{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,3,3]],"date-time":"2026-03-03T00:28:32Z","timestamp":1772497712354,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":43,"publisher":"MDPI AG","issue":"4","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2024,3,25]],"date-time":"2024-03-25T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1711324800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","award":["72101034"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["72101034"]}]},{"name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","award":["2021090003"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["2021090003"]}]},{"name":"\u201cnew liberal arts program\u201d of the Ministry of Education","award":["72101034"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["72101034"]}]},{"name":"\u201cnew liberal arts program\u201d of the Ministry of Education","award":["2021090003"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["2021090003"]}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Systems"],"abstract":"<jats:p>Urban green development is a way of economic growth and social development aiming at efficiency, harmony and sustainability, and in recent years urban green development has become an important trend for future urban development. In this study, Hefei City is selected as the study area, and a comprehensive green-development model is constructed by applying the system dynamics method, which integrates five important subsystems, namely, economy, environment, people\u2019s livelihood, S and T and resources. Through simulation analysis, this study reveals the dynamic trend of green development in Hefei City. The analysis results show that economic growth provides the foundation for green development, scientific and technological innovation promotes the development of green technology, and that sustained investments in people\u2019s livelihoods and environmental protection improves people\u2019s quality of life and a city\u2019s eco-friendliness. This study aims to promote the coordinated economic, social and environmental development of Hefei to ensure that Hefei is steadily moving towards high-quality and sustainable development goals; it effectively reveals the current situation, forecasts the trend of green development in Hefei, and also provides a reference for the urban green development of other cities.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.3390\/systems12040109","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2024,3,25]],"date-time":"2024-03-25T12:28:06Z","timestamp":1711369686000},"page":"109","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/mdpi_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":2,"title":["Forecasting Research on Urban Green Development Based on System Dynamics\u2014A Case Study of Hefei in China"],"prefix":"10.3390","volume":"12","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-3485-1490","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Yanling","family":"Feng","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Modern Post (School of Automation), Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing 100876, China"}]},{"given":"Boqiang","family":"Liu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Modern Post (School of Automation), Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing 100876, China"}]},{"given":"Qiang","family":"Yan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Modern Post (School of Automation), Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing 100876, China"}]},{"given":"Guozhu","family":"Jia","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China"}]}],"member":"1968","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2024,3,25]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref_1","first-page":"17","article-title":"The Marxist Green Development Concept and Green Development in Contemporary China: Comment on Incompatibility Theory between Environment and Development","volume":"52","author":"Maoxing","year":"2017","journal-title":"Econ. 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