{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,1]],"date-time":"2026-10-01T14:16:17Z","timestamp":1790864177692,"version":"4.1.0"},"reference-count":97,"publisher":"Frontiers Media SA","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2024,12,23]],"date-time":"2024-12-23T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1734912000000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["frontiersin.org"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Front. Public Health"],"abstract":"<jats:sec><jats:title>Introduction<\/jats:title><jats:p>As climate change advances, the looming threat of dengue fever, intricately tied to rising temperatures, intensifies, posing a substantial and enduring public health challenge in the Philippines. This study aims to investigate the historical and projected excess dengue disease burden attributable to temperature to help inform climate change policies, and guide resource allocation for strategic climate change and dengue disease interventions.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Methods<\/jats:title><jats:p>The study utilized established temperature-dengue risk functions to estimate the historical dengue burden attributable to increased temperatures. Future projections were derived using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios to estimate the excess dengue burden on a national scale. Current health burden estimates were calculated by charting the attributable fraction per epidemiological week against the exponential risk function.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results<\/jats:title><jats:p>Projections indicate a substantial increase in temperature-related dengue incidence across all SSP climate scenarios by 2100. Between 2010-2019, 72.1% of reported dengue cases in the Philippines were attributable to temperature, demonstrating that temperature is a significant driver in dengue transmission. The highest attributable fractions were observed between the warm-dry season to early rainy season (Epi Weeks 15\u201325). Southern, periequatorial areas, particularly those undergoing rapid urbanization, had the highest temperature-related dengue incidence.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Discussion<\/jats:title><jats:p>The findings emphasize the critical interplay between climate change and socioeconomic factors in shaping future dengue risk. By incorporating future climate scenarios and provincial-level projections, this study provides valuable insights for policy planning, early warning systems, and public health programming. Strengthening health infrastructure, promoting sustainable urban development, and implementing effective vector control measures are crucial to mitigating the future dengue burden in the Philippines.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.3389\/fpubh.2024.1420457","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2024,12,23]],"date-time":"2024-12-23T06:39:00Z","timestamp":1734935940000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3389\/crossmark-policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":14,"title":["Projecting temperature-related dengue burden in the Philippines under various socioeconomic pathway scenarios"],"prefix":"10.3389","volume":"12","author":[{"given":"Xerxes","family":"Seposo","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Sary","family":"Valenzuela","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Geminn Louis C.","family":"Apostol","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Keith Alexius","family":"Wangkay","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Percival Ethan","family":"Lao","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Anna Beatrice","family":"Enriquez","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"1965","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2024,12,23]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref1","volume-title":"Dengue and severe dengue","year":"2023"},{"key":"ref2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e975","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000975","article-title":"Determinants of Inapparent and symptomatic dengue infection in a prospective study of primary school children in Kamphaeng Phet, Thailand","volume":"5","author":"Endy","year":"2011","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"ref3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"504","DOI":"10.1038\/nature12060","article-title":"The global distribution and burden of dengue","volume":"496","author":"Bhatt","year":"2013","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"ref4","volume-title":"Dengue in the South-East Asia","year":""},{"key":"ref5","volume-title":"Philippines logs 220,705 dengue cases in 2022. PhilStar Global","author":"Villanueva","year":"2023"},{"key":"ref6","volume-title":"Dengue cases up by 94% in first quarter of 2023 vs. same period in 2022","year":"2023"},{"key":"ref7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"134","DOI":"10.1016\/j.meegid.2019.01.020","article-title":"Genotypic persistence of dengue virus in the Philippines","volume":"69","author":"Galarion","year":"2019","journal-title":"Infect Genet