{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,28]],"date-time":"2025-10-28T15:21:14Z","timestamp":1761664874730,"version":"build-2065373602"},"reference-count":72,"publisher":"MDPI AG","issue":"11","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,28]],"date-time":"2025-10-28T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1761609600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["TropicalMed"],"abstract":"<jats:p>Objective: The aim was to analyze the temporal evolution and spatial distribution of classic and hemorrhagic dengue in the Mexican state of San Luis Potos\u00ed at the basic geostatistical area (BGA) level and to develop multivariate models to estimate the population\u2019s degree of vulnerability. Methodology: Classic and hemorrhagic dengue cases for 2015\u20132020 were obtained from the Mexican Ministry of Health, georeferenced at the pixel level, and subsequently grouped by BGA. Environmental, proximity, and social variables were obtained from official sites: IMTA, SMN, USGS, and INEGI. Multivariate logistic regression models were developed using PASW Statistics v. 18 software to estimate the degree of vulnerability, and the receiver operating characteristic curve was used to validate them. Results: A total of 125, 128, 109, 624, 1580, and 1817 dengue cases were identified for 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020, respectively. The major factors contributing to the vulnerability of classic dengue fever included population, temperature, and distance to agricultural areas. For hemorrhagic dengue, the contributing factors were temperature, population, and mean annual rainfall. Vulnerability prediction was determined by taking the area under the curve values, which were 0.957 for classic dengue fever and 0.930 for hemorrhagic dengue, both indicating a \u201cvery good ability\u201d to predict. Conclusions: These results can be used to design and implement targeted strategies, particularly for modifiable factors, such as prevention measures directed towards populated areas and the improvement of sewage systems, in addition to non-modifiable factors, such as temperature and rainfall. This method can be replicated as an additional tool to address this public health issue.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.3390\/tropicalmed10110307","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,28]],"date-time":"2025-10-28T14:29:34Z","timestamp":1761661774000},"page":"307","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/mdpi_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["High-Resolution Geospatial Analysis of Dengue Vulnerability in Urban and Rural Areas of San Luis Potos\u00ed, Mexico"],"prefix":"10.3390","volume":"10","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-0545-076X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Dar\u00edo","family":"Gayt\u00e1n Hern\u00e1ndez","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Nursing and Nutrition, Autonomous University of San Luis Potos\u00ed, Av. Ni\u00f1o Artillero #130, Zona Universitaria, San Luis Potos\u00ed 78240, SLP, Mexico"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Daniel","family":"S\u00e1nchez Hern\u00e1ndez","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Social Sciences and Humanities, Autonomous University of San Luis Potos\u00ed, Av. Industrias #101-A, Workshop Subdivision, San Luis Potos\u00ed 78240, SLP, Mexico"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-3889-7533","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Luis Eduardo","family":"Hern\u00e1ndez Ibarra","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Nursing and Nutrition, Autonomous University of San Luis Potos\u00ed, Av. Ni\u00f1o Artillero #130, Zona Universitaria, San Luis Potos\u00ed 78240, SLP, Mexico"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2884-0362","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Enrique","family":"Ibarra Zapata","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Agronomy, Autonomous University of San Luis Potos\u00ed, Km. 14.5 Carretera San Luis Potos\u00ed, Matehuala, Ejido Palma de la Cruz, Soledad de Graciano S\u00e1nchez 78321, SLP, Mexico"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-9866-2218","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Omar","family":"Parra Rodr\u00edguez","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Environmental Agenda, Universidad Aut\u00f3noma de San Luis Potos\u00ed, Dr. Manuel Nava #221, Zona Universitaria, San Luis Potos\u00ed 78397, SLP, Mexico"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-5978-5477","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Ver\u00f3nica","family":"Gallegos Garc\u00eda","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Nursing and Nutrition, Autonomous University of San Luis Potos\u00ed, Av. Ni\u00f1o Artillero #130, Zona Universitaria, San Luis Potos\u00ed 78240, SLP, Mexico"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-0239-7721","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Omar","family":"Medina de la Cruz","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Nursing and Nutrition, Autonomous University of San Luis Potos\u00ed, Av. Ni\u00f1o Artillero #130, Zona Universitaria, San Luis Potos\u00ed 78240, SLP, Mexico"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-5056-3691","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Marisol","family":"Gallegos Garc\u00eda","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Engineering, Autonomous University of San Luis Potos\u00ed, Av. Dr. Manuel Nava #304, Zona Universitaria, San Luis Potos\u00ed 78240, SLP, Mexico"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"1968","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,28]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref_1","unstructured":"OMS (Organizaci\u00f3n Mundial de la Salud) (2024, April 01). Expansi\u00f3n Geogr\u00e1fica de los Casos de Dengue y Chikungunya M\u00e1s All\u00e1 de las \u00c1reas Hist\u00f3ricas de Transmisi\u00f3n en la Regi\u00f3n de las Am\u00e9ricas. Available online: https:\/\/www.who.int\/es\/emergencies\/disease-outbreak-news\/item\/2023-DON448#:~:text=El%20total%20de%20casos%20presuntos,119%25%20en%20comparaci%C3%B3n%20con%202021."},{"key":"ref_2","unstructured":"OMS (Organizaci\u00f3n Mundial de la Salud) (2024, June 01). Dengue y Dengue Grave. 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