{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,20]],"date-time":"2026-04-20T05:35:12Z","timestamp":1776663312673,"version":"3.51.2"},"reference-count":84,"publisher":"MDPI AG","issue":"3","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2017,3,7]],"date-time":"2017-03-07T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1488844800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"name":"The Portuguese Science Foundation (FCT","award":["MIT\/FSE\/0064\/2009 project FIRE-ENGINE \u201cFlexible Design of Forest Fire Management Systems\u201d"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["MIT\/FSE\/0064\/2009 project FIRE-ENGINE \u201cFlexible Design of Forest Fire Management Systems\u201d"]}]},{"name":"European Union Seventh Framework Programme","award":["ALTERFOR Project \u201cAlternative models and robust decision-making for future forest management\u201d - H2020-ISIB-2015-2\/grant agreement N\u00ba 67654"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["ALTERFOR Project \u201cAlternative models and robust decision-making for future forest management\u201d - H2020-ISIB-2015-2\/grant agreement N\u00ba 67654"]}]},{"name":"European Union Seventh Framework Programme","award":["No. 691149 (SuFoRun)"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["No. 691149 (SuFoRun)"]}]},{"name":"The Portuguese Science Foundation","award":["SFRH\/ BD\/44830\/2008"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["SFRH\/ BD\/44830\/2008"]}]},{"name":"The Portuguese Science Foundation","award":["SFRH\/BPD\/96806\/2013"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["SFRH\/BPD\/96806\/2013"]}]},{"name":"The Portuguese Science Foundation","award":["UID\/AGR\/00239\/2013"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["UID\/AGR\/00239\/2013"]}]},{"name":"The Portuguese Science Foundation","award":["PTDC\/ AGR-CFL\/64146\/2006 \u201cDecision support tools for integrating fire and forest management planning\u201d"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["PTDC\/ AGR-CFL\/64146\/2006 \u201cDecision support tools for integrating fire and forest management planning\u201d"]}]},{"name":"Ramon y Cajal\u201d research contract MINECO","award":["Ref. RYC-2013-14262"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["Ref. RYC-2013-14262"]}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Sustainability"],"abstract":"<jats:p>Assessing impacts of management strategies may allow designing more resistant forests to wildfires. Planning-oriented models to predict the effect of stand structure and forest composition on mortality for supporting fire-smart management decisions, and allowing its inclusion in forest management optimization systems were developed. Post-fire mortality was modeled as a function of measurable forest inventory data and projections over time in 165 pure and 76 mixed forest stands in Portugal, collected by the 5th National Forest Inventory plots (NFI) plus other sample plots from ForFireS project, intercepted within 2006\u20132008 wildfire perimeters\u2019 data. Presence and tree survival were obtained by examining 2450 trees from 16 species one year after the wildfire occurrence. A set of logistic regression models were developed under a three-stage modeling system: firstly multiple fixed-effects at stand-level that comprises a sub-model to predict mortality from wildfire; and another for the proportion of dead trees on stands killed by fire. At tree-level due to the nested structure of the data analyzed (trees within stands), a mixed-effect model was developed to estimate mortality among trees in a fire event. The results imply that the variation of tree mortality decreases when tree diameter at breast height increases. Moreover, the relative mortality increases with stand density, higher altitude and steeper slopes. In the same conditions, conifers are more prone to die than eucalyptus and broadleaves. Pure stands of broadleaves exhibit noticeably higher fire resistance than mixed stands of broadleaves and others species composition.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.3390\/su9030390","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2017,3,7]],"date-time":"2017-03-07T11:12:32Z","timestamp":1488885152000},"page":"390","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/mdpi_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":26,"title":["Modeling Post-Fire Mortality in Pure and Mixed Forest Stands in Portugal\u2014A Forest Planning-Oriented Model"],"prefix":"10.3390","volume":"9","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-6661-190X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Brigite","family":"Botequim","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Forest Research Center, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Tapada da Ajuda, 1349-017 Lisboa, Portugal"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6965-385X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Manuel","family":"Arias-Rodil","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Unidad de Gesti\u00f3n Forestal Sostenible (UXFS), Departamento de Ingenier\u00eda Agroforestal, Escuela Polit\u00e9cnica Superior Universidad de Santiago de Compostela, Campus Universitario, 27002 Lugo, Spain"}]},{"given":"Jordi","family":"Garcia-Gonzalo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Forest Research Center, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Tapada da Ajuda, 1349-017 Lisboa, Portugal"},{"name":"Forest Sciences Centre of Catalonia (CEMFOR-CTFC), Ctra de St. Lloren\u00e7 de Morunys Km 2, E25280 Solsona, Spain"}]},{"given":"Andreia","family":"Silva","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Forest Research Center, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Tapada da Ajuda, 1349-017 Lisboa, Portugal"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-7922-5680","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Susete","family":"Marques","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Forest Research Center, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Tapada da Ajuda, 1349-017 Lisboa, Portugal"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-0608-5784","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jos\u00e9","family":"Borges","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Forest Research Center, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Tapada da Ajuda, 1349-017 Lisboa, Portugal"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-8435-1136","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Maria","family":"Oliveira","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Research Centre in Mathematics and Applications, Col\u00e9gio Lu\u00eds Verney, University of \u00c9vora, Rua Rom\u00e3o Ramanho, 59, 7000-671 \u00c9vora, Portugal"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-6242-8593","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Margarida","family":"Tom\u00e9","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Forest Research Center, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Tapada da Ajuda, 1349-017 Lisboa, Portugal"}]}],"member":"1968","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2017,3,7]]},"reference":[{"key":"ref_1","unstructured":"ICNF \u00c1reas Dos Usos Do Solo E Das Esp\u00e9cies Florestais de Portugal Continental. 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