Evol"},{"key":"ref8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"217","DOI":"10.1186\/s12916-021-02101-6","article-title":"Estimating the annual dengue force of infection from the age of reporting primary infections across urban centres in endemic countries","volume":"19","author":"Biggs","year":"2021","journal-title":"BMC Med"},{"key":"ref9","volume-title":"Dengue [Internet]. Philippine Society for Microbiology and Infectious Diseases","author":"Mariano-Alabado","year":""},{"key":"ref10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"100216","DOI":"10.1016\/j.onehlt.2021.100216","article-title":"Animals as potential reservoirs for dengue transmission: a systematic review","volume":"12","author":"Gwee","year":"2021","journal-title":"One Health"},{"key":"ref11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"167","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2334-14-167","article-title":"Climate change and dengue: a critical and systematic review of quantitative modelling approaches","volume":"14","author":"Naish","year":"2014","journal-title":"BMC Infect Dis"},{"key":"ref12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"17","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envres.2016.11.009","article-title":"Association between dengue fever incidence and meteorological factors in Guangzhou, China, 2005\u20132014","volume":"153","author":"Xiang","year":"2017","journal-title":"Environ Res"},{"key":"ref13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e0011700","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0011700","article-title":"Socio-economic factors and its influence on the association between temperature and dengue incidence in 61 provinces of the Philippines, 2010\u20132019","volume":"17","author":"Seposo","year":"2023","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"ref14","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"107518","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envint.2022.107518","article-title":"Impact of extreme weather on dengue fever infection in four Asian countries: a modelling analysis","volume":"169","author":"Wang","year":"2022","journal-title":"Environ Int"},{"key":"ref15","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.3390\/ijerph120100001","article-title":"A systematic review and meta-analysis of dengue risk with temperature change","volume":"12","author":"Fan","year":"2014","journal-title":"Int J Environ Res Public Health"},{"key":"ref16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"110043","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envres.2020.110043","article-title":"Effects of ambient temperature and precipitation on the risk of dengue fever: a systematic review and updated meta-analysis","volume":"191","author":"Li","year":"2020","journal-title":"Environ Res"},{"key":"ref17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e0008118","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0008118","article-title":"Projecting the future of dengue under climate change scenarios: Progress, uncertainties and research needs","volume":"14","author":"Xu","year":"2020","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"ref18","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"245","DOI":"10.1007\/s40572-021-00322-8","article-title":"A review of Dengue\u2019s historical and future health risk from a changing climate","volume":"8","author":"Soneja","year":"2021","journal-title":"Curr Environ Health Rep"},{"key":"ref19","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"3091","DOI":"10.1017\/S095026881600162X","article-title":"Projections of increased and decreased dengue incidence under climate change","volume":"144","author":"Williams","year":"2016","journal-title":"Epidemiol Infect"},{"key":"ref20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e0199205","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0199205","article-title":"Potential effects of climate change on dengue transmission dynamics in Korea","volume":"13","author":"Lee","year":"2018","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"key":"ref21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"187","DOI":"10.3390\/ijerph15020187","article-title":"Present and future of dengue fever in Nepal: mapping climatic suitability by ecological niche model","volume":"15","author":"Acharya","year":"2018","journal-title":"Int J Environ Res Public Health"},{"key":"ref22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"579","DOI":"10.1289\/EHP218","article-title":"An analysis of the potential impact of climate change on dengue transmission in the southeastern United States","volume":"125","author":"Butterworth","year":"2017","journal-title":"Environ Health Perspect"},{"key":"ref23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"137","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envint.2013.11.002","article-title":"Projecting the impact of climate change on dengue transmission in Dhaka","volume":"63","author":"Banu","year":"2014","journal-title":"Bangladesh Environ Int"},{"key":"ref24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"867","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2017.06.181","article-title":"Modeling and projection of dengue fever