{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,19]],"date-time":"2026-10-19T03:25:36Z","timestamp":1792380336906,"version":"4.4.0"},"reference-count":10,"publisher":"NP Voprosy Ekonomiki","issue":"3","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,9]],"date-time":"2018-10-09T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1539043200000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-nd\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["RUJEC"],"abstract":"<jats:p>The current stage of demographic changes in all countries that have experienced a demographic transition is characterized by two main features: (1) cessation of population growth; (2) a progressive increase in the total dependency ratio, which until recently, despite the long-run population ageing, was declining. Both of these features are unfavorable from the economic point of view. In Russia, the situation is aggravated by the peculiarities of the population pyramid, heavily deformed by the social and military upheavals of the 20<jats:sup>th<\/jats:sup> century. The article shows that, for a long time, the demographic trends in Russia favored its economic development, but now the country is entering a long period of unfavorable demographic changes. The cessation of growth of the Russian population, the reduction in the working-age population and its ageing and the increase in the dependency ratio will have a deterrent effect on economic development and, at the same time, make it more difficult to solve social problems. In particular, these factors will create greater problems for the pension system for people older than working age. The issue of using the migration resource to mitigate the negative consequences of demographic changes is discussed.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.3897\/j.ruje.4.30166","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,5]],"date-time":"2018-10-05T12:38:29Z","timestamp":1538743109000},"page":"229-248","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":8,"title":["A new stage of demographic change: A warning for economists"],"prefix":"10.32609","volume":"4","author":[{"given":"Anatoly","family":"Vishnevsky","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Ekaterina","family":"Shcherbakova","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"17814","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,9]]},"reference":[{"key":"30166_B1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Aiyar, S., Ebeke, C., & Shao, X. (2016). The\u202fimpact of workforce aging on European productivity. IMF Working Paper, No. WP\/16\/238\/. https:\/\/www.imf.org\/external\/pubs\/ft\/wp\/2016\/wp16238.pdf","DOI":"10.5089\/9781475559729.001"},{"key":"30166_B2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1257\/aer.89.2.145"},{"issue":"February","key":"30166_B3","first-page":"67","article-title":"Implications of population ageing for the\u202flabour market.","author":"Dixon","year":"2003","journal-title":"Labour Market Trends"},{"key":"30166_B4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(16)31460-X"},{"key":"30166_B5","unstructured":"Kuznets, S. (1960). Population change and aggregate output. In Universities\u2005\u2014\u2005National Bureau Committee for Economic Research, Demographic and economic change in developed countries (pp. 324\u2013351). New York: Columbia University Press."},{"key":"30166_B6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1787\/9789264265592-en"},{"key":"30166_B7","first-page":"98","article-title":"Economic consequences of ageing of the\u202fworking-age population.","volume":"2\u20133","author":"Vishnevsky","year":"1970","journal-title":"Demograficheskie Tetradi"},{"key":"30166_B8","unstructured":"Vishnevsky, A. G. (2005). Population and production. In A. G. Vishnevsky, Selected demographic works (in 2 vols, vol. 2, pp. 5\u201387). Moscow: Nauka (in Russian)."},{"key":"30166_B9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.17323\/demreview.v2i5.5581"},{"key":"30166_B10","unstructured":"World Bank. (2016). In search of a new silver age in Russia: The\u202fdrivers and impacts of population aging. Washington, DC. http:\/\/documents.worldbank.org\/curated\/en\/851101467995634363\/pdf\/99487-WP-P151617-P143250-PUBLIC-Box393203B-silver-aging-web-final.pdf"}],"container-title":["Russian Journal of Economics"],"original-title":[],"link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/rujec.org\/lib\/ajax_srv\/article_elements_srv.php?action=download_pdf&item_id=30166","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/rujec.org\/lib\/ajax_srv\/article_elements_srv.php?action=download_xml&item_id=30166","content-type":"application\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/rujec.org\/article_preview.php?id=30166&skip_redirect=1","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2019,4,10]],"date-time":"2019-04-10T15:35:31Z","timestamp":1554910531000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/rujec.org\/articles.php?id=30166"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,9]]},"references-count":10,"journal-issue":{"issue":"3","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,9]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3897\/j.ruje.4.30166","relation":{},"ISSN":["2405-4739","2618-7213"],"issn-type":[{"value":"2405-4739","type":"electronic"},{"value":"2618-7213","type":"print"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,9]]}}}