{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,12]],"date-time":"2025-10-12T03:06:20Z","timestamp":1760238380257,"version":"build-2065373602"},"reference-count":23,"publisher":"MDPI AG","issue":"8","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,7,30]],"date-time":"2020-07-30T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1596067200000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Entropy"],"abstract":"<jats:p>This research has examined the ability of two forecasting methods to forecast Bitcoin\u2019s price trends. The research is based on Bitcoin\u2014USA dollar prices from the beginning of 2012 until the end of March 2020. Such a long period of time that includes volatile periods with strong up and downtrends introduces challenges to any forecasting system. We use particle swarm optimization to find the best forecasting combinations of setups. Results show that Bitcoin\u2019s price changes do not follow the \u201cRandom Walk\u201d efficient market hypothesis and that both Darvas Box and Linear Regression techniques can help traders to predict the bitcoin\u2019s price trends. We also find that both methodologies work better predicting an uptrend than a downtrend. The best setup for the Darvas Box strategy is six days of formation. A Darvas box uptrend signal was found efficient predicting four sequential daily returns while a downtrend signal faded after two days on average. The best setup for the Linear Regression model is 42 days with 1 standard deviation.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.3390\/e22080838","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2020,7,30]],"date-time":"2020-07-30T12:15:38Z","timestamp":1596111338000},"page":"838","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/mdpi_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":22,"title":["Forecasting Bitcoin Trends Using Algorithmic Learning Systems"],"prefix":"10.3390","volume":"22","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-5176-4583","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Gil","family":"Cohen","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Management, Western Galilee Academic College, P.O.Box, 2125, Acre 2412101, Israel"}]}],"member":"1968","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2020,7,30]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"30","DOI":"10.1080\/13504851.2014.916379","article-title":"Bitcoin as an investment or speculative vehicle? 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