{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,14]],"date-time":"2026-05-14T06:13:00Z","timestamp":1778739180189,"version":"3.51.4"},"reference-count":115,"publisher":"MDPI AG","issue":"10","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2023,10,23]],"date-time":"2023-10-23T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1698019200000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"name":"the Advanced Master inGISCience"},{"name":"the University of Padua (Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering)"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["IJGI"],"abstract":"<jats:p>Recent times have witnessed wildfires causing harm to both ecological communities and urban\u2013rural regions, underscoring the necessity to comprehend wildfire triggers and assess measures for mitigation. This research hones in on Cartagena del Chair\u00e1, diving into the interplay between meteorological conditions and land cover\/use that cultivates a conducive environment for wildfires. Meteorologically, the prevalence of wildfires is concentrated during boreal winter, characterized by warm and dry air, strong winds, and negligible precipitation. Additionally, wildfires gravitate toward river-adjacent locales housing agriculture-linked shrubs, notably in the northern part of the zone, where a confluence of land attributes and meteorological factors synergize to promote fire incidents. Employing climate scenarios, we deduced that elevated temperature and reduced humidity augment wildfire susceptibility, while wind speed and precipitation discourage their propagation across most scenarios. The trajectory toward a warmer climate could instigate fire-friendly conditions in boreal summer, indicating the potential for year-round fire susceptibility. Subsequently, via machine-learning-driven sensitivity analysis, we discerned that among the scrutinized socio-economic variables, GINI, low educational attainment, and displacement by armed groups wield the most substantial influence on wildfire occurrence. Ultimately, these findings converge to shape proposed wildfire mitigation strategies that amalgamate existing practices with enhancements or supplementary approaches.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.3390\/ijgi12100436","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2023,10,23]],"date-time":"2023-10-23T10:32:24Z","timestamp":1698057144000},"page":"436","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/mdpi_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":37,"title":["Climate Change, Forest Fires, and Territorial Dynamics in the Amazon Rainforest: An Integrated Analysis for Mitigation Strategies"],"prefix":"10.3390","volume":"12","author":[{"given":"Nathalia","family":"Celis","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, University of Padova, 35100 Padova, Italy"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1988-5035","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Alejandro","family":"Casallas","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Earth System Physics, Abdus Salam International, Centre for Theoretical Physics, 34151 Trieste, Italy"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4195-6354","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Ellie Anne","family":"Lopez-Barrera","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Exact Sciences and Engineering, Sergio Arboleda University, Bogot\u00e1 110110, Colombia"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Martina","family":"Felician","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"World Wildlife Fund (WWF), 34151 Trieste, Italy"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Massimo","family":"De Marchi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, University of Padova, 35100 Padova, Italy"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1546-644X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Salvatore E.","family":"Pappalardo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, University of Padova, 35100 Padova, Italy"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"1968","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2023,10,23]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"eabo5003","DOI":"10.1126\/science.abo5003","article-title":"Human impacts outpace natural processes in the Amazon","volume":"379","author":"Albert","year":"2023","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"ref_2","unstructured":"Ometto, J., Kalaba, G., Anshari, N., Chacon, A., Farrell, S., Halim, H., and Sukumar, R. 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