cases in Guangzhou based on variation of weather factors","author":"Li","year":"2017","journal-title":"Sci Total Environ"},{"key":"ref25","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e0004916","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0004916","article-title":"Dengue contingency planning: from research to policy and practice","volume":"10","author":"Runge-Ranzinger","year":"2016","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"ref26","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e0007280","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0007280","article-title":"Trends in dengue research in the Philippines: a systematic review","volume":"13","author":"Agrupis","year":"2019","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"ref27","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"887","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.16-0488","article-title":"Disease burden of dengue in the Philippines: adjusting for underreporting by comparing active and passive dengue surveillance in Punta Princesa, Cebu City","volume":"96","author":"Undurraga","year":"2017","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"ref28","volume-title":"National Environmental Health Action Plan 2023\u20132030 [internet]","year":"2023"},{"key":"ref29","volume-title":"National climate change action plan 2011\u20132028","year":""},{"key":"ref30","volume-title":"Philippine development plan (PDP) 2023\u20132028","year":"2023"},{"key":"ref31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"629","DOI":"10.1186\/s12889-018-5532-4","article-title":"Meteorological factors affecting dengue incidence in Davao, Philippines","volume":"18","author":"Iguchi","year":"2018","journal-title":"BMC Public Health"},{"key":"ref32","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"60","DOI":"10.4103\/1995-7645.250838","article-title":"Modeling and predicting dengue fever cases in key regions of the Philippines using remote sensing data","volume":"12","author":"Pineda-Cortel","year":"2019","journal-title":"Asian Pac J Trop Med"},{"key":"ref33","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"292","DOI":"10.1579\/0044-7447(2008)37[292:COCFAD]2.0.CO;2","article-title":"Correlation of climatic factors and dengue incidence in metro Manila, Philippines","volume":"37","author":"Sia Su","year":"2008","journal-title":"AMBIO"},{"key":"ref34","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"43","DOI":"10.32890\/jcia2022.1.1.3","article-title":"Forecasting and on the influence of climatic factors on rising dengue incidence in Baguio City, Philippines","volume":"1","author":"Marigmen","year":"2022","journal-title":"J Comput Innov Anal JCIA"},{"key":"ref35","volume-title":"Census of Population 2015 [Internet]","year":"2015"},{"key":"ref36","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e404","DOI":"10.1016\/S2542-5196(21)00132-7","article-title":"Projecting the risk of mosquito-borne diseases in a warmer and more populated world: a multi-model, multi-scenario intercomparison modelling study","volume":"5","author":"Col\u00f3n-Gonz\u00e1lez","year":"2021","journal-title":"Lancet Planet Health"},{"key":"ref37","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"319","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envres.2015.06.040","article-title":"Time series regression model for infectious disease and weather","volume":"142","author":"Imai","year":"2015","journal-title":"Environ Res"},{"key":"ref38","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"114028","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envres.2022.114028","article-title":"Global malaria infection risk from climate change","volume":"214","author":"Li","year":"2022","journal-title":"Environ Res"},{"key":"ref39","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"153","DOI":"10.1038\/s41612-023-00487-z","article-title":"Projection of temperature-related mortality among the elderly under advanced aging and climate change scenario","volume":"6","author":"Huang","year":"2023","journal-title":"Npj Clim Atmospheric Sci"},{"key":"ref40","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1395","DOI":"10.2166\/wcc.2023.342","article-title":"Spatial and temporal distributions of temperature and rainfall on tropical islands of Vietnam","volume":"14","author":"Phan","year":"2023","journal-title":"J Water Clim Change"},{"key":"ref41","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"91212","DOI":"10.1007\/s11356-022-22036-6","article-title":"Thermal bioclimatic indicators over Southeast Asia: present status and future projection using CMIP6","volume":"29","author":"Hamed","year":"2022","journal-title":"Environ Sci Pollut Res"},{"key":"ref42","volume-title":"Climate change 2022: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. The intergovernmental panel on climate change","author":"Portner","year":"2022"},{"key":"ref43","volume-title":"EarthData. Socioeconomic data and applications center (SEDAC)","year":""},{"key":"ref44","volume-title":"Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC)","year":""},{"key":"ref45","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"38","DOI":"10.1186\/s41182-017-0078-1","article-title":"The importance of human population characteristics in modeling Aedes aegypti distributions and assessing risk of mosquito-borne infectious diseases","volume":"45","author":"Obenauer","year":"2017","journal-title":"Trop Med Health."