{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,2]],"date-time":"2026-09-02T11:19:01Z","timestamp":1788347941249,"version":"build-2803163510"},"reference-count":61,"publisher":"MDPI AG","issue":"17","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,2]],"date-time":"2026-09-02T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1788307200000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"name":"Guizhou Provincial Department of Science and Technology","award":["Qian Ke He Fu Qi [2023] No. 009"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["Qian Ke He Fu Qi [2023] No. 009"]}]},{"name":"Guizhou Provincial Forestry Administration"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Animals"],"abstract":"<jats:p>Climate-driven range shifts may create new environmentally suitable areas, but whether these areas provide favourable habitat conditions or adequate protection remains poorly understood. We assessed conservation gaps for three rare pheasants (Syrmaticus humiae, S. ellioti and S. reevesii) in Guizhou Province, southwestern China. Using camera-trap records from 1573 sites surveyed from January 2023 to January 2026, we integrated MaxEnt modelling, 2041\u20132060 climate projections, InVEST-based relative habitat-condition assessment and protected-area overlays. Dominant predictors differed among species: S. humiae and S. reevesii were mainly associated with climatic factors, whereas S. ellioti was more related to soil organic carbon, karst rocky desertification and the Human Footprint Index. Projected potential suitable areas increased for all species under future climate scenarios, but most projected expansion areas under SSP126, SSP245 and SSP585 occurred outside protected areas. Predicted high suitability did not always coincide with favourable habitat condition. S. reevesii showed the clearest suitability\u2013quality mismatch, whereas S. ellioti showed the highest protected-area representation of high-suitability \u00d7 high-quality areas. Predictions for S. reevesii should be interpreted cautiously because of its limited occurrence records and sensitivity to individual records. These findings show that suitability maps alone may misguide conservation priorities and highlight candidate areas for field verification, restoration, protected-area optimization and climate-adaptation monitoring in karst landscapes.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.3390\/ani16172753","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,2]],"date-time":"2026-09-02T10:57:23Z","timestamp":1788346643000},"page":"2753","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/mdpi_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Beyond Suitability: Mapping Current and Projected Conservation Gaps for Three Rare Pheasants in Karst Landscapes of Southwest China"],"prefix":"10.3390","volume":"16","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-8965-7505","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jianpu","family":"Wu","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Guizhou Academy of Forestry, Guiyang 550000, China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jinyou","family":"Yang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Guizhou Academy of Forestry, Guiyang 550000, China"},{"name":"Key Laboratory for Conserving Wildlife with Small Populations in Yunnan, College of Forestry, Southwest Forestry University, Kunming 650224, China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jingcheng","family":"Ran","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Guizhou Academy of Forestry, Guiyang 550000, China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yun","family":"Wang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Qianxinan Bouyei and Miao Autonomous Prefecture Forestry Bureau, Xingyi 562400, China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Junyi","family":"Li","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Guizhou Academy of Forestry, Guiyang 550000, China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jingyi","family":"Zhu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Guizhou Forestry Bureau, Guiyang 550000, China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jun","family":"Zou","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Administration of Wildlife and Forest Plants of Guizhou Province, Guiyang 550001, China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Xue","family":"Gou","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Guizhou Provincial Longli State-Owned Forest Farm, Longli 551200, China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Hong","family":"Luo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Guizhou Academy of Forestry, Guiyang 550000, China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Shaochuan","family":"Cheng","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Guizhou Academy of Forestry, Guiyang 550000, China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"1968","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,2]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"243","DOI":"10.1038\/35012251","article-title":"Systematic conservation planning","volume":"405","author":"Margules","year":"2000","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"ref_2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"583","DOI":"10.1016\/j.tree.2007.10.001","article-title":"Conservation planning in a changing world","volume":"22","author":"Pressey","year":"2007","journal-title":"Trends Ecol. 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