{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,7]],"date-time":"2026-09-07T06:08:14Z","timestamp":1788761294716,"version":"build-2803163510"},"reference-count":50,"publisher":"Frontiers Media SA","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,7]],"date-time":"2026-09-07T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1788739200000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100001809","name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100001809","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["frontiersin.org"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Front. Plant Sci."],"abstract":"<jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Introduction<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Invasive aquatic plants obstruct waterways, disrupt fisheries, and cause significant economic, social, and ecological impacts. Predicting their potential distribution and associated economic losses under climate change is critical for global risk management.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Methods<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>\n                      This study aimed to predict the global potential distribution of four major invasive aquatic plants (\n                      <jats:italic>Pontederia crassipes, Pistia stratiotes, Cabomba caroliniana, Alternanthera philoxeroides<\/jats:italic>\n                      ) and assess associated economic losses under current and future climates using species distribution modeling (Biomod2) and the Invacost database.\n                    <\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Results<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>\n                      Current high\u2011suitability habitats for\n                      <jats:italic>P. crassipes<\/jats:italic>\n                      and\n                      <jats:italic>P. stratiotes<\/jats:italic>\n                      span South Asia, Africa, Europe, Oceania, and the Americas;\n                      <jats:italic>A. philoxeroides<\/jats:italic>\n                      concentrates in South Asia, the southeastern US, South America, and parts of Europe\/Africa; C. caroliniana suitability is more limited to South\/Southeast Asia and southeastern Americas. Future projections indicate significant northward expansion for all species, with\n                      <jats:italic>P. crassipes<\/jats:italic>\n                      and\n                      <jats:italic>P. stratiotes<\/jats:italic>\n                      experiencing the largest habitat increases (9.99% and 10.21%, respectively). Key environmental drivers include mean annual temperature, population density, and coldest season temperature. Global economic losses from 1990\u20132025 are estimated at $7,380.30 million (average $205.01 million\/year), showing a rising trend.\n                    <\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Discussion<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>This work provides critical insights for global monitoring, early detection, rapid response, and strategic management of invasive aquatic plants, offering theoretical support for invasion biology under climate change and informing policy decisions and public awareness efforts.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.3389\/fpls.2026.1895896","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,7]],"date-time":"2026-09-07T05:33:20Z","timestamp":1788759200000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3389\/crossmark-policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Managing global risks of invasive aquatic plants under climate change: ensemble species distribution modeling and economic cost projections"],"prefix":"10.3389","volume":"17","author":[{"given":"Wei","family":"Xing","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Key Laboratory of Intelligent Health Perception and Ecological Restoration of Rivers and Lakes, Ministry of Education, Hubei University of Technology","place":["Wuhan, China"]},{"name":"Innovation Demonstration Base of Ecological Environment Geotechnical and Ecological Restoration of Rivers and Lakes, Hubei University of Technology","place":["Wuhan, China"]},{"name":"State Key Laboratory of Lake and Watershed Science for Water Security, Wuhan Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences","place":["Wuhan, China"]},{"name":"Hubei Key Laboratory of Environmental Geotechnology and Ecological Remediation for Lake and River, Hubei University of Technology","place":["Wuhan, China"]},{"name":"School of Civil Engineering, Architecture and Environment, Hubei University of Technology","place":["Wuhan, China"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Zixuan","family":"Feng","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"State Key Laboratory of Lake and Watershed Science for Water Security, Wuhan Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences","place":["Wuhan, China"]},{"name":"Central - Southern Safety and Environment Technology Institute Co. 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