},{"key":"ref46","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"473","DOI":"10.1186\/s12879-023-08444-0","article-title":"An ecological assessment of the potential pandemic threat of dengue virus in Zhejiang province of China","volume":"23","author":"Zhang","year":"2023","journal-title":"BMC Infect Dis"},{"key":"ref47","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"42","DOI":"10.1186\/s40249-023-01093-0","article-title":"The patterns and driving forces of dengue invasions in China","volume":"12","author":"Zhao","year":"2023","journal-title":"Infect Dis Poverty"},{"key":"ref48","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"4","DOI":"10.1186\/s12942-020-00241-1","article-title":"Influence of socio-economic, demographic and climate factors on the regional distribution of dengue in the United States and Mexico","volume":"19","author":"Watts","year":"2020","journal-title":"Int J Health Geogr"},{"key":"ref49","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"102020","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecoinf.2023.102020","article-title":"Exploratory spatio-temporal data analysis (ESTDA) of dengue and its association with climatic, environmental, and sociodemographic factors in Punjab","volume":"75","author":"Singh","year":"2023","journal-title":"India Ecol Inform"},{"key":"ref50","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e1003542","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pmed.1003542","article-title":"Probabilistic seasonal dengue forecasting in Vietnam: a modelling study using superensembles","volume":"18","author":"Col\u00f3n-Gonz\u00e1lez","year":"2021","journal-title":"PLoS Med"},{"key":"ref51","volume-title":"Philippine Development Plan (PDP) 2023\u20132028 [Internet]","year":""},{"key":"ref52","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1107","DOI":"10.1093\/heapol\/czac053","article-title":"Comparative health systems analysis of differences in the catastrophic health expenditure associated with non-communicable vs communicable diseases among adults in six countries","volume":"37","author":"Haakenstad","year":"2022","journal-title":"Health Policy Plan"},{"key":"ref53","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2323","DOI":"10.1002\/hec.4388","article-title":"The effects of health spending on the propagation of infectious diseases","volume":"30","author":"Castro","year":"2021","journal-title":"Health Econ"},{"key":"ref54","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"3571","DOI":"10.5194\/gmd-13-3571-2020","article-title":"The shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions to 2500","volume":"13","author":"Meinshausen","year":"2020","journal-title":"Geosci Model Dev"},{"key":"ref55","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"74","DOI":"10.1186\/s13071-022-05186-x","article-title":"Temperature, season, and latitude influence development-related phenotypes of Philippine Aedes aegypti (Linnaeus): implications for dengue control amidst global warming","volume":"15","author":"Edillo","year":"2022","journal-title":"Parasit Vectors"},{"key":"ref56","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e0009262","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0009262","article-title":"Constructing and validating a transferable epidemic risk index in data scarce environments using open data: A case study for dengue in the Philippines","volume":"16","author":"Hierink","year":"2022","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"ref57","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"45","DOI":"10.3390\/tropicalmed9020045","article-title":"Epidemiology of dengue in Argentina during the 2010\/11 to 2019\/20 seasons: a contribution to the burden of disease","volume":"9","author":"Rapaport","year":"2024","journal-title":"Trop Med Infect Dis"},{"key":"ref58","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"25","DOI":"10.2149\/tmh.2013-24","article-title":"Regional differences in the growing incidence of dengue fever in Vietnam explained by weather variability","volume":"42","author":"Vu","year":"2014","journal-title":"Trop Med Health"},{"key":"ref59","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1039","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.14-0127","article-title":"Dengue seroprevalence and risk factors for past and recent viral transmission in Venezuela: a comprehensive community-based study","volume":"91","author":"Velasco-Salas","year":"2014","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg."