{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,8,2]],"date-time":"2025-08-02T14:40:51Z","timestamp":1754145651217,"version":"3.41.2"},"reference-count":10,"publisher":"Linkoping University Electronic Press","issue":"1","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2016,2,1]],"date-time":"2016-02-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1454284800000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc\/4.0"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["hygiea"],"abstract":"<jats:p>The objective of this paper was to project indicators of health status and health care utilization in the Portuguese population for the period 2011-2031, considering the expected changes in its demographic and educational structure. Using projections of the Portuguese population by age, gender, and level of education, for 2011-2031, logistic regression models estimate current differences in health outcomes with the help of data from the Portuguese Health Survey. Such differences were applied to the projection results, in order to estimate trends in health outcomes. Our results point at a future improvement in self-reported health status and in the prevalence of chronic diseases, particularly among men, but also at the increased use of the considered health services (medical consultations and use of prescribed medicines).The trend scenario results in a lower prevalence of individuals who classify their health status negatively, in a lower use of medical visits and of prescribed medicines. We conclude that, beyond age and gender, other determinants of health, like education, should be considered when studying the possible evolution of health outcomes.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.3384\/hygiea.1403-8668.1612187","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2016,2,1]],"date-time":"2016-02-01T07:28:32Z","timestamp":1454311712000},"page":"87-102","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":1,"title":["Impact of the Demographic and Educational Structure on Health Outcomes"],"prefix":"10.3384","volume":"12","author":[{"given":"Maria Ros\u00e1rio","family":"Oliveira Martins","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"given":"In\u00eas","family":"Rodrigues","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Teresa","family":"Rodrigues","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"1959","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2016,2,1]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/jech.52.4.219"},{"key":"ref2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.socscimed.2003.09.008"},{"key":"ref3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s00038-009-0073-3"},{"key":"ref4","volume-title":"Multivariate Data Analysis","author":"Hair","year":"1998","unstructured":"Hair, Joseph F., Rolph E. Anderson, Ronald L. Tatham and William C. Black. Multivariate Data Analysis (Upper Saddle River, New Jersey, Prentice Hall, 1998)."},{"issue":"1","key":"ref5","first-page":"81","article-title":"\"Essay on Ageing and Health projections in Portugal\". Item 3 \u2013 Challenges and use of population projections (2010). Joint Eurostat\/UNECE Work Session on Demographic Projections (28\u201330 April 2010, Lisbon, Portugal). Statistical Office of the European Union (EUROSTAT). Henriques, Filipa Castro, Teresa Ferreira Rodrigues and Maria Fraga O. Martins, \"Ageing, Education and Health in Portugal: Prospective from the 19th to the 21st Century","volume":"8","author":"Henriques","year":"2009","unstructured":"Henriques, Filipa Castro and Teresa Ferreira Rodrigues, \"Essay on Ageing and Health projections in Portugal\". Item 3 \u2013 Challenges and use of population projections (2010). Joint Eurostat\/UNECE Work Session on Demographic Projections (28\u201330 April 2010, Lisbon, Portugal). Statistical Office of the European Union (EUROSTAT). Henriques, Filipa Castro, Teresa Ferreira Rodrigues and Maria Fraga O. Martins, \"Ageing, Education and Health in Portugal: Prospective from the 19th to the 21st Century\" Hygiea Internationalis, 8: 1 (2009), 81\u201396.","journal-title":"Hygiea Internationalis"},{"key":"ref6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0277-9536(02)00454-9"},{"key":"ref7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0895-4356(99)00232-2"},{"volume-title":"Education at a Glance","year":"2012","key":"ref8","unstructured":"OECD, Education at a Glance: OECD Indicators 2012 (2012).\u00a0Country Note Portugal."},{"key":"ref9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0895-4356(99)00230-9"},{"key":"ref10","volume-title":"Description of the multistate projection model (Multistate model for biographic analysis and projection) Deliverable D1 in Work Package 1 Bridging the micro-macro gap in population forecasting - MicMac Project","author":"Willekens","year":"2006","unstructured":"Willekens, Frans, Description of the multistate projection model (Multistate model for biographic analysis and projection). Deliverable D1 in Work Package 1. Bridging the micro-macro gap in population forecasting - MicMac Project. Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute. (The Hague, The Netherlands, 2006)."}],"container-title":["Hygiea Internationalis: An interdisciplinary journal  for the History of Public Health"],"original-title":[],"link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/journal.ep.liu.se\/hygiea\/article\/download\/5837\/4628","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/journal.ep.liu.se\/hygiea\/article\/download\/5837\/4628","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,7,17]],"date-time":"2025-07-17T07:39:30Z","timestamp":1752737970000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/journal.ep.liu.se\/hygiea\/article\/view\/5837"}},"subtitle":["A Prospective Analysis for the Portuguese Population"],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2016,2,1]]},"references-count":10,"journal-issue":{"issue":"1","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2016,2,1]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3384\/hygiea.1403-8668.1612187","relation":{},"ISSN":["1404-4013","1403-8668"],"issn-type":[{"type":"electronic","value":"1404-4013"},{"type":"print","value":"1403-8668"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2016,2,1]]}}}