{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,3,23]],"date-time":"2026-03-23T03:01:31Z","timestamp":1774234891872,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":123,"publisher":"MDPI AG","issue":"6","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,3,15]],"date-time":"2021-03-15T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1615766400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100008034","name":"INGV","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["INGV 1020.010"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["INGV 1020.010"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100008034","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Remote Sensing"],"abstract":"<jats:p>The global sea-level rise (SLR) projections for the next few decades are the basis for developing flooding maps that depict the expected hazard scenarios. However, the spatially variable land subsidence has generally not been considered in the current projections. In this study, we use geodetic data from global navigation satellite system (GNSS), synthetic aperture radar interferometric measurements (InSAR) and sea-level data from tidal stations to show the combined effects of land subsidence and SLR along the coast between Catania and Marzamemi, in south-eastern Sicily (southern Italy). This is one of the most active tectonic areas of the Mediterranean basin, which drives accelerated SLR, continuous coastal retreat and increasing effects of flooding and storms surges. We focus on six selected areas, which show valuable coastal infrastructures and natural reserves where the expected SLR in the next few years could be a potential cause of significant land flooding and morphological changes of the coastal strip. Through a multidisciplinary study, the multi-temporal flooding scenarios until 2100, have been estimated. Results are based on the spatially variable rates of vertical land movements (VLM), the topographic features of the area provided by airborne Light Detection And Ranging (LiDAR) data and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projections of SLR in the Representative Concentration Pathways RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5 emission scenarios. In addition, from the analysis of the time series of optical satellite images, a coastal retreat up to 70 m has been observed at the Ciane river mouth (Siracusa) in the time span 2001\u20132019. Our results show a diffuse land subsidence locally exceeding 10 \u00b1 2.5 mm\/year in some areas, due to compacting artificial landfill, salt marshes and Holocene soft deposits. Given ongoing land subsidence, a high end of RSLR in the RCP 8.5 at 0.52 \u00b1 0.05 m and 1.52 \u00b1 0.13 m is expected for 2050 AD and 2100 AD, respectively, with an exposed area of about 9.7 km2 that will be vulnerable to inundation in the next 80 years.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.3390\/rs13061108","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2021,3,15]],"date-time":"2021-03-15T22:16:54Z","timestamp":1615846614000},"page":"1108","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/mdpi_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":40,"title":["Relative Sea-Level Rise Scenario for 2100 along the Coast of South Eastern Sicily (Italy) by InSAR Data, Satellite Images and High-Resolution Topography"],"prefix":"10.3390","volume":"13","author":[{"given":"Marco","family":"Anzidei","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, 00143 Roma, Italy"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-0328-737X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Giovanni","family":"Scicchitano","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra e Geoambientali, Universit\u00e0 degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, 70121 Bari, Italy"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2316-7888","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Giovanni","family":"Scardino","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra e Geoambientali, Universit\u00e0 degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, 70121 Bari, Italy"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-8632-9979","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Christian","family":"Bignami","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, 00143 Roma, Italy"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-7378-0712","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Cristiano","family":"Tolomei","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, 00143 Roma, Italy"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2002-1701","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Antonio","family":"Vecchio","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Radboud Radio Lab, Department of Astrophysics\/IMAPP\u2013Radboud University, P.O. Box 9010, 6500 GL Nijmegen, The Netherlands"},{"name":"LESIA, Observatoire de Paris, Universit\u00e9 PSL, CNRS, Sorbonne Universit\u00e9, Univ. Paris Diderot, Sorbonne Paris Cit\u00e9, 5 Place Jules Janssen, 92195 Meudon, France"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-1822-403X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Enrico","family":"Serpelloni","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, 00143 Roma, Italy"}]},{"given":"Vincenzo","family":"De Santis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra e Geoambientali, Universit\u00e0 degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, 70121 Bari, Italy"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-5690-9879","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Carmelo","family":"Monaco","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Dipartimento di Scienze Biologiche, Geologiche e Ambientali, Universit\u00e0 degli Studi di Catania, 95129 Catania, Italy"},{"name":"CRUST\u2014Interuniversity Center for 3D Seismotectonics with Territorial Applications, 66100 Chieti, Italy"},{"name":"Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Osservatorio Etneo, 95125 Catania, Italy"}]},{"given":"Maurilio","family":"Milella","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Environmental Surveys S.r.l., Spin-Off Universit\u00e0 degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, 74121 Taranto, Italy"}]},{"given":"Arcangelo","family":"Piscitelli","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Environmental Surveys S.r.l., Spin-Off Universit\u00e0 degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, 74121 Taranto, Italy"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2823-2546","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Giuseppe","family":"Mastronuzzi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra e Geoambientali, Universit\u00e0 degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, 70121 Bari, Italy"}]}],"member":"1968","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2021,3,15]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"21527","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.0907765106","article-title":"Global sea level linked to global temperature","volume":"106","author":"Vermeer","year":"2009","journal-title":"Proc. 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