},{"key":"ref60","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2337","DOI":"10.3389\/fmicb.2017.02337","article-title":"Temperature increase enhances Aedes albopictus competence to transmit dengue virus","volume":"8","author":"Liu","year":"2017","journal-title":"Front Microbiol"},{"key":"ref61","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2348","DOI":"10.1186\/s12889-023-17277-0","article-title":"Association between environmental factors and dengue incidence in Lao People\u2019s Democratic Republic: a nationwide time-series study","volume":"23","author":"Sugeno","year":"2023","journal-title":"BMC Public Health"},{"key":"ref62","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"7460","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1101377108","article-title":"Impact of daily temperature fluctuations on dengue virus transmission by Aedes aegypti","volume":"108","author":"Lambrechts","year":"2011","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci USA"},{"key":"ref63","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1074028","DOI":"10.3389\/fpubh.2022.1074028","article-title":"A systematic review and meta-analysis of the effects of temperature on the development and survival of the Aedes mosquito","volume":"10","author":"Nik Abdull Halim","year":"2022","journal-title":"Front Public Health"},{"key":"ref64","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"208","DOI":"10.1186\/s12879-020-4902-6","article-title":"The time series seasonal patterns of dengue fever and associated weather variables in Bangkok (2003-2017)","volume":"20","author":"Polwiang","year":"2020","journal-title":"BMC Infect Dis"},{"key":"ref65","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"50","DOI":"10.1016\/j.actatropica.2007.05.014","article-title":"Weather as an effective predictor for occurrence of dengue fever in Taiwan","volume":"103","author":"Wu","year":"2007","journal-title":"Acta Trop"},{"key":"ref66","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1301","DOI":"10.1002\/joc.1975","article-title":"Interannual variations in seasonal march of rainfall in the Philippines","volume":"30","author":"Akasaka","year":"2010","journal-title":"Int J Climatol"},{"key":"ref67","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"824","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jinsphys.2012.03.005","article-title":"Aedes aegypti pharate 1st instar quiescence affects larval fitness and metal tolerance","volume":"58","author":"Perez","year":"2012","journal-title":"J Insect Physiol"},{"key":"ref68","volume-title":"Rankings of highly urbanized cities","year":"2023"},{"key":"ref69","volume-title":"JICA and Davao LGU to achieve better living environment through a wastewater management master plan","year":"2023"},{"key":"ref70","volume-title":"Vulnerability assessment of the urban water supply system of Davao City southern Philippines","author":"Maspinas","year":"2018"},{"key":"ref71","volume-title":"Solid waste segregation remains major challenge in PH: DENR chief","year":"2022"},{"key":"ref72","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"405","DOI":"10.3389\/fpubh.2019.00405","article-title":"Solid wastes provide breeding sites, burrows, and food for biological disease vectors, and urban zoonotic reservoirs: a call to action for solutions-based research","volume":"7","author":"Krystosik","year":"2020","journal-title":"Front Public Health"},{"key":"ref73","article-title":"11 million families in Philippines facing water crisis","author":"Cepeda","year":"2023","journal-title":"The Straits Times"},{"key":"ref74","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"219","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-319-75361-4_12","article-title":"Water quality: Mindanao Island of the Philippines","volume-title":"Translating National Policy to improve environmental conditions impacting public health through community planning [internet]","author":"Walag","year":"2018"},{"key":"ref75","volume-title":"Butuan under state of water crisis. Philippine star [internet]","author":"Serrano","year":"2015"},{"key":"ref76","article-title":"Changing climate, changing minds: how one Philippine City is preparing for a water-scarce future","volume":"7","author":"Sticklor","year":"2016","journal-title":"Global Waters - USAID"},{"key":"ref77","volume-title":"National Drought Plan for the Philippines [internet]","year":"2019"},{"key":"ref78","article-title":"Water rationing starts in Bukidnon as wells, faucets dry up due to El Ni\u00f1o","author":"Quilinguing","year":"2024","journal-title":"Rappler"},{"key":"ref79","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e2249440","DOI":"10.1001\/jamanetworkopen.2022.49440","article-title":"Association between hydrological conditions and dengue fever incidence in coastal southeastern China from 2013 to 2019","volume":"6","author":"Li","year":"2023","journal-title":"JAMA Netw Open"},{"key":"ref80","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e209","DOI":"10.1016\/S2542-5196(20)30292-8","article-title":"Combined effects of hydrometeorological hazards and urbanisation on dengue risk in Brazil: a spatiotemporal modelling study","volume":"5","author":"Lowe","year":"2021","journal-title":"Lancet Planet Health"},{"key":"ref81","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"5439","DOI":"10.1038\/s41467-023-41017-y","article-title":"Projecting the future incidence and burden of dengue in Southeast Asia","volume":"14","author":"Col\u00f3n-Gonz\u00e1lez","year":"2023","journal-title":"Nat Commun"},{"key":"ref82","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"213","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envres.2019.05.021","article-title":"Using