{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,23]],"date-time":"2026-10-23T21:03:20Z","timestamp":1792789400182,"version":"4.5.0"},"reference-count":94,"publisher":"MDPI AG","issue":"19","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2023,9,25]],"date-time":"2023-09-25T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1695600000000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"name":"Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (c)","award":["21K05664"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["21K05664"]}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Remote Sensing"],"abstract":"<jats:p>Forest fires have significant impacts on economies, cultures, and ecologies worldwide. Developing predictive models for forest fire probability is crucial for preventing and managing these fires. Such models contribute to reducing losses and the frequency of forest fires by informing prevention efforts effectively. The objective of this study was to assess and map the forest fire susceptibility (FFS) in the Indian Western Himalayas (IWH) region by employing a GIS-based fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (Fuzzy-AHP) technique, and to evaluate the FFS based on forest type and at district level in the states of Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, and Uttarakhand. Seventeen potential indicators were chosen for the vulnerability assessment of the IWH region to forest fires. These indicators encompassed physiographic factors, meteorological factors, and anthropogenic factors that significantly affect the susceptibility to fire in the region. The significant factors in FFS mapping included FCR, temperature, and distance to settlement. An FFS zone map of the IWH region was generated and classified into five categories of very low, low, medium, high, and very high FFS. The analysis of FFS based on the forest type revealed that tropical moist deciduous forests have a significant vulnerability to forest fire, with 86.85% of its total area having very high FFS. At the district level, FFS was found to be high in sixteen districts and very high in seventeen districts, constituting 25.7% and 22.6% of the area of the IWH region. Particularly, Lahul and Spiti had 63.9% of their total area designated as having very low FSS, making it the district least vulnerable to forest fires, while Udham Singh Nagar had a high vulnerability with approximately 86% of its area classified as having very high FFS. ROC-AUC analysis, which provided an appreciable accuracy of 79.9%, was used to assess the validity of the FFS map produced in the present study. Incorporating the FFS map into sustainable development planning will assist in devising a holistic strategy that harmonizes environmental conservation, community safety, and economic advancement. This approach can empower decision makers and relevant stakeholders to take more proactive and informed actions, promoting resilience and enhancing long-term well-being.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.3390\/rs15194701","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2023,9,26]],"date-time":"2023-09-26T02:31:29Z","timestamp":1695695489000},"page":"4701","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/mdpi_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":60,"title":["Integrated Spatial Analysis of Forest Fire Susceptibility in the Indian Western Himalayas (IWH) Using Remote Sensing and GIS-Based Fuzzy AHP Approach"],"prefix":"10.3390","volume":"15","author":[{"family":"Pragya","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Geography, School of Basic Sciences, Central University of Haryana, Mahendragarh 123031, Haryana, India"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2588-6499","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Manish","family":"Kumar","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Geography, School of Basic Sciences, Central University of Haryana, Mahendragarh 123031, Haryana, India"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-0066-781X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Akash","family":"Tiwari","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Geography, School of Basic Sciences, Central University of Haryana, Mahendragarh 123031, Haryana, India"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-7889-4281","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Syed Irtiza","family":"Majid","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Geography, School of Basic Sciences, Central University of Haryana, Mahendragarh 123031, Haryana, India"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-9555-7957","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Sourav","family":"Bhadwal","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Geography, School of Basic Sciences, Central University of Haryana, Mahendragarh 123031, Haryana, India"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8505-7185","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Netrananda","family":"Sahu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Geography, Delhi School of Economics, University of Delhi, New Delhi, Delhi 110007, India"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Naresh Kumar","family":"Verma","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Special Centre for National Security Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi, Delhi 110067, India"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Dinesh Kumar","family":"Tripathi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Rana Pratap Post Graduate College, Sultanpur 228001, Uttar Pradesh, India"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-3653-5771","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Ram","family":"Avtar","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Environmental Earth Science, Hokkaido University, Sapporo 060-0810, Hokkaido, Japan"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"1968","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2023,9,25]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"481","DOI":"10.1080\/09640568.2019.1594726","article-title":"GIS-based forest fire risk mapping using the analytical network process and fuzzy logic","volume":"63","author":"Gheshlaghi","year":"2019","journal-title":"J. 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