptions. Journal for Research in Mathematics Education, Reston, v. 28, n. 1, p. 96-105, 1997.","key":"30624","DOI":"10.5951\/jresematheduc.28.1.0096"},{"unstructured":"GREEN, David Robert. Probability concepts in 11-16 year old pupils. Tese (Doutorado em Matem\u00e1tica) - Loughborough University of Technology, Loughborough, Reino Unido, 1982.","key":"30625"},{"doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"LECOUTRE, Marie-Paule; DURANT, Jean-Luc. Jugements probabilistes et mod\u00e8les cognitifs: \u00e9tude d'une situation al\u00e9atoire. Educational Studies in Mathematics, Dordrecht, v. 19, p. 357-368, 1988.","key":"30626","DOI":"10.1007\/BF00312452"},{"unstructured":"PIAGET, Jean; INHELDER, B\u00e4rbel. La gen\u00e8se de l'id\u00e9e de hasard chez l'enfant. Paris: Presses Universitaires de France, 1951.","key":"30627"},{"doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"POLLATSEK, Alexander; WELL, Arnold; KONOLD, Clifford; HARDIMAN, Pamela; COBB, George. Understanding conditional probabilities. Organitation, Behavior and Human Decision Processes, San Diego, v. 40, p. 255-269, 1987.","key":"30628","DOI":"10.1016\/0749-5978(87)90015-X"},{"doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"TVERSKY, Amos; KAHNEMAN, Daniel. Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. In: KAHNEMAN, Daniel; SLOVIC, Paul; TVERSKY, Amos (Eds.). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1982. p. 3-20.","key":"30629","DOI":"10.1017\/CBO9780511809477.002"},{"doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"TVERSKY, Amos; KAHNEMAN, Daniel. Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. Psychological Review, Washington, v. 90, n. 4, p. 293-315, 1983.","key":"30630","DOI":"10.1037\/0033-295X.90.4.293"},{"doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"WATSON, Jane. The probabilistic reasoning of middle school students. In: Jones, G. A. (Ed.). Exploring probability in school: Challenges for teaching and learning. New York, NY: Springer, 2005. p. 145-169.","key":"30631","DOI":"10.1007\/0-387-24530-8_7"},{"doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"WATSON, Jane; MORITZ, Jonathan. School students\u2019 reasoning about conjunction and conditional events. International Journal of Mathematical Education in Science and Technology, London, v. 33, n. 1, p. 59-84, 2002.","key":"30632","DOI":"10.1080\/00207390110087615"}],"container-title":["Revemop"],"original-title":[],"link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/periodicos.ufop.br\/revemop\/article\/download\/6884\/5457","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/periodicos.ufop.br\/revemop\/article\/download\/6884\/5457","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2023,12,22]],"date-time":"2023-12-22T21:05:27Z","timestamp":1703279127000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/periodicos.ufop.br\/revemop\/article\/view\/6884"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2023,12,21]]},"references-count":23,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.33532\/revemop.e202311","relation":{},"ISSN":["2596-0245"],"issn-type":[{"type":"electronic","value":"2596-0245"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2023,12,21]]}}}