dengue epidemics and local weather in Bali, Indonesia to predict imported dengue in Australia","volume":"175","author":"Xu","year":"2019","journal-title":"Environ Res"},{"key":"ref83","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"110849","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envres.2021.110849","article-title":"A regional suitable conditions index to forecast the impact of climate change on dengue vectorial capacity","volume":"195","author":"Davis","year":"2021","journal-title":"Environ Res"},{"key":"ref84","volume-title":"Dengue seasonality and non-monotonic response to moisture: a model-data analysis of Sri Lanka incidence from 2011 to 2016","author":"Hooshyar","year":"2020"},{"key":"ref85","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"133","DOI":"10.1042\/ETLS20180123","article-title":"Climate change and the rising infectiousness of dengue","volume":"3","author":"Rockl\u00f6v","year":"2019","journal-title":"Emerg Top Life Sci"},{"key":"ref86","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e0005797","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0005797","article-title":"Temperature modulates dengue virus epidemic growth rates through its effects on reproduction numbers and generation intervals","volume":"11","author":"Siraj","year":"2017","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"ref87","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"23","DOI":"10.4103\/2224-3151.115830","article-title":"Changing epidemiology of dengue in South-East Asia","volume":"2","author":"Bhatia","year":"2013","journal-title":"WHO South-East Asia J Public Health"},{"key":"ref88","volume-title":"Philippine National Health Accounts [internet]","year":"2023"},{"key":"ref89","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"612","DOI":"10.1002\/hec.1730","article-title":"Budget allocation and the revealed social rate of time preference for health","volume":"21","author":"Paulden","year":"2012","journal-title":"Health Econ"},{"key":"ref90","first-page":"1024","article-title":"Resource allocation and budgetary mechanisms for decentralized health systems: experiences from Balochistan, Pakistan","volume":"78","author":"Green","year":"2000","journal-title":"Bull World Health Organ"},{"key":"ref91","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"100505","DOI":"10.1016\/j.lanwpc.2022.100505","article-title":"Perspectives and lessons from the Philippines\u2019 decades-long battle with dengue","volume":"24","author":"Ong","year":"2022","journal-title":"Lancet Reg Health West Pac"},{"key":"ref92","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e0261412","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0261412","article-title":"Different domains of dengue research in the Philippines: a systematic review and meta-analysis of questionnaire-based studies","volume":"16","author":"Guad","year":"2021","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"key":"ref93","first-page":"955","article-title":"Determinants of transmission risk and the role of vector pupal presence in the development of integrated approaches to dengue control in Muntinlupa city, the Philippines","volume":"48","author":"Salazar","year":"2017","journal-title":"Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health"},{"key":"ref94","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e3027","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0003027","article-title":"Epidemiology of dengue disease in the Philippines (2000\u20132011): a systematic literature review","volume":"8","author":"Bravo","year":"2014","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"ref95","volume-title":"Field health service information system (FHSIS) annual reports, 2000\u20132009","year":""},{"key":"ref96","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"657","DOI":"10.1016\/S1473-3099(22)00025-1","article-title":"Measuring the effects of COVID-19-related disruption on dengue transmission in Southeast Asia and Latin America: a statistical modelling study","volume":"22","author":"Chen","year":"2022","journal-title":"Lancet Infect Dis"},{"key":"ref97","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"38","DOI":"10.5365\/wpsar.2020.11.2.015","article-title":"Dengue at the time of COVID-19 in the Philippines","volume":"12","author":"Seposo","year":"2021","journal-title":"West Pac Surveill Response J"}],"container-title":["Frontiers in Public Health"],"original-title":[],"link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/www.frontiersin.org\/articles\/10.3389\/fpubh.2024.1420457\/full","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2024,12,23]],"date-time":"2024-12-23T06:39:12Z","timestamp":1734935952000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/www.frontiersin.org\/articles\/10.3389\/fpubh.2024.1420457\/full"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2024,12,23]]},"references-count":97,"alternative-id":["10.3389\/fpubh.2024.1420457"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3389\/fpubh.2024.1420457","relation":{},"ISSN":["2296-2565"],"issn-type":[{"value":"2296-2565","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2024,12,23]]},"article-number":"1420457"}}