{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,12]],"date-time":"2025-10-12T02:34:08Z","timestamp":1760236448480,"version":"build-2065373602"},"reference-count":35,"publisher":"MDPI AG","issue":"23","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,11,30]],"date-time":"2021-11-30T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1638230400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Remote Sensing"],"abstract":"<jats:p>The Earth\u2019s surface is under permanent alteration with the area of some nations growing or shrinking due to natural or man-made processes, for example sea level change. Here, based on the NUVEL 1A model, we forecast (in 10, 25, and 50 years) the changes in area for countries that are located on the border of the major tectonic plates. In the analysis we identify countries that are projected to gain or lose land due to the tectonic plate movement only. Over the next 50 years, the global balance of area gains (0.4 km2) and losses (12.7 km2) is negative. Thus, due to the movements of lithospheric plates, the land surface of the Earth will decrease by 12 km2 in 50 years. Overall, the changes are not that spectacular, as in the case of changes in sea\/water levels, but in some smaller countries, projected losses exceed a few thousand square metres a year, e.g., in Nepal the losses exceed 10,000 m2 year\u22121. Methodologically, this paper finds itself between metric analysis and essay, trying to provoke useful academic discussion and incite educators\u2019 interests to illustrate to students the tectonic movement and its force. Limitations of the used model have been discussed in the methodology section.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.3390\/rs13234872","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2021,12,1]],"date-time":"2021-12-01T01:45:02Z","timestamp":1638323102000},"page":"4872","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/mdpi_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":3,"title":["What Is the Impact of Tectonic Plate Movement on Country Size? A Long-Term Forecast"],"prefix":"10.3390","volume":"13","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-5514-8510","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Kamil","family":"Maciuk","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Integrated Geodesy and Cartography, AGH University of Science and Technology, 30-059 Krakow, Poland"},{"name":"HNU-ASU Joint International Tourism College, Hainan University, Haikou 570228, China"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-7777-5176","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Michal","family":"Apollo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"HNU-ASU Joint International Tourism College, Hainan University, Haikou 570228, China"},{"name":"Department of Tourism and Regional Studies, Institute of Geography, Pedagogical University of Cracow, 30-084 Krakow, Poland"},{"name":"Global Justice Program, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520, USA"},{"name":"Center for Tourism Research, Wakayama University, Wakayama 640-8510, Japan"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6446-6887","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Anita","family":"Kukulska-Kozie\u0142","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Land Management and Landscape Architecture, University of Agriculture in Krakow, 30-149 Krakow, Poland"}]},{"given":"Paulina","family":"Lewi\u0144ska","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Engineering Surveying and Civil Engineering, AGH University of Science and Technology, 30-059 Krakow, Poland"},{"name":"Department of Computer Science, University of York, Heslington, York YO10 5DD, UK"}]}],"member":"1968","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2021,11,30]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref_1","unstructured":"Williamson, I., Enemark, S., Wallace, J., and Rajabifard